World Cup forecast
Group B table →Bosnia & Herzegovina need a run
Most likely finish: 3rd. Group B: Switzerland, Canada, Qatar.
- win Group B
- 6%
- finish 2nd
- 18%
- best 3rd
- 25%
Why 50%?openclose
One run means every group match is played once from the rating gaps, then the table is counted. Repeat it and count how often Bosnia & Herzegovina reach the last 32.
runs
20,000
sealed
2026-06-10
venue
neutral
team rating
1649
players
not used
Group games
against Canada
rating 1895
15%
win
22%
draw
63%
lose
against Switzerland
rating 1960
11%
win
20%
draw
69%
lose
against Qatar
rating 1567
46%
win
25%
draw
29%
lose
These games use the rating gap only. Player ratings stay out until a sourced lineup can explain the adjustment.
Deep cuts
- Hardest game: Switzerland, 11% to win.
- Clean route: 24% to finish top two, no third-place rescue needed.
- Rating edge: -119 versus the Group B average.
Recent form
last 5 · 1W 2D 2L- D1–1
- D1–1
- L1–4
- W3–1
- L0–2
5 points from the last 5, 1.00 per game. Sourced results, newest on the right.
Goals
last 10scored
12
conceded
13
goal diff
-1
clean sheets
1
Over the last 10 on the open results feed, 1 with a clean sheet, 2 without scoring. Sourced facts, never simulated.
Players
ratings board →No sourced squad rows for this side yet. The list opens when a dated squad feed lands.
The record
4 calls locked. 3 of 4 graded calls landed right.
- calls made
- 4
- graded
- 4
- called right
- 3/4
The calls
- at USAwe called against · 2–0Called it
- v Qatarwe backed them · 3–1Called it
- at Switzerlandwe called against · 4–1Called it
- at Canadawe called against · 1–1Missed it
Context · sourced
- FIFA ranking
- 64thFIFA via Transfermarkt · 2026-07-01
Sourced context, nothing more. It never touches the call.
Under the hoodthe shadow numbers and how the rating moves. context, never a call.openclose
Signals
ProofXI rating
1674+101 this year
Our results-based team rating. Higher is stronger.
World rank
64thup 1 place on the latest list
FIFA ranking, list of 2026-06-12. Lower is stronger.
Rating moves · per match
World Football Elo- at United StatesL 0–2 · 2026-07-01-14→ 1674
- vs QatarW 3–1 · 2026-06-24+35→ 1688
- vs SwitzerlandL 1–4 · 2026-06-18-19→ 1653
- at CanadaD 1–1 · 2026-06-12+23→ 1672
- vs PanamaD 1–1 · 2026-06-06+5→ 1649
- v North MacedoniaD 0–0 · 2026-05-29-3→ 1643
- v ItalyD 1–1 · 2026-03-31+10→ 1646
- at WalesD 1–1 · 2026-03-26+12→ 1637
How each result moved this side’s rating, from the same forward-only engine the call uses, folded from the open international-results feed. Context, never a call.