Uzbekistan

the newsroom’s record on this side · all sides · today

World Cup forecast

Uzbekistan are in a fight

52%reach last 32

Most likely finish: 4th. Group K: Colombia, Portugal, DR Congo.

win Group K: 10%
finish 2nd: 20%
best 3rd: 22%

Why 52%?openclose

One run means every group match is played once from the rating gaps, then the table is counted. Repeat it and count how often Uzbekistan reach the last 32.

runs

20,000

sealed

2026-06-10

venue

neutral

team rating

1824

players

not used

Group games

against Colombia
rating 2063
16%
win
22%
draw
62%
lose
against Portugal
rating 2027
18%
win
23%
draw
59%
lose
against DR Congo
rating 1772
43%
win
26%
draw
32%
lose

These games use the rating gap only. Player ratings stay out until a sourced lineup can explain the adjustment.

Deep cuts

Hardest game: Colombia, 16% to win.
Clean route: 29% to finish top two, no third-place rescue needed.
Rating edge: -97 versus the Group K average.

Recent form

last 5 · 0W 0D 5L

L0–2at Canada
L1–2vs Netherlands
L1–3vs Colombia
L0–5vs Portugal
L1–3vs DR Congo

0 points from the last 5, 0.00 per game. Sourced results, newest on the right.

Goals

last 10

scored
10
conceded
18
goal diff
-8
clean sheets
3

Over the last 10 on the open results feed, 3 with a clean sheet, 4 without scoring. Sourced facts, never simulated.

Players

ratings board →

No sourced squad rows for this side yet. The list opens when a dated squad feed lands.

The record

3 calls locked. 2 of 3 graded calls landed right.

calls made: 3
graded: 3
called right: 2/3

The calls

at DR Congowe called a draw · 3–1Missed it
at Portugalwe called against · 5–0Called it
v Colombiawe called against · 1–3Called it

Context · sourced

FIFA ranking: 50thFIFA via Transfermarkt · 2026-07-01

Sourced context, nothing more. It never touches the call.

Under the hoodthe shadow numbers and how the rating moves. context, never a call.openclose

Signals

ProofXI rating

1732-98 this year

Our results-based team rating. Higher is stronger.

World rank

50thheld on the latest list

FIFA ranking, list of 2026-06-12. Lower is stronger.

Rating moves · per match

World Football Elo

vs DR CongoL 1–3 · 2026-06-27-46→ 1732
vs PortugalL 0–5 · 2026-06-23-28→ 1778
vs ColombiaL 1–3 · 2026-06-17-18→ 1806
vs NetherlandsL 1–2 · 2026-06-08-5→ 1824
at CanadaL 0–2 · 2026-06-01-9→ 1829
v VenezuelaD 0–0 · 2026-03-30-5→ 1838
v GabonW 3–1 · 2026-03-27+4→ 1844
vs ChinaD 2–2 · 2026-01-26-7→ 1840

How each result moved this side’s rating, from the same forward-only engine the call uses, folded from the open international-results feed. Context, never a call.