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Curaçao

the newsroom’s record on this side · all sides · today

World Cup forecast

Group E table →

Curaçao need a run

21%reach last 32

Most likely finish: 4th. Group E: Ecuador, Germany, Ivory Coast.

win Group E
2%
finish 2nd
7%
best 3rd
12%
Why 21%?openclose

One run means every group match is played once from the rating gaps, then the table is counted. Repeat it and count how often Curaçao reach the last 32.

runs

20,000

sealed

2026-06-10

venue

neutral

team rating

1602

players

not used

Group games

  • against Germany

    rating 2007

    7%

    win

    17%

    draw

    76%

    lose

  • against Ecuador

    rating 2027

    7%

    win

    16%

    draw

    77%

    lose

  • against Ivory Coast

    rating 1814

    18%

    win

    23%

    draw

    60%

    lose

These games use the rating gap only. Player ratings stay out until a sourced lineup can explain the adjustment.

Deep cuts

  • Hardest game: Ecuador, 7% to win.
  • Clean route: 9% to finish top two, no third-place rescue needed.
  • Rating edge: -260 versus the Group E average.

Recent form

last 5 · 1W 1D 3L
  • L1–4at Scotland
  • W4–0v Aruba
  • L1–7vs Germany
  • D0–0vs Ecuador
  • L0–2vs Ivory Coast

4 points from the last 5, 0.80 per game. Sourced results, newest on the right.

Goals

last 10

  • scored

    15

  • conceded

    21

  • goal diff

    -6

  • clean sheets

    4

Over the last 10 on the open results feed, 4 with a clean sheet, 4 without scoring. Sourced facts, never simulated.

Team news · sourced

Ecuador 0-0 Curaçao: World Cup 2026 – as it happened — Eloy Room set a World Cup record for saves and Curaçao earned their first-ever World Cup point. Real Alexander Abnos’ minute-by-minute report.

theguardian.com · 2026-06-28

A sourced read on availability, picked for relevance and gated fresh. It never touches the call.

Players

ratings board →
  • Curaçao
    A. ObispoDefender · 26
    1713quality rating±55 · T2▲ +2
    17 apps · 1258′WC perf +1
  • In formCuraçao
    T. ChongMidfielder · 26
    1534quality rating±69 · T2▲ +16
    4 apps · 339′WC perf +5
  • Curaçao
    S. FloranusDefender · 27
    1503quality rating±55 · T2▲ +5
    31 apps · 2741′WC perf +4
  • Curaçao
    J. BrenetDefender · 31
    1506quality rating±57 · T2▲ +3
    17 apps · 1212′WC perf +2
  • Curaçao
    Deveron FonvilleDefender · 22
    1494quality rating±56 · T2▲ +1
    33 apps · 1815′WC perf +1
  • Curaçao
    J. GaariDefender · 32
    1488quality rating±59 · T2▼ −2
    11 apps · 897′WC perf −1
  • Curaçao
    L. ComenenciaMidfielder · 21
    1475quality rating±60 · T2▲ +8
    9 apps · 724′
  • Curaçao
    E. RoomGoalkeeper · 36
    1470quality rating±56 · T2▼ −12
    10 apps · 912′
Full squadopenclose

Our roster Elo: seeded from the team’s rating, moved only by matches actually played. A shadow signal, it never touches a live call. The board: all rated players.

The record

3 calls locked. 2 of 3 graded calls landed right.

calls made
3
graded
3
called right
2/3

The calls

  • v Ivory Coastwe called against · 0–2Called it
  • at Ecuadorwe called against · 0–0Missed it
  • at Germanywe called against · 7–1Called it

Context · sourced

FIFA ranking
82ndFIFA via Transfermarkt · 2026-06-29

Sourced context, nothing more. It never touches the call.

Under the hoodthe shadow numbers and how the rating moves. context, never a call.openclose

Squad strength

all players →

roster Elo average

1472

16 rated players, 23550 total points. A squad read, not a lineup guess.

best-rated XI

1507

16575 total / 11

next seven

1395

6975 total / 5

How it can move a forecastopenclose

Best-rated XI is the strongest 11 rated players, not a predicted lineup. The number is a pressure test for squad ceiling.

When lineups are sourced, confirmed XI can be compared with expected XI. The delta is shrunk, capped, shown, then applied.

Signals

ProofXI rating

1600+87 this year

Our results-based team rating. Higher is stronger.

World rank

82ndheld on the latest list

FIFA ranking, list of 2026-06-12. Lower is stronger.

Rating moves · per match

World Football Elo
  • vs Ivory CoastL 0–2 · 2026-06-25-19→ 1596
  • vs EcuadorD 0–0 · 2026-06-20+24→ 1615
  • vs GermanyL 1–7 · 2026-06-14-11→ 1591
  • v ArubaW 4–0 · 2026-06-06+2→ 1602
  • at ScotlandL 1–4 · 2026-05-30-5→ 1600
  • at AustraliaL 1–5 · 2026-03-31-5→ 1605
  • vs ChinaL 0–2 · 2026-03-27-29→ 1610
  • at JamaicaD 0–0 · 2025-11-18+8→ 1639

How each result moved this side’s rating, from the same forward-only engine the call uses, folded from the open international-results feed. Context, never a call.