Brazil

the newsroom’s record on this side · all sides · today

World Cup forecast

Brazil should get through

93%reach last 32

Most likely finish: 1st. Group C: Morocco, Scotland, Haiti.

win Group C: 53%
finish 2nd: 30%
best 3rd: 11%

Why 93%?openclose

One run means every group match is played once from the rating gaps, then the table is counted. Repeat it and count how often Brazil reach the last 32.

runs

20,000

sealed

2026-06-10

venue

neutral

team rating

2068

players

not used

Group games

against Morocco
rating 1984
46%
win
25%
draw
28%
lose
against Haiti
rating 1698
74%
win
18%
draw
9%
lose
against Scotland
rating 1833
62%
win
22%
draw
16%
lose

These games use the rating gap only. Player ratings stay out until a sourced lineup can explain the adjustment.

Deep cuts

Hardest game: Morocco, 46% to win.
Clean route: 82% to finish top two, no third-place rescue needed.
Rating edge: +172 versus the Group C average.

Recent form

last 5 · 3W 1D 1L

D1–1vs Morocco
W3–0vs Haiti
W3–0vs Scotland
W2–1vs Japan
L1–2vs Norway

10 points from the last 5, 2.00 per game. Sourced results, newest on the right.

Goals

last 10

scored
23
conceded
11
goal diff
+12
clean sheets
2

Over the last 10 on the open results feed, 2 with a clean sheet. Sourced facts, never simulated.

Players

ratings board →

No sourced squad rows for this side yet. The list opens when a dated squad feed lands.

The record

5 calls locked. 3 of 5 graded calls landed right.

calls made: 5
graded: 5
called right: 3/5

The calls

v Norwaywe backed them · 1–2Missed it
v Japanwe backed them · 2–1Called it
at Scotlandwe backed them · 0–3Called it
v Haitiwe backed them · 3–0Called it
v Moroccowe backed them · 1–1Missed it

Context · sourced

FIFA ranking: 6thFIFA via Transfermarkt · 2026-07-01

Sourced context, nothing more. It never touches the call.

Under the hoodthe shadow numbers and how the rating moves. context, never a call.openclose

Signals

ProofXI rating

2074-2 this year

Our results-based team rating. Higher is stronger.

World rank

6thheld on the latest list

FIFA ranking, list of 2026-06-12. Lower is stronger.

Rating moves · per match

World Football Elo

vs NorwayL 1–2 · 2026-07-05-40→ 2074
vs JapanW 2–1 · 2026-06-29+22→ 2114
vs ScotlandW 3–0 · 2026-06-24+21→ 2093
vs HaitiW 3–0 · 2026-06-19+11→ 2071
vs MoroccoD 1–1 · 2026-06-13-7→ 2061
vs EgyptW 2–1 · 2026-06-06+4→ 2068
v PanamaW 6–2 · 2026-05-31+6→ 2064
vs CroatiaW 3–1 · 2026-03-31+13→ 2058

How each result moved this side’s rating, from the same forward-only engine the call uses, folded from the open international-results feed. Context, never a call.