Panama

the newsroom’s record on this side · all sides · today

World Cup forecast

Panama are in a fight

67%reach last 32

Most likely finish: 3rd. Group L: England, Croatia, Ghana.

win Group L: 14%
finish 2nd: 27%
best 3rd: 27%

Why 67%?openclose

One run means every group match is played once from the rating gaps, then the table is counted. Repeat it and count how often Panama reach the last 32.

runs

20,000

sealed

2026-06-10

venue

neutral

team rating

1848

players

not used

Group games

against Ghana
rating 1625
61%
win
22%
draw
17%
lose
against Croatia
rating 1964
25%
win
25%
draw
50%
lose
against England
rating 2082
16%
win
22%
draw
62%
lose

These games use the rating gap only. Player ratings stay out until a sourced lineup can explain the adjustment.

Deep cuts

Hardest game: England, 16% to win.
Clean route: 41% to finish top two, no third-place rescue needed.
Rating edge: -32 versus the Group L average.

Recent form

last 5 · 1W 1D 3L

W4–2v Dominican Republic
D1–1vs Bosnia and Herzegovina
L0–1vs Ghana
L0–1vs Croatia
L0–2vs England

4 points from the last 5, 0.80 per game. Sourced results, newest on the right.

Goals

last 10

scored
11
conceded
17
goal diff
-6
clean sheets
0

Over the last 10 on the open results feed, 0 with a clean sheet, 4 without scoring. Sourced facts, never simulated.

Players

ratings board →

No sourced squad rows for this side yet. The list opens when a dated squad feed lands.

The record

3 calls locked. 2 of 3 graded calls landed right.

calls made: 3
graded: 3
called right: 2/3

The calls

v Englandwe called against · 0–2Called it
v Croatiawe called against · 0–1Called it
at Ghanawe backed them · 1–0Missed it

Context · sourced

FIFA ranking: 34thFIFA via Transfermarkt · 2026-07-01

Sourced context, nothing more. It never touches the call.

Under the hoodthe shadow numbers and how the rating moves. context, never a call.openclose

Signals

ProofXI rating

1769-109 this year

Our results-based team rating. Higher is stronger.

World rank

34thdown 1 place on the latest list

FIFA ranking, list of 2026-06-12. Lower is stronger.

Rating moves · per match

World Football Elo

vs EnglandL 0–2 · 2026-06-27-13→ 1769
vs CroatiaL 0–1 · 2026-06-23-19→ 1782
vs GhanaL 0–1 · 2026-06-17-47→ 1801
vs Bosnia and HerzegovinaD 1–1 · 2026-06-06-5→ 1848
v Dominican RepublicW 4–2 · 2026-06-03+2→ 1854
at BrazilL 2–6 · 2026-05-31-6→ 1852
at South AfricaW 2–1 · 2026-03-31+8→ 1858
at South AfricaD 1–1 · 2026-03-27-2→ 1850

How each result moved this side’s rating, from the same forward-only engine the call uses, folded from the open international-results feed. Context, never a call.