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Czech Republic

the newsroom’s record on this side · all sides · today

World Cup forecast

Group A table →

Czech Republic are in a fight

64%reach last 32

Most likely finish: 3rd. Group A: Mexico, South Korea, South Africa.

win Group A
16%
finish 2nd
26%
best 3rd
22%
Why 64%?openclose

One run means every group match is played once from the rating gaps, then the table is counted. Repeat it and count how often Czech Republic reach the last 32.

runs

20,000

sealed

2026-06-10

venue

neutral

team rating

1796

players

not used

Group games

  • against South Korea

    rating 1880

    28%

    win

    25%

    draw

    46%

    lose

  • against South Africa

    rating 1662

    52%

    win

    25%

    draw

    24%

    lose

  • against Mexico

    rating 1976

    20%

    win

    24%

    draw

    56%

    lose

These games use the rating gap only. Player ratings stay out until a sourced lineup can explain the adjustment.

Deep cuts

  • Hardest game: Mexico, 20% to win.
  • Clean route: 42% to finish top two, no third-place rescue needed.
  • Rating edge: -32 versus the Group A average.

Recent form

last 5 · 2W 1D 2L
  • W21v Kosovo
  • W51vs Guatemala
  • L12vs South Korea
  • D11vs South Africa
  • L03at Mexico

7 points from the last 5, 1.40 per game. Sourced results, newest on the right.

Goals

last 10
  • scored

    21

  • conceded

    14

  • goal diff

    +7

  • clean sheets

    2

Over the last 10 on the open results feed, 2 with a clean sheet, 1 without scoring. Sourced facts, never simulated.

Full squadopenclose

The record

3 calls locked. 2 of 3 graded calls landed right.

calls made
3
graded
3
called right
2/3

The calls

  • v Mexicowe called against · 0–3Called it
  • v South Africawe backed them · 1–1Missed it
  • at South Koreawe called against · 2–1Called it

Context · sourced

FIFA ranking
40thFIFA via Transfermarkt · 2026-06-29

Sourced context, nothing more. It never touches the call.

Under the hoodthe shadow numbers and how the rating moves. context, never a call.openclose

Signals

ProofXI rating

1784-20 this year

Our results-based team rating. Higher is stronger.

World rank

40thup 1 place on the latest list

FIFA ranking, list of 2026-06-12. Lower is stronger.

Rating moves · per match

World Football Elo
  • at MexicoL 03 · 2026-06-24-131750
  • vs South AfricaD 11 · 2026-06-18-101763
  • vs South KoreaL 12 · 2026-06-11-231773
  • vs GuatemalaW 51 · 2026-06-04+121796
  • v KosovoW 21 · 2026-05-31+71784
  • v DenmarkD 22 · 2026-03-31+21777
  • v Republic of IrelandD 22 · 2026-03-26-71774
  • v GibraltarW 60 · 2025-11-17+11782

How each result moved this side’s rating, from the same forward-only engine the call uses, folded from the open international-results feed. Context, never a call.