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World Cup 2026by ProofXIReceipts

Senegal

the newsroom’s record on this side · all sides · today

World Cup forecast

Group I table →

Senegal are in a fight

68%reach last 32

Most likely finish: 3rd. Group I: France, Norway, Iraq.

win Group I
17%
finish 2nd
29%
best 3rd
22%
Why 68%?openclose

One run means every group match is played once from the rating gaps, then the table is counted. Repeat it and count how often Senegal reach the last 32.

runs

20,000

sealed

2026-06-10

venue

neutral

team rating

1920

players

not used

Group games

  • against France

    rating 2122

    18%

    win

    23%

    draw

    59%

    lose

  • against Norway

    rating 1956

    33%

    win

    26%

    draw

    41%

    lose

  • against Iraq

    rating 1750

    55%

    win

    24%

    draw

    21%

    lose

These games use the rating gap only. Player ratings stay out until a sourced lineup can explain the adjustment.

Deep cuts

  • Hardest game: France, 18% to win.
  • Clean route: 46% to finish top two, no third-place rescue needed.
  • Rating edge: -17 versus the Group I average.

Recent form

last 5 · 1W 1D 3L
  • D0–0vs Saudi Arabia
  • L1–3vs France
  • L2–3vs Norway
  • W5–0vs Iraq
  • L2–3vs Belgium

4 points from the last 5, 0.80 per game. Sourced results, newest on the right.

Goals

last 10

  • scored

    18

  • conceded

    16

  • goal diff

    +2

  • clean sheets

    4

Over the last 10 on the open results feed, 4 with a clean sheet, 2 without scoring. Sourced facts, never simulated.

Players

ratings board →

No sourced squad rows for this side yet. The list opens when a dated squad feed lands.

The record

4 graded, 4 called right. A clean sheet, and we noticed.

calls made
4
graded
4
called right
4/4

The calls

  • at Belgiumwe called against · 3–2Called it
  • v Iraqwe backed them · 5–0Called it
  • at Norwaywe called against · 3–2Called it
  • at Francewe called against · 3–1Called it

Context · sourced

FIFA ranking
15thFIFA via Transfermarkt · 2026-07-01

Sourced context, nothing more. It never touches the call.

Under the hoodthe shadow numbers and how the rating moves. context, never a call.openclose

Signals

ProofXI rating

1880-17 this year

Our results-based team rating. Higher is stronger.

World rank

15thdown 1 place on the latest list

FIFA ranking, list of 2026-06-12. Lower is stronger.

Rating moves · per match

World Football Elo
  • vs BelgiumL 2–3 · 2026-07-01-24→ 1880
  • vs IraqW 5–0 · 2026-06-26+34→ 1904
  • vs NorwayL 2–3 · 2026-06-22-23→ 1870
  • vs FranceL 1–3 · 2026-06-16-21→ 1893
  • vs Saudi ArabiaD 0–0 · 2026-06-09-6→ 1914
  • at United StatesL 2–3 · 2026-05-31-10→ 1920
  • v GambiaW 3–1 · 2026-03-31+2→ 1930
  • vs PeruW 2–0 · 2026-03-28+9→ 1928

How each result moved this side’s rating, from the same forward-only engine the call uses, folded from the open international-results feed. Context, never a call.