South KoreaWorld Cup forecast
Group A table →South Korea are in good shape
Most likely finish: 2nd. Group A: Mexico, Czech Republic, South Africa.
- win Group A
- 29%
- finish 2nd
- 33%
- best 3rd
- 18%
Why 79%?openclose
One run means every group match is played once from the rating gaps, then the table is counted. Repeat it and count how often South Korea reach the last 32.
runs
20,000
sealed
2026-06-10
venue
neutral
team rating
1880
players
not used
Group games
against Czech Republic
rating 1796
46%
win
25%
draw
28%
lose
against Mexico
rating 1976
27%
win
25%
draw
47%
lose
against South Africa
rating 1662
60%
win
23%
draw
17%
lose
These games use the rating gap only. Player ratings stay out until a sourced lineup can explain the adjustment.
Deep cuts
- Hardest game: Mexico, 27% to win.
- Clean route: 62% to finish top two, no third-place rescue needed.
- Rating edge: +52 versus the Group A average.
Recent form
last 5 · 3W 0D 2L- W5–0
- W1–0
- W2–1
- L0–1
- L0–1
9 points from the last 5, 1.80 per game. Sourced results, newest on the right.
Goals
last 10scored
13
conceded
8
goal diff
+5
clean sheets
5
Over the last 10 on the open results feed, 5 with a clean sheet, 4 without scoring. Sourced facts, never simulated.
Players
ratings board →No sourced squad rows for this side yet. The list opens when a dated squad feed lands.
The record
3 calls locked. 2 of 3 graded calls landed right.
- calls made
- 3
- graded
- 3
- called right
- 2/3
The calls
- at South Africawe backed them · 1–0Missed it
- at Mexicowe called against · 1–0Called it
- v Czech Republicwe backed them · 2–1Called it
Context · sourced
- FIFA ranking
- 25thFIFA via Transfermarkt · 2026-07-01
Sourced context, nothing more. It never touches the call.
Under the hoodthe shadow numbers and how the rating moves. context, never a call.openclose
Signals
ProofXI rating
1840-45 this year
Our results-based team rating. Higher is stronger.
World rank
25thheld on the latest list
FIFA ranking, list of 2026-06-12. Lower is stronger.
Rating moves · per match
World Football Elo- vs South AfricaL 0–1 · 2026-06-24-47→ 1840
- at MexicoL 0–1 · 2026-06-18-16→ 1887
- vs Czech RepublicW 2–1 · 2026-06-11+23→ 1903
- vs El SalvadorW 1–0 · 2026-06-03+2→ 1880
- vs Trinidad and TobagoW 5–0 · 2026-05-30+5→ 1878
- at AustriaL 0–1 · 2026-03-31-7→ 1873
- vs Ivory CoastL 0–4 · 2026-03-28-26→ 1880
- v GhanaW 1–0 · 2025-11-18+2→ 1906
How each result moved this side’s rating, from the same forward-only engine the call uses, folded from the open international-results feed. Context, never a call.