Portugal

the newsroom’s record on this side · all sides · today

World Cup forecast

Portugal should get through

86%reach last 32

Most likely finish: 1st. Group K: Colombia, Uzbekistan, DR Congo.

win Group K: 38%
finish 2nd: 34%
best 3rd: 14%

Why 86%?openclose

One run means every group match is played once from the rating gaps, then the table is counted. Repeat it and count how often Portugal reach the last 32.

runs

20,000

sealed

2026-06-10

venue

neutral

team rating

2027

players

not used

Group games

against DR Congo
rating 1772
64%
win
21%
draw
15%
lose
against Uzbekistan
rating 1824
59%
win
23%
draw
18%
lose
against Colombia
rating 2063
33%
win
26%
draw
41%
lose

These games use the rating gap only. Player ratings stay out until a sourced lineup can explain the adjustment.

Deep cuts

Hardest game: Colombia, 33% to win.
Clean route: 72% to finish top two, no third-place rescue needed.
Rating edge: +106 versus the Group K average.

Recent form

last 5 · 2W 2D 1L

D1–1vs DR Congo
W5–0vs Uzbekistan
D0–0vs Colombia
W2–1vs Croatia
L0–1vs Spain

8 points from the last 5, 1.60 per game. Sourced results, newest on the right.

Goals

last 10

scored
23
conceded
6
goal diff
+17
clean sheets
4

Over the last 10 on the open results feed, 4 with a clean sheet, 3 without scoring. Sourced facts, never simulated.

Players

ratings board →

No sourced squad rows for this side yet. The list opens when a dated squad feed lands.

The record

5 calls locked. 3 of 5 graded calls landed right.

calls made: 5
graded: 5
called right: 3/5

The calls

v Spainwe called against · 0–1Called it
v Croatiawe backed them · 2–1Called it
at Colombiawe called against · 0–0Missed it
v Uzbekistanwe backed them · 5–0Called it
v DR Congowe backed them · 1–1Missed it

Context · sourced

FIFA ranking: 5thFIFA via Transfermarkt · 2026-07-01

Sourced context, nothing more. It never touches the call.

Under the hoodthe shadow numbers and how the rating moves. context, never a call.openclose

Signals

ProofXI rating

2050-11 this year

Our results-based team rating. Higher is stronger.

World rank

5thheld on the latest list

FIFA ranking, list of 2026-06-12. Lower is stronger.

Rating moves · per match

World Football Elo

vs SpainL 0–1 · 2026-07-06-18→ 2050
vs CroatiaW 2–1 · 2026-07-02+23→ 2067
vs ColombiaD 0–0 · 2026-06-27+4→ 2044
vs UzbekistanW 5–0 · 2026-06-23+28→ 2040
vs DR CongoD 1–1 · 2026-06-17-19→ 2012
v NigeriaW 2–1 · 2026-06-10+4→ 2031
v ChileW 2–1 · 2026-06-06+3→ 2027
at United StatesW 2–0 · 2026-03-31+12→ 2025

How each result moved this side’s rating, from the same forward-only engine the call uses, folded from the open international-results feed. Context, never a call.