Paraguay

the newsroom’s record on this side · all sides · today

World Cup forecast

Paraguay are in good shape

71%reach last 32

Most likely finish: 2nd. Group D: Turkey, Australia, USA.

win Group D: 26%
finish 2nd: 27%
best 3rd: 18%

Why 71%?openclose

One run means every group match is played once from the rating gaps, then the table is counted. Repeat it and count how often Paraguay reach the last 32.

runs

20,000

sealed

2026-06-10

venue

neutral

team rating

1918

players

not used

Group games

against USA
rating 1826
47%
win
25%
draw
28%
lose
against Turkey
rating 1963
32%
win
26%
draw
42%
lose
against Australia
rating 1902
39%
win
26%
draw
35%
lose

These games use the rating gap only. Player ratings stay out until a sourced lineup can explain the adjustment.

Deep cuts

Hardest game: Turkey, 32% to win.
Clean route: 53% to finish top two, no third-place rescue needed.
Rating edge: +16 versus the Group D average.

Recent form

last 5 · 1W 2D 2L

L1–4at United States
W1–0vs Turkey
D0–0vs Australia
D1–1vs Germany
L0–1vs France

5 points from the last 5, 1.00 per game. Sourced results, newest on the right.

Goals

last 10

scored
12
conceded
11
goal diff
+1
clean sheets
4

Over the last 10 on the open results feed, 4 with a clean sheet, 2 without scoring. Sourced facts, never simulated.

Players

ratings board →

No sourced squad rows for this side yet. The list opens when a dated squad feed lands.

The record

5 calls locked. 2 of 5 graded calls landed right.

calls made: 5
graded: 5
called right: 2/5

The calls

v Francewe called against · 0–1Called it
at Germanywe called against · 4–5Missed it
v Australiawe called a draw · 0–0Called it
at Turkeywe called against · 0–1Missed it
at USAwe backed them · 4–1Missed it

Context · sourced

FIFA ranking: 41stFIFA via Transfermarkt · 2026-07-01

Sourced context, nothing more. It never touches the call.

Under the hoodthe shadow numbers and how the rating moves. context, never a call.openclose

Signals

ProofXI rating

1900-1 this year

Our results-based team rating. Higher is stronger.

World rank

41stdown 1 place on the latest list

FIFA ranking, list of 2026-06-12. Lower is stronger.

Rating moves · per match

World Football Elo

vs FranceL 0–1 · 2026-07-04-10→ 1900
vs GermanyD 1–1 · 2026-06-29+8→ 1909
vs AustraliaD 0–0 · 2026-06-25+1→ 1901
vs TurkeyW 1–0 · 2026-06-19+34→ 1900
at United StatesL 1–4 · 2026-06-12-51→ 1866
v NicaraguaW 4–0 · 2026-06-05+2→ 1918
vs MoroccoL 1–2 · 2026-03-31-9→ 1916
at GreeceW 1–0 · 2026-03-27+10→ 1925

How each result moved this side’s rating, from the same forward-only engine the call uses, folded from the open international-results feed. Context, never a call.