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World Cup 2026by ProofXIReceipts

Teams

all 48 sides ranked on our sealed WC Elo · tap through to the squad and the players

The call · our sealed read

FavouriteSpain2210 WC Elo · #1Top of the sealed board on rating and squad alike, the orthodox pick.But, favourites carry the expectation; one flat night in the knockouts ends it.ChallengerArgentina2188 Elo · #2The strongest case behind Spain on the sealed board.But, it starts behind Spain. It needs the favourite to slip, not just to be good.OutsiderBrazil2068 Elo · #5Down the board on rating, but live if the draw breaks its way.But, the rating's seen something the names haven't. Group C has to go to plan first.

What the numbers flag

Daylight at the top−66 EloSpain and Argentina, then a 66-point cliff to France. A two-horse board, not a top three.
The cruise85% to escapeSwitzerland sit #18 on Elo yet are surer of their group than Morocco (#12, just 69%). The draw, not the ranking.

The board · strongest first

Strongest · #1

Spain
Group H · favourite tiershare the forecast
2210WC Elo99% to advance
  1. Argentinashare
    #2 · Group J · favourite tier
    2188WC Elo97%to advance
    roster not yet
  2. Franceshare
    #3 · Group I · favourite tier
    2122WC Elo93%to advance
    roster not yet
  3. Englandshare
    #4 · Group L · favourite tier
    2082WC Elo95%to advance
    roster not yet
  4. Brazilshare
    #5 · Group C · favourite tier
    2068WC Elo93%to advance
    roster not yet
  5. Colombiashare
    #6 · Group K · favourite tier
    2063WC Elo90%to advance
    roster not yet
  6. Ecuadorshare
    #7 · Group E · contender tier
    2027WC Elo92%to advance
    roster not yet
  7. Portugalshare
    #8 · Group K · contender tier
    2027WC Elo86%to advance
    roster not yet
  8. Netherlandsshare
    #9 · Group F · contender tier
    2012WC Elo90%to advance
    roster not yet
  9. Germanyshare
    #10 · Group E · contender tier
    2007WC Elo91%to advance
    roster not yet
  10. Japanshare
    #11 · Group F · contender tier
    1993WC Elo87%to advance
    roster not yet
  11. Moroccoshare
    #12 · Group C · contender tier
    1984WC Elo85%to advance
    roster not yet
  12. Mexicoshare
    #13 · Group A · contender tier
    1976WC Elo90%to advance
    roster not yet
  13. Uruguayshare
    #14 · Group H · contender tier
    1974WC Elo88%to advance
    roster not yet
  14. Belgiumshare
    #15 · Group G · contender tier
    1971WC Elo87%to advance
    roster not yet
  15. Croatiashare
    #16 · Group L · contender tier
    1964WC Elo84%to advance
    roster not yet
  16. Turkeyshare
    #17 · Group D · dark horse tier
    1963WC Elo79%to advance
    roster not yet
  17. Switzerlandshare
    #18 · Group B · dark horse tier
    1960WC Elo94%to advance
    roster not yet
  18. Norwayshare
    #19 · Group I · dark horse tier
    1956WC Elo75%to advance
    roster not yet
  19. Senegalshare
    #20 · Group I · dark horse tier
    1920WC Elo68%to advance
    roster not yet
  20. Paraguayshare
    #21 · Group D · dark horse tier
    1918WC Elo71%to advance
    roster not yet
  21. Iranshare
    #22 · Group G · dark horse tier
    1904WC Elo78%to advance
    roster not yet
  22. Australiashare
    #23 · Group D · dark horse tier
    1902WC Elo68%to advance
    roster not yet
  23. Canadashare
    #24 · Group B · dark horse tier
    1895WC Elo89%to advance
    roster not yet
  24. Austriashare
    #25 · Group J · dark horse tier
    1894WC Elo66%to advance
    roster not yet
  25. South Koreashare
    #26 · Group A · dark horse tier
    1880WC Elo79%to advance
    roster not yet
  26. Algeriashare
    #27 · Group J · dark horse tier
    1873WC Elo61%to advance
    roster not yet
  27. Panamashare
    #28 · Group L · dark horse tier
    1848WC Elo67%to advance
    roster not yet
  28. Scotlandshare
    #29 · Group C · dark horse tier
    1833WC Elo60%to advance
    roster not yet
  29. USAshare
    #30 · Group D · dark horse tier
    1826WC Elo52%to advance
    roster not yet
  30. Uzbekistanshare
    #31 · Group K · dark horse tier
    1824WC Elo52%to advance
    roster not yet
  31. Ivory Coastshare
    #32 · Group E · dark horse tier
    1814WC Elo64%to advance
    roster not yet
  32. Egyptshare
    #33 · Group G · long shot tier
    1810WC Elo60%to advance
    roster not yet
  33. Czech Republicshare
    #34 · Group A · long shot tier
    1796WC Elo64%to advance
    roster not yet
  34. Jordanshare
    #35 · Group J · long shot tier
    1775WC Elo40%to advance
    roster not yet
  35. DR Congoshare
    #36 · Group K · long shot tier
    1772WC Elo39%to advance
    roster not yet
  36. Swedenshare
    #37 · Group F · long shot tier
    1765WC Elo49%to advance
    roster not yet
  37. Iraqshare
    #38 · Group I · long shot tier
    1750WC Elo31%to advance
    roster not yet
  38. Tunisiashare
    #39 · Group F · long shot tier
    1738WC Elo41%to advance
    roster not yet
  39. New Zealandshare
    #40 · Group G · long shot tier
    1732WC Elo44%to advance
    roster not yet
  40. Haitishare
    #41 · Group C · long shot tier
    1698WC Elo30%to advance
    roster not yet
  41. Saudi Arabiashare
    #42 · Group H · long shot tier
    1685WC Elo40%to advance
    roster not yet
  42. South Africashare
    #43 · Group A · long shot tier
    1662WC Elo34%to advance
    roster not yet
  43. Cape Verdeshare
    #44 · Group H · long shot tier
    1653WC Elo34%to advance
    roster not yet
  44. Bosnia & Herzegovinashare
    #45 · Group B · long shot tier
    1649WC Elo50%to advance
    roster not yet
  45. Ghanashare
    #46 · Group L · long shot tier
    1625WC Elo21%to advance
    roster not yet
  46. Curaçaoshare
    #47 · Group E · long shot tier
    1602WC Elo21%to advance
    roster not yet
  47. Qatarshare
    #48 · Group B · long shot tier
    1567WC Elo32%to advance
    roster not yet

Sealed 2026-06-10, before a ball was kicked. draw: openfootball (CC0) · ratings: our national Elo from CC0 international results. Roster avg is our roster-Elo squad mean, a shadow signal, it never moves a live call.