29 Jun, 20:30 UTC
Germany v Paraguay
Germany win
5 in 10 · locked before kickoff
Today in football
The calls, rumours and player moves that changed the picture today, with receipts.
Match call
Germany v Paraguay
Our call: Germany win.
5 in 10 · locked before kickoff
Calls to watch
Locked before kickoff. The number is a forecast frequency, like 7 in 10, not a market line.
30 Jun, 01:00 UTC
Netherlands v Morocco
Netherlands win
4 in 10 · locked before kickoff
30 Jun, 17:00 UTC
Ivory Coast v Norway
Norway win
5 in 10 · locked before kickoff
30 Jun, 21:00 UTC
France v Sweden
France win
7 in 10 · locked before kickoff
1 Jul, 01:00 UTC
Mexico v Ecuador
Mexico win
5 in 10 · locked before kickoff
1 Jul, 16:00 UTC
England v Congo DR
England win
7 in 10 · locked before kickoff
Transfer truth meter
Not every rumour is equal. The evidence score reads source strength and detail, not a probability the move happens. A rumour is never called official.
Official
OfficialEvidence score: 99/100
Frank Onyeka
Brentford → Coventry City
Done and confirmed by a club or governing-body source.
Show receipts
Last checked 29 Jun 20:53 UTC
ProofXI: Official Brentford confirmation is enough to mark this as confirmed. Fee is not public, so use undisclosed rather than estimating.
Source:Brentford FC
OfficialEvidence score: 99/100
Casemiro
Manchester United → Free agent
Done and confirmed by a club or governing-body source.
Show receipts
Last checked 29 Jun 19:48 UTC
ProofXI: Official Premier League released-list data places Carlos Henrique Casimiro under Manchester United free transfers. This card asserts the United exit only, not any onward move.
Sources:Premier LeagueManchester United
OfficialEvidence score: 99/100
Tyrell Malacia
Manchester United → Free agent
Done and confirmed by a club or governing-body source.
Show receipts
Last checked 29 Jun 19:48 UTC
ProofXI: Official Premier League released-list data places Malacia under Manchester United free transfers. The exit is treated as confirmed; the destination stays unknown until a club announces his next move.
Sources:Premier LeagueManchester United
Strong reports
Strong reportEvidence score: 86/100
Casemiro
Manchester United → Inter Miami
Advanced talks reported by credible sources, not yet official.
Show receipts
Last checked 29 Jun 19:48 UTC
ProofXI: The Manchester United exit is official; the Inter Miami arrival is not yet announced by the club or MLS. Strong reporting points to a verbal or full agreement with only the announcement outstanding, so Glassbox keeps this a strong report rather than confirmed.
Strong reportEvidence score: 78/100
Cristian Orozco
Fortaleza CEIF → Man United
Advanced talks reported by credible sources, not yet official.
Show receipts
Last checked 29 Jun 20:53 UTC
ProofXI: Multiple reports point to medical/registration timing, but Manchester United have not officially announced the transfer. Treat as academy/U21 pipeline item, not a first-team confirmed signing.
Sources:The StandardThe StandardGOAL
Strong reportEvidence score: 72/100
Jack Butland
Rangers → Hull City
Advanced talks reported by credible sources, not yet official.
Show receipts
Last checked 29 Jun 14:58 UTC
ProofXI: Source upgrade from tabloid/live reporting to Sky Sports. Held as a strong report rather than confirmed because Hull, Rangers and the Premier League have not announced the transfer. Hull are a promoted Premier League club this season, so this is in board scope.
Rumours
RumourEvidence score: 32/100
Bradley Barcola
PSG → Liverpool
Interest or speculation, not independently confirmed.
Show receipts
Last checked 29 Jun 17:23 UTC
ProofXI: Sky Sports (tier-1) places Barcola highly among Liverpool's alternatives, but there is no reported bid, agent contact, or club-to-club discussion. Kept in the rumour band: this is interest being explored rather than active negotiation. Companion to the Diomande card (yan-diomande_rb-leipzig_liverpool_summer-2026) in the main 2026-06-29 batch.
Source:Sky Sports
RumourEvidence score: 64/100
Malo Gusto
Chelsea → Man City
Interest or speculation, not independently confirmed.
Show receipts
Last checked 29 Jun 20:53 UTC
ProofXI: This is a downgrade, not a positive transfer signal. Keep as weak rumour unless stronger sourcing returns.
RumourEvidence score: 48/100
Yan Diomande
RB Leipzig → Liverpool
Interest or speculation, not independently confirmed.
Show receipts
Last checked 29 Jun 13:48 UTC
ProofXI: Demotes the earlier Liverpool-leading card: PSG is now ahead (see the separate RB Leipzig -> PSG card). Held in the rumour band; the live confidence figure does not drop below what was already shown (the board never lowers a number once published), but the wording now reflects the cooled Liverpool interest.
Player stock
Movers on our own player board, computed from the football. A board number, never a borrowed ranking.
Rising
- L. Messi2108▲ +37
- A. Freeman1811▲ +37
- I. Basic1581▲ +32
Falling
- A. Nematov1473▼ -62
- Jalal Hassan Hachim1489▼ -59
- Mahmud Abunada1461▼ -55
Club watch
Where the title and top-four races stand on our projection, and the latest move in each club's window.
Arsenal
Title 45% · Top four 85%
Strong report: Morgan Rogers from Aston Villa
Man City
Title 16% · Top four 58%
Strong report: Elliot Anderson from Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
Title 8% · Top four 40%
No live transfer move on the desk yet.
Man United
Title 7% · Top four 37%
Strong report: Cristian Orozco from Fortaleza CEIF
Liverpool
Title 6% · Top four 36%
Rumour: Bradley Barcola from PSG
Bournemouth
Title 4% · Top four 24%
No live transfer move on the desk yet.
Your watchlist
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