South AfricaWorld Cup forecast
Group A table →South Africa need a run
Most likely finish: 4th. Group A: Mexico, South Korea, Czech Republic.
- win Group A
- 5%
- finish 2nd
- 13%
- best 3rd
- 16%
Why 34%?openclose
One run means every group match is played once from the rating gaps, then the table is counted. Repeat it and count how often South Africa reach the last 32.
runs
20,000
sealed
2026-06-10
venue
neutral
team rating
1662
players
not used
Group games
against Mexico
rating 1976
11%
win
20%
draw
69%
lose
against Czech Republic
rating 1796
24%
win
25%
draw
52%
lose
against South Korea
rating 1880
17%
win
23%
draw
60%
lose
These games use the rating gap only. Player ratings stay out until a sourced lineup can explain the adjustment.
Deep cuts
- Hardest game: Mexico, 11% to win.
- Clean route: 18% to finish top two, no third-place rescue needed.
- Rating edge: -166 versus the Group A average.
Recent form
last 5 · 2W 1D 2L- W1–0
- L0–2
- D1–1
- W1–0
- L0–1
7 points from the last 5, 1.40 per game. Sourced results, newest on the right.
Goals
last 10scored
9
conceded
11
goal diff
-2
clean sheets
3
Over the last 10 on the open results feed, 3 with a clean sheet, 3 without scoring. Sourced facts, never simulated.
Players
ratings board →No sourced squad rows for this side yet. The list opens when a dated squad feed lands.
The record
4 calls locked. 2 of 4 graded calls landed right.
- calls made
- 4
- graded
- 4
- called right
- 2/4
The calls
- v Canadawe called against · 0–1Called it
- v South Koreawe called against · 1–0Missed it
- at Czech Republicwe called against · 1–1Missed it
- at Mexicowe called against · 2–0Called it
Context · sourced
- FIFA ranking
- 60thFIFA via Transfermarkt · 2026-07-01
Sourced context, nothing more. It never touches the call.
Under the hoodthe shadow numbers and how the rating moves. context, never a call.openclose
Signals
ProofXI rating
1693+17 this year
Our results-based team rating. Higher is stronger.
World rank
60thheld on the latest list
FIFA ranking, list of 2026-06-12. Lower is stronger.
Rating moves · per match
World Football Elo- vs CanadaL 0–1 · 2026-06-28-18→ 1693
- vs South KoreaW 1–0 · 2026-06-24+47→ 1712
- vs Czech RepublicD 1–1 · 2026-06-18+10→ 1665
- at MexicoL 0–2 · 2026-06-11-8→ 1655
- vs JamaicaW 1–0 · 2026-06-06+10→ 1663
- v NicaraguaD 0–0 · 2026-05-29-7→ 1652
- v PanamaL 1–2 · 2026-03-31-8→ 1659
- v PanamaD 1–1 · 2026-03-27+2→ 1667
How each result moved this side’s rating, from the same forward-only engine the call uses, folded from the open international-results feed. Context, never a call.