Skip to content
World Cup 2026by ProofXIReceipts

Australia

the newsroom’s record on this side · all sides · today

World Cup forecast

Group D table →

Australia are in a fight

68%reach last 32

Most likely finish: 3rd. Group D: Turkey, Paraguay, USA.

win Group D
24%
finish 2nd
26%
best 3rd
18%
Why 68%?openclose

One run means every group match is played once from the rating gaps, then the table is counted. Repeat it and count how often Australia reach the last 32.

runs

20,000

sealed

2026-06-10

venue

neutral

team rating

1902

players

not used

Group games

  • against Turkey

    rating 1963

    31%

    win

    26%

    draw

    44%

    lose

  • against USA

    rating 1826

    45%

    win

    25%

    draw

    29%

    lose

  • against Paraguay

    rating 1918

    35%

    win

    26%

    draw

    39%

    lose

These games use the rating gap only. Player ratings stay out until a sourced lineup can explain the adjustment.

Deep cuts

  • Hardest game: Turkey, 31% to win.
  • Clean route: 50% to finish top two, no third-place rescue needed.
  • Rating edge: +0 versus the Group D average.

Recent form

last 5 · 1W 3D 1L
  • D1–1vs Switzerland
  • W2–0vs Turkey
  • L0–2at United States
  • D0–0vs Paraguay
  • D1–1vs Egypt

6 points from the last 5, 1.20 per game. Sourced results, newest on the right.

Goals

last 10

  • scored

    10

  • conceded

    10

  • goal diff

    0

  • clean sheets

    3

Over the last 10 on the open results feed, 3 with a clean sheet, 5 without scoring. Sourced facts, never simulated.

Players

ratings board →

No sourced squad rows for this side yet. The list opens when a dated squad feed lands.

The record

4 calls locked. 1 of 4 graded calls landed right.

calls made
4
graded
4
called right
1/4

The calls

  • v Egyptwe backed them · 3–5Missed it
  • at Paraguaywe called a draw · 0–0Called it
  • at USAwe called a draw · 2–0Missed it
  • v Turkeywe called against · 2–0Missed it

Context · sourced

FIFA ranking
27thFIFA via Transfermarkt · 2026-07-01

Sourced context, nothing more. It never touches the call.

Under the hoodthe shadow numbers and how the rating moves. context, never a call.openclose

Signals

ProofXI rating

1907+18 this year

Our results-based team rating. Higher is stronger.

World rank

27thheld on the latest list

FIFA ranking, list of 2026-06-12. Lower is stronger.

Rating moves · per match

World Football Elo
  • vs EgyptD 1–1 · 2026-07-03-4→ 1907
  • vs ParaguayD 0–0 · 2026-06-25-1→ 1911
  • at United StatesL 0–2 · 2026-06-19-42→ 1912
  • vs TurkeyW 2–0 · 2026-06-13+53→ 1954
  • vs SwitzerlandD 1–1 · 2026-06-06+2→ 1902
  • vs MexicoL 0–1 · 2026-05-30-8→ 1900
  • v CuraçaoW 5–1 · 2026-03-31+5→ 1908
  • v CameroonW 1–0 · 2026-03-27+5→ 1903

How each result moved this side’s rating, from the same forward-only engine the call uses, folded from the open international-results feed. Context, never a call.