World Cup forecast
Group A table →Czech Republic are in a fight
Most likely finish: 3rd. Group A: Mexico, South Korea, South Africa.
- win Group A
- 16%
- finish 2nd
- 26%
- best 3rd
- 22%
Why 64%?openclose
One run means every group match is played once from the rating gaps, then the table is counted. Repeat it and count how often Czech Republic reach the last 32.
runs
20,000
sealed
2026-06-10
venue
neutral
team rating
1796
players
not used
Group games
against South Korea
rating 1880
28%
win
25%
draw
46%
lose
against South Africa
rating 1662
52%
win
25%
draw
24%
lose
against Mexico
rating 1976
20%
win
24%
draw
56%
lose
These games use the rating gap only. Player ratings stay out until a sourced lineup can explain the adjustment.
Deep cuts
- Hardest game: Mexico, 20% to win.
- Clean route: 42% to finish top two, no third-place rescue needed.
- Rating edge: -32 versus the Group A average.
Recent form
last 5 · 2W 1D 2L- W2–1
- W5–1
- L1–2
- D1–1
- L0–3
7 points from the last 5, 1.40 per game. Sourced results, newest on the right.
Goals
last 10scored
21
conceded
14
goal diff
+7
clean sheets
2
Over the last 10 on the open results feed, 2 with a clean sheet, 1 without scoring. Sourced facts, never simulated.
Players
ratings board →Full squadopenclose
- Adam Hložek
- Alexandr Sojka
- David Douděra
- David Jurásek
- David Zima
- Denis Višinský
- Hugo Sochůrek
- Jan Kuchta
- Jaroslav Zelený
- Jindřich Staněk
- Ladislav Krejčí
- Lukáš Červ
- Lukáš Horníček
- Lukáš Provod
- Matej Kovar
- Michal Sadílek
- Mojmír Chytil
- Patrik Schick
- Pavel Šulc
- Robin Hranac
- Štěpán Chaloupek
- Tomáš Chorý
- Tomáš Holeš
- Tomáš Souček
- Vladimir Coufal
- Vladimír Darida
The record
3 calls locked. 2 of 3 graded calls landed right.
- calls made
- 3
- graded
- 3
- called right
- 2/3
The calls
- v Mexicowe called against · 0–3Called it
- v South Africawe backed them · 1–1Missed it
- at South Koreawe called against · 2–1Called it
Context · sourced
- FIFA ranking
- 40thFIFA via Transfermarkt · 2026-06-29
Sourced context, nothing more. It never touches the call.
Under the hoodthe shadow numbers and how the rating moves. context, never a call.openclose
Signals
ProofXI rating
1784-20 this year
Our results-based team rating. Higher is stronger.
World rank
40thup 1 place on the latest list
FIFA ranking, list of 2026-06-12. Lower is stronger.
Rating moves · per match
World Football Elo- at MexicoL 0–3 · 2026-06-24-13→ 1750
- vs South AfricaD 1–1 · 2026-06-18-10→ 1763
- vs South KoreaL 1–2 · 2026-06-11-23→ 1773
- vs GuatemalaW 5–1 · 2026-06-04+12→ 1796
- v KosovoW 2–1 · 2026-05-31+7→ 1784
- v DenmarkD 2–2 · 2026-03-31+2→ 1777
- v Republic of IrelandD 2–2 · 2026-03-26-7→ 1774
- v GibraltarW 6–0 · 2025-11-17+1→ 1782
How each result moved this side’s rating, from the same forward-only engine the call uses, folded from the open international-results feed. Context, never a call.