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World Cup 2026by ProofXIReceipts

Belgium

the newsroom’s record on this side · all sides · today

World Cup forecast

Group G table →

Belgium should get through

87%reach last 32

Most likely finish: 1st. Group G: Iran, Egypt, New Zealand.

win Group G
45%
finish 2nd
28%
best 3rd
13%
Why 87%?openclose

One run means every group match is played once from the rating gaps, then the table is counted. Repeat it and count how often Belgium reach the last 32.

runs

20,000

sealed

2026-06-10

venue

neutral

team rating

1971

players

not used

Group games

  • against Egypt

    rating 1810

    54%

    win

    24%

    draw

    22%

    lose

  • against Iran

    rating 1904

    44%

    win

    26%

    draw

    30%

    lose

  • against New Zealand

    rating 1732

    62%

    win

    22%

    draw

    16%

    lose

These games use the rating gap only. Player ratings stay out until a sourced lineup can explain the adjustment.

Deep cuts

  • Hardest game: Iran, 44% to win.
  • Clean route: 74% to finish top two, no third-place rescue needed.
  • Rating edge: +117 versus the Group G average.

Recent form

last 5 · 3W 1D 1L
  • D0–0vs Iran
  • W5–1vs New Zealand
  • W3–2vs Senegal
  • W4–1at United States
  • L1–2vs Spain

10 points from the last 5, 2.00 per game. Sourced results, newest on the right.

Goals

last 10

  • scored

    27

  • conceded

    10

  • goal diff

    +17

  • clean sheets

    3

Over the last 10 on the open results feed, 3 with a clean sheet, 1 without scoring. Sourced facts, never simulated.

Players

ratings board →

No sourced squad rows for this side yet. The list opens when a dated squad feed lands.

The record

6 calls locked. 4 of 6 graded calls landed right.

calls made
6
graded
6
called right
4/6

The calls

  • at Spainwe called against · 2–1Called it
  • at USAwe backed them · 1–4Called it
  • v Senegalwe backed them · 3–2Called it
  • at New Zealandwe backed them · 1–5Called it
  • v Iranwe backed them · 0–0Missed it
  • v Egyptwe backed them · 1–1Missed it

Context · sourced

FIFA ranking
9thFIFA via Transfermarkt · 2026-07-01

Sourced context, nothing more. It never touches the call.

Under the hoodthe shadow numbers and how the rating moves. context, never a call.openclose

Signals

ProofXI rating

2035+109 this year

Our results-based team rating. Higher is stronger.

World rank

9thheld on the latest list

FIFA ranking, list of 2026-06-12. Lower is stronger.

Rating moves · per match

World Football Elo
  • vs SpainL 1–2 · 2026-07-10-15→ 2035
  • at United StatesW 4–1 · 2026-07-06+51→ 2050
  • vs SenegalW 3–2 · 2026-07-01+24→ 1999
  • vs New ZealandW 5–1 · 2026-06-26+22→ 1975
  • vs IranD 0–0 · 2026-06-21-6→ 1953
  • vs EgyptD 1–1 · 2026-06-15-13→ 1958
  • v TunisiaW 5–0 · 2026-06-06+5→ 1971
  • at CroatiaW 2–0 · 2026-06-02+21→ 1966

How each result moved this side’s rating, from the same forward-only engine the call uses, folded from the open international-results feed. Context, never a call.