Curaçao

the newsroom’s record on this side · all sides · today

World Cup forecast

Curaçao need a run

21%reach last 32

Most likely finish: 4th. Group E: Ecuador, Germany, Ivory Coast.

win Group E: 2%
finish 2nd: 7%
best 3rd: 12%

Why 21%?openclose

One run means every group match is played once from the rating gaps, then the table is counted. Repeat it and count how often Curaçao reach the last 32.

runs

20,000

sealed

2026-06-10

venue

neutral

team rating

1602

players

not used

Group games

against Germany
rating 2007
7%
win
17%
draw
76%
lose
against Ecuador
rating 2027
7%
win
16%
draw
77%
lose
against Ivory Coast
rating 1814
18%
win
23%
draw
60%
lose

These games use the rating gap only. Player ratings stay out until a sourced lineup can explain the adjustment.

Deep cuts

Hardest game: Ecuador, 7% to win.
Clean route: 9% to finish top two, no third-place rescue needed.
Rating edge: -260 versus the Group E average.

Recent form

last 5 · 1W 1D 3L

L1–4at Scotland
W4–0v Aruba
L1–7vs Germany
D0–0vs Ecuador
L0–2vs Ivory Coast

4 points from the last 5, 0.80 per game. Sourced results, newest on the right.

Goals

last 10

scored
15
conceded
21
goal diff
-6
clean sheets
4

Over the last 10 on the open results feed, 4 with a clean sheet, 4 without scoring. Sourced facts, never simulated.

Players

ratings board →

No sourced squad rows for this side yet. The list opens when a dated squad feed lands.

The record

3 calls locked. 2 of 3 graded calls landed right.

calls made: 3
graded: 3
called right: 2/3

The calls

v Ivory Coastwe called against · 0–2Called it
at Ecuadorwe called against · 0–0Missed it
at Germanywe called against · 7–1Called it

Context · sourced

FIFA ranking: 82ndFIFA via Transfermarkt · 2026-07-01

Sourced context, nothing more. It never touches the call.

Under the hoodthe shadow numbers and how the rating moves. context, never a call.openclose

Signals

ProofXI rating

1596+20 this year

Our results-based team rating. Higher is stronger.

World rank

82ndheld on the latest list

FIFA ranking, list of 2026-06-12. Lower is stronger.

Rating moves · per match

World Football Elo

vs Ivory CoastL 0–2 · 2026-06-25-19→ 1596
vs EcuadorD 0–0 · 2026-06-20+24→ 1615
vs GermanyL 1–7 · 2026-06-14-11→ 1591
v ArubaW 4–0 · 2026-06-06+2→ 1602
at ScotlandL 1–4 · 2026-05-30-5→ 1600
at AustraliaL 1–5 · 2026-03-31-5→ 1605
vs ChinaL 0–2 · 2026-03-27-29→ 1610
at JamaicaD 0–0 · 2025-11-18+8→ 1639

How each result moved this side’s rating, from the same forward-only engine the call uses, folded from the open international-results feed. Context, never a call.