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World Cup 2026by ProofXIReceipts

Netherlands

the newsroom’s record on this side · all sides · today

World Cup forecast

Group F table →

Netherlands should get through

90%reach last 32

Most likely finish: 1st. Group F: Japan, Sweden, Tunisia.

win Group F
45%
finish 2nd
32%
best 3rd
12%
Why 90%?openclose

One run means every group match is played once from the rating gaps, then the table is counted. Repeat it and count how often Netherlands reach the last 32.

runs

20,000

sealed

2026-06-10

venue

neutral

team rating

2012

players

not used

Group games

  • against Japan

    rating 1993

    39%

    win

    26%

    draw

    35%

    lose

  • against Sweden

    rating 1765

    63%

    win

    22%

    draw

    15%

    lose

  • against Tunisia

    rating 1738

    66%

    win

    21%

    draw

    14%

    lose

These games use the rating gap only. Player ratings stay out until a sourced lineup can explain the adjustment.

Deep cuts

  • Hardest game: Japan, 39% to win.
  • Clean route: 77% to finish top two, no third-place rescue needed.
  • Rating edge: +135 versus the Group F average.

Recent form

last 5 · 3W 2D 0L
  • W2–1vs Uzbekistan
  • D2–2vs Japan
  • W5–1vs Sweden
  • W3–1vs Tunisia
  • D1–1vs Morocco

11 points from the last 5, 2.20 per game. Sourced results, newest on the right.

Goals

last 10

  • scored

    21

  • conceded

    10

  • goal diff

    +11

  • clean sheets

    1

Over the last 10 on the open results feed, 1 with a clean sheet, 1 without scoring. Sourced facts, never simulated.

Players

ratings board →

No sourced squad rows for this side yet. The list opens when a dated squad feed lands.

The record

4 calls locked. 2 of 4 graded calls landed right.

calls made
4
graded
4
called right
2/4

The calls

  • v Moroccowe backed them · 2–2Missed it
  • at Tunisiawe backed them · 1–3Called it
  • v Swedenwe backed them · 5–1Called it
  • v Japanwe backed them · 2–2Missed it

Context · sourced

FIFA ranking
8thFIFA via Transfermarkt · 2026-07-01

Sourced context, nothing more. It never touches the call.

Under the hoodthe shadow numbers and how the rating moves. context, never a call.openclose

Signals

ProofXI rating

2046+10 this year

Our results-based team rating. Higher is stronger.

World rank

8thdown 1 place on the latest list

FIFA ranking, list of 2026-06-12. Lower is stronger.

Rating moves · per match

World Football Elo
  • vs MoroccoD 1–1 · 2026-06-29-2→ 2046
  • vs TunisiaW 3–1 · 2026-06-25+10→ 2048
  • vs SwedenW 5–1 · 2026-06-20+28→ 2038
  • vs JapanD 2–2 · 2026-06-14-2→ 2011
  • vs UzbekistanW 2–1 · 2026-06-08+5→ 2012
  • v AlgeriaL 0–1 · 2026-06-03-16→ 2007
  • v EcuadorD 1–1 · 2026-03-31-3→ 2023
  • v NorwayW 2–1 · 2026-03-27+6→ 2026

How each result moved this side’s rating, from the same forward-only engine the call uses, folded from the open international-results feed. Context, never a call.