QatarWorld Cup forecast
Group B table →Qatar need a run
Most likely finish: 4th. Group B: Switzerland, Canada, Bosnia & Herzegovina.
- win Group B
- 3%
- finish 2nd
- 11%
- best 3rd
- 18%
Why 32%?openclose
One run means every group match is played once from the rating gaps, then the table is counted. Repeat it and count how often Qatar reach the last 32.
runs
20,000
sealed
2026-06-10
venue
neutral
team rating
1567
players
not used
Group games
against Switzerland
rating 1960
8%
win
17%
draw
75%
lose
against Canada
rating 1895
11%
win
19%
draw
70%
lose
against Bosnia & Herzegovina
rating 1649
29%
win
25%
draw
46%
lose
These games use the rating gap only. Player ratings stay out until a sourced lineup can explain the adjustment.
Deep cuts
- Hardest game: Switzerland, 8% to win.
- Clean route: 15% to finish top two, no third-place rescue needed.
- Rating edge: -201 versus the Group B average.
Recent form
last 5 · 0W 2D 3L- L0–1
- D0–0
- D1–1
- L0–6
- L1–3
2 points from the last 5, 0.40 per game. Sourced results, newest on the right.
Goals
last 10scored
6
conceded
19
goal diff
-13
clean sheets
1
Over the last 10 on the open results feed, 1 with a clean sheet, 5 without scoring. Sourced facts, never simulated.
Players
ratings board →No sourced squad rows for this side yet. The list opens when a dated squad feed lands.
The record
3 calls locked. 2 of 3 graded calls landed right.
- calls made
- 3
- graded
- 3
- called right
- 2/3
The calls
- at Bosnia & Herzegovinawe called against · 3–1Called it
- at Canadawe called against · 6–0Called it
- v Switzerlandwe called against · 1–1Missed it
Context · sourced
- FIFA ranking
- 56thFIFA via Transfermarkt · 2026-07-01
Sourced context, nothing more. It never touches the call.
Under the hoodthe shadow numbers and how the rating moves. context, never a call.openclose
Signals
ProofXI rating
1543-105 this year
Our results-based team rating. Higher is stronger.
World rank
56thdown 1 place on the latest list
FIFA ranking, list of 2026-06-12. Lower is stronger.
Rating moves · per match
World Football Elo- vs Bosnia and HerzegovinaL 1–3 · 2026-06-24-35→ 1543
- at CanadaL 0–6 · 2026-06-18-13→ 1578
- vs SwitzerlandD 1–1 · 2026-06-13+24→ 1591
- vs El SalvadorD 0–0 · 2026-06-06-2→ 1567
- at Republic of IrelandL 0–1 · 2026-05-28-3→ 1569
- v TunisiaL 0–3 · 2025-12-07-23→ 1572
- v SyriaD 1–1 · 2025-12-04-4→ 1595
- v PalestineL 0–1 · 2025-12-01-21→ 1599
How each result moved this side’s rating, from the same forward-only engine the call uses, folded from the open international-results feed. Context, never a call.