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Jordan

the newsroom’s record on this side · all sides · today

World Cup forecast

Group J table →

Jordan need a run

40%reach last 32

Most likely finish: 4th. Group J: Argentina, Austria, Algeria.

win Group J
5%
finish 2nd
18%
best 3rd
17%
Why 40%?openclose

One run means every group match is played once from the rating gaps, then the table is counted. Repeat it and count how often Jordan reach the last 32.

runs

20,000

sealed

2026-06-10

venue

neutral

team rating

1775

players

not used

Group games

  • against Austria

    rating 1894

    25%

    win

    25%

    draw

    50%

    lose

  • against Algeria

    rating 1873

    27%

    win

    25%

    draw

    48%

    lose

  • against Argentina

    rating 2188

    7%

    win

    16%

    draw

    77%

    lose

These games use the rating gap only. Player ratings stay out until a sourced lineup can explain the adjustment.

Deep cuts

  • Hardest game: Argentina, 7% to win.
  • Clean route: 23% to finish top two, no third-place rescue needed.
  • Rating edge: -157 versus the Group J average.

Recent form

last 5 · 0W 0D 5L
  • L1–4at Switzerland
  • L0–2vs Colombia
  • L1–3vs Austria
  • L1–2vs Algeria
  • L1–3vs Argentina

0 points from the last 5, 0.00 per game. Sourced results, newest on the right.

Goals

last 10

  • scored

    12

  • conceded

    21

  • goal diff

    -9

  • clean sheets

    2

Over the last 10 on the open results feed, 2 with a clean sheet, 1 without scoring. Sourced facts, never simulated.

Players

ratings board →
Full squadopenclose

Our roster Elo: seeded from the team’s rating, moved only by matches actually played. A shadow signal, it never touches a live call. The board: all rated players.

The record

3 graded, 3 called right. A clean sheet, and we noticed.

calls made
3
graded
3
called right
3/3

The calls

  • v Argentinawe called against · 1–3Called it
  • v Algeriawe called against · 1–2Called it
  • at Austriawe called against · 3–1Called it

Context · sourced

FIFA ranking
63rdFIFA via Transfermarkt · 2026-06-29

Sourced context, nothing more. It never touches the call.

Under the hoodthe shadow numbers and how the rating moves. context, never a call.openclose

Squad strength

all players →

roster Elo average

1529

14 rated players, 21412 total points. A squad read, not a lineup guess.

best-rated XI

1540

16935 total / 11

next seven

1492

4477 total / 3

How it can move a forecastopenclose

Best-rated XI is the strongest 11 rated players, not a predicted lineup. The number is a pressure test for squad ceiling.

When lineups are sourced, confirmed XI can be compared with expected XI. The delta is shrunk, capped, shown, then applied.

Squad value · our estimate

all players →

€6m–€23m

≈ €12m · 1 of 14 rated players priced

Our own fee model, summed over the squad: the level each plays at, his age, role and what we’ve measured of him. Not a valuation site’s numbers; we don’t republish those. A band, not a point. Contract length and release clauses are data we don’t hold. Players without a sourced club tier aren’t priced (so this totals 1, not the whole squad). Context only. It never touches a call.

Signals

ProofXI rating

1780+36 this year

Our results-based team rating. Higher is stronger.

World rank

63rdheld on the latest list

FIFA ranking, list of 2026-06-12. Lower is stronger.

Rating moves · per match

World Football Elo
  • vs ArgentinaL 1–3 · 2026-06-27-5→ 1720
  • vs AlgeriaL 1–2 · 2026-06-22-20→ 1725
  • vs AustriaL 1–3 · 2026-06-16-30→ 1744
  • vs ColombiaL 0–2 · 2026-06-07-5→ 1775
  • at SwitzerlandL 1–4 · 2026-05-31-6→ 1780
  • vs NigeriaD 2–2 · 2026-03-31+3→ 1786
  • vs Costa RicaD 2–2 · 2026-03-27-1→ 1783
  • vs MoroccoL 2–3 · 2025-12-18-9→ 1784

How each result moved this side’s rating, from the same forward-only engine the call uses, folded from the open international-results feed. Context, never a call.