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Bosnia & Herzegovina

the newsroom’s record on this side · all sides · today

World Cup forecast

Group B table →

Bosnia & Herzegovina need a run

50%reach last 32

Most likely finish: 3rd. Group B: Switzerland, Canada, Qatar.

win Group B
6%
finish 2nd
18%
best 3rd
25%
Why 50%?openclose

One run means every group match is played once from the rating gaps, then the table is counted. Repeat it and count how often Bosnia & Herzegovina reach the last 32.

runs

20,000

sealed

2026-06-10

venue

neutral

team rating

1649

players

not used

Group games

  • against Canada

    rating 1895

    15%

    win

    22%

    draw

    63%

    lose

  • against Switzerland

    rating 1960

    11%

    win

    20%

    draw

    69%

    lose

  • against Qatar

    rating 1567

    46%

    win

    25%

    draw

    29%

    lose

These games use the rating gap only. Player ratings stay out until a sourced lineup can explain the adjustment.

Deep cuts

  • Hardest game: Switzerland, 11% to win.
  • Clean route: 24% to finish top two, no third-place rescue needed.
  • Rating edge: -119 versus the Group B average.

Recent form

last 5 · 1W 3D 1L
  • D0–0v North Macedonia
  • D1–1vs Panama
  • D1–1at Canada
  • L1–4vs Switzerland
  • W3–1vs Qatar

6 points from the last 5, 1.20 per game. Sourced results, newest on the right.

Goals

last 10

  • scored

    16

  • conceded

    12

  • goal diff

    +4

  • clean sheets

    1

Over the last 10 on the open results feed, 1 with a clean sheet, 1 without scoring. Sourced facts, never simulated.

Players

ratings board →
Full squadopenclose

Our roster Elo: seeded from the team’s rating, moved only by matches actually played. A shadow signal, it never touches a live call. The board: all rated players.

The record

4 calls locked. 2 of 3 graded calls landed right.

calls made
4
graded
3
called right
2/3

The calls

  • at USAwe called againstSealed
  • v Qatarwe backed them · 3–1Called it
  • at Switzerlandwe called against · 4–1Called it
  • at Canadawe called against · 1–1Missed it

Context · sourced

FIFA ranking
64thFIFA via Transfermarkt · 2026-06-29

Sourced context, nothing more. It never touches the call.

Under the hoodthe shadow numbers and how the rating moves. context, never a call.openclose

Squad strength

all players →

roster Elo average

1607

15 rated players, 24103 total points. A squad read, not a lineup guess.

best-rated XI

1630

17932 total / 11

next seven

1543

6171 total / 4

How it can move a forecastopenclose

Best-rated XI is the strongest 11 rated players, not a predicted lineup. The number is a pressure test for squad ceiling.

When lineups are sourced, confirmed XI can be compared with expected XI. The delta is shrunk, capped, shown, then applied.

Squad value · our estimate

all players →

€3m–€12m

≈ €5.9m · 1 of 15 rated players priced

Our own fee model, summed over the squad: the level each plays at, his age, role and what we’ve measured of him. Not a valuation site’s numbers; we don’t republish those. A band, not a point. Contract length and release clauses are data we don’t hold. Players without a sourced club tier aren’t priced (so this totals 1, not the whole squad). Context only. It never touches a call.

Signals

ProofXI rating

1643+68 this year

Our results-based team rating. Higher is stronger.

World rank

64thup 1 place on the latest list

FIFA ranking, list of 2026-06-12. Lower is stronger.

Rating moves · per match

World Football Elo
  • vs QatarW 3–1 · 2026-06-24+36→ 1688
  • vs SwitzerlandL 1–4 · 2026-06-18-19→ 1653
  • at CanadaD 1–1 · 2026-06-12+23→ 1671
  • vs PanamaD 1–1 · 2026-06-06+5→ 1649
  • v North MacedoniaD 0–0 · 2026-05-29-3→ 1643
  • v ItalyD 1–1 · 2026-03-31+10→ 1646
  • at WalesD 1–1 · 2026-03-26+12→ 1637
  • at AustriaD 1–1 · 2025-11-18+16→ 1624

How each result moved this side’s rating, from the same forward-only engine the call uses, folded from the open international-results feed. Context, never a call.