ArgentinaWorld Cup forecast
Group J table →Argentina are almost through
Most likely finish: 1st. Group J: Austria, Algeria, Jordan.
- win Group J
- 71%
- finish 2nd
- 20%
- best 3rd
- 6%
Why 97%?openclose
One run means every group match is played once from the rating gaps, then the table is counted. Repeat it and count how often Argentina reach the last 32.
runs
20,000
sealed
2026-06-10
venue
neutral
team rating
2188
players
not used
Group games
against Algeria
rating 1873
69%
win
20%
draw
11%
lose
against Austria
rating 1894
67%
win
20%
draw
12%
lose
against Jordan
rating 1775
77%
win
16%
draw
7%
lose
These games use the rating gap only. Player ratings stay out until a sourced lineup can explain the adjustment.
Deep cuts
- Hardest game: Austria, 67% to win.
- Clean route: 91% to finish top two, no third-place rescue needed.
- Rating edge: +256 versus the Group J average.
Recent form
last 5 · 4W 0D 1L- W3–2
- W3–2
- W3–1
- W2–1
- L0–1
12 points from the last 5, 2.40 per game. Sourced results, newest on the right.
Goals
last 10scored
24
conceded
8
goal diff
+16
clean sheets
4
Over the last 10 on the open results feed, 4 with a clean sheet, 1 without scoring. Sourced facts, never simulated.
Players
ratings board →No sourced squad rows for this side yet. The list opens when a dated squad feed lands.
The record
8 calls locked. 7 of 8 graded calls landed right.
- calls made
- 8
- graded
- 8
- called right
- 7/8
The calls
- at Spainwe called a draw · 1–0Missed it
- at Englandwe backed them · 1–2Called it
- v Switzerlandwe backed them · 3–1Called it
- v Egyptwe backed them · 3–2Called it
- v Cape Verdewe backed them · 3–2Called it
- at Jordanwe backed them · 1–3Called it
- v Austriawe backed them · 2–0Called it
- v Algeriawe backed them · 3–0Called it
Context · sourced
- FIFA ranking
- 1stFIFA via Transfermarkt · 2026-07-01
Sourced context, nothing more. It never touches the call.
Under the hoodthe shadow numbers and how the rating moves. context, never a call.openclose
Signals
ProofXI rating
2249+46 this year
Our results-based team rating. Higher is stronger.
World rank
1stup 2 places on the latest list
FIFA ranking, list of 2026-06-12. Lower is stronger.
Rating moves · per match
World Football Elo- vs SpainL 0–1 · 2026-07-19-29→ 2249
- vs EnglandW 2–1 · 2026-07-15+23→ 2277
- vs SwitzerlandW 3–1 · 2026-07-11+21→ 2255
- vs EgyptW 3–2 · 2026-07-07+7→ 2234
- vs Cape VerdeW 3–2 · 2026-07-03+3→ 2227
- vs JordanW 3–1 · 2026-06-27+5→ 2224
- vs AustriaW 2–0 · 2026-06-22+15→ 2219
- vs AlgeriaW 3–0 · 2026-06-16+16→ 2204
How each result moved this side’s rating, from the same forward-only engine the call uses, folded from the open international-results feed. Context, never a call.