Saudi Arabia

the newsroom’s record on this side · all sides · today

World Cup forecast

Saudi Arabia need a run

40%reach last 32

Most likely finish: 4th. Group H: Spain, Uruguay, Cape Verde.

win Group H: 2%
finish 2nd: 14%
best 3rd: 23%

Why 40%?openclose

One run means every group match is played once from the rating gaps, then the table is counted. Repeat it and count how often Saudi Arabia reach the last 32.

runs

20,000

sealed

2026-06-10

venue

neutral

team rating

1685

players

not used

Group games

against Uruguay
rating 1974
13%
win
20%
draw
67%
lose
against Spain
rating 2210
4%
win
13%
draw
83%
lose
against Cape Verde
rating 1653
40%
win
26%
draw
34%
lose

These games use the rating gap only. Player ratings stay out until a sourced lineup can explain the adjustment.

Deep cuts

Hardest game: Spain, 4% to win.
Clean route: 16% to finish top two, no third-place rescue needed.
Rating edge: -195 versus the Group H average.

Recent form

last 5 · 1W 3D 1L

W3–0vs Puerto Rico
D0–0vs Senegal
D1–1vs Uruguay
L0–4vs Spain
D0–0vs Cape Verde

6 points from the last 5, 1.20 per game. Sourced results, newest on the right.

Goals

last 10

scored
8
conceded
15
goal diff
-7
clean sheets
3

Over the last 10 on the open results feed, 3 with a clean sheet, 5 without scoring. Sourced facts, never simulated.

Players

ratings board →

No sourced squad rows for this side yet. The list opens when a dated squad feed lands.

The record

3 calls locked. 2 of 3 graded calls landed right.

calls made: 3
graded: 3
called right: 2/3

The calls

at Cape Verdewe called a draw · 0–0Called it
at Spainwe called against · 5–0Called it
v Uruguaywe called against · 1–1Missed it

Context · sourced

FIFA ranking: 61stFIFA via Transfermarkt · 2026-07-01

Sourced context, nothing more. It never touches the call.

Under the hoodthe shadow numbers and how the rating moves. context, never a call.openclose

Signals

ProofXI rating

1704+16 this year

Our results-based team rating. Higher is stronger.

World rank

61stheld on the latest list

FIFA ranking, list of 2026-06-12. Lower is stronger.

Rating moves · per match

World Football Elo

vs Cape VerdeD 0–0 · 2026-06-260→ 1704
vs SpainL 0–4 · 2026-06-21-7→ 1704
vs UruguayD 1–1 · 2026-06-15+20→ 1711
vs SenegalD 0–0 · 2026-06-09+6→ 1691
vs Puerto RicoW 3–0 · 2026-06-05+5→ 1685
vs EcuadorL 1–2 · 2026-05-30-3→ 1681
at SerbiaL 1–2 · 2026-03-31-4→ 1683
v EgyptL 0–4 · 2026-03-27-20→ 1687

How each result moved this side’s rating, from the same forward-only engine the call uses, folded from the open international-results feed. Context, never a call.