Senegal

the newsroom’s record on this side · all sides · today

World Cup forecast

Senegal are in a fight

68%reach last 32

Most likely finish: 3rd. Group I: France, Norway, Iraq.

win Group I: 17%
finish 2nd: 29%
best 3rd: 22%

Why 68%?openclose

One run means every group match is played once from the rating gaps, then the table is counted. Repeat it and count how often Senegal reach the last 32.

runs

20,000

sealed

2026-06-10

venue

neutral

team rating

1920

players

not used

Group games

against France
rating 2122
18%
win
23%
draw
59%
lose
against Norway
rating 1956
33%
win
26%
draw
41%
lose
against Iraq
rating 1750
55%
win
24%
draw
21%
lose

These games use the rating gap only. Player ratings stay out until a sourced lineup can explain the adjustment.

Deep cuts

Hardest game: France, 18% to win.
Clean route: 46% to finish top two, no third-place rescue needed.
Rating edge: -17 versus the Group I average.

Recent form

last 5 · 1W 1D 3L

D0–0vs Saudi Arabia
L1–3vs France
L2–3vs Norway
W5–0vs Iraq
L2–3vs Belgium

4 points from the last 5, 0.80 per game. Sourced results, newest on the right.

Goals

last 10

scored
18
conceded
16
goal diff
+2
clean sheets
4

Over the last 10 on the open results feed, 4 with a clean sheet, 2 without scoring. Sourced facts, never simulated.

Players

ratings board →

No sourced squad rows for this side yet. The list opens when a dated squad feed lands.

The record

4 graded, 4 called right. A clean sheet, and we noticed.

calls made: 4
graded: 4
called right: 4/4

The calls

at Belgiumwe called against · 3–2Called it
v Iraqwe backed them · 5–0Called it
at Norwaywe called against · 3–2Called it
at Francewe called against · 3–1Called it

Under the hoodthe shadow numbers and how the rating moves. context, never a call.openclose

Signals

ProofXI rating

1880-36 this year

Our results-based team rating. Higher is stronger.

World rank

15thdown 1 place on the latest list

FIFA ranking, list of 2026-06-12. Lower is stronger.

Rating moves · per match

World Football Elo

vs BelgiumL 2–3 · 2026-07-01-24→ 1880
vs IraqW 5–0 · 2026-06-26+34→ 1904
vs NorwayL 2–3 · 2026-06-22-23→ 1870
vs FranceL 1–3 · 2026-06-16-21→ 1893
vs Saudi ArabiaD 0–0 · 2026-06-09-6→ 1914
at United StatesL 2–3 · 2026-05-31-10→ 1920
v GambiaW 3–1 · 2026-03-31+2→ 1930
vs PeruW 2–0 · 2026-03-28+9→ 1928

How each result moved this side’s rating, from the same forward-only engine the call uses, folded from the open international-results feed. Context, never a call.