Iraq

the newsroom’s record on this side · all sides · today

World Cup forecast

Iraq need a run

31%reach last 32

Most likely finish: 4th. Group I: France, Norway, Senegal.

win Group I: 4%
finish 2nd: 12%
best 3rd: 15%

Why 31%?openclose

One run means every group match is played once from the rating gaps, then the table is counted. Repeat it and count how often Iraq reach the last 32.

runs

20,000

sealed

2026-06-10

venue

neutral

team rating

1750

players

not used

Group games

against Norway
rating 1956
18%
win
23%
draw
59%
lose
against France
rating 2122
9%
win
18%
draw
74%
lose
against Senegal
rating 1920
21%
win
24%
draw
55%
lose

These games use the rating gap only. Player ratings stay out until a sourced lineup can explain the adjustment.

Deep cuts

Hardest game: France, 9% to win.
Clean route: 16% to finish top two, no third-place rescue needed.
Rating edge: -187 versus the Group I average.

Recent form

last 5 · 0W 1D 4L

D1–1at Spain
L0–2vs Venezuela
L1–4vs Norway
L0–3vs France
L0–5vs Senegal

1 points from the last 5, 0.20 per game. Sourced results, newest on the right.

Goals

last 10

scored
7
conceded
19
goal diff
-12
clean sheets
2

Over the last 10 on the open results feed, 2 with a clean sheet, 5 without scoring. Sourced facts, never simulated.

Players

ratings board →

No sourced squad rows for this side yet. The list opens when a dated squad feed lands.

The record

3 graded, 3 called right. A clean sheet, and we noticed.

calls made: 3
graded: 3
called right: 3/3

The calls

at Senegalwe called against · 5–0Called it
at Francewe called against · 3–0Called it
v Norwaywe called against · 1–4Called it

Context · sourced

FIFA ranking: 57thFIFA via Transfermarkt · 2026-07-01

Sourced context, nothing more. It never touches the call.

Under the hoodthe shadow numbers and how the rating moves. context, never a call.openclose

Signals

ProofXI rating

1672-11 this year

Our results-based team rating. Higher is stronger.

World rank

57thheld on the latest list

FIFA ranking, list of 2026-06-12. Lower is stronger.

Rating moves · per match

World Football Elo

vs SenegalL 0–5 · 2026-06-26-34→ 1672
vs FranceL 0–3 · 2026-06-22-8→ 1706
vs NorwayL 1–4 · 2026-06-16-23→ 1714
vs VenezuelaL 0–2 · 2026-06-09-12→ 1737
at SpainD 1–1 · 2026-06-04+9→ 1750
vs AndorraW 1–0 · 2026-05-29+1→ 1740
vs BoliviaW 2–1 · 2026-03-31+23→ 1740
vs JordanL 0–1 · 2025-12-12-13→ 1717

How each result moved this side’s rating, from the same forward-only engine the call uses, folded from the open international-results feed. Context, never a call.