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South Korea

the newsroom’s record on this side · all sides · today

World Cup forecast

Group A table →

South Korea are in good shape

79%reach last 32

Most likely finish: 2nd. Group A: Mexico, Czech Republic, South Africa.

win Group A
29%
finish 2nd
33%
best 3rd
18%
Why 79%?openclose

One run means every group match is played once from the rating gaps, then the table is counted. Repeat it and count how often South Korea reach the last 32.

runs

20,000

sealed

2026-06-10

venue

neutral

team rating

1880

players

not used

Group games

  • against Czech Republic

    rating 1796

    46%

    win

    25%

    draw

    28%

    lose

  • against Mexico

    rating 1976

    27%

    win

    25%

    draw

    47%

    lose

  • against South Africa

    rating 1662

    60%

    win

    23%

    draw

    17%

    lose

These games use the rating gap only. Player ratings stay out until a sourced lineup can explain the adjustment.

Deep cuts

  • Hardest game: Mexico, 27% to win.
  • Clean route: 62% to finish top two, no third-place rescue needed.
  • Rating edge: +52 versus the Group A average.

Recent form

last 5 · 3W 0D 2L
  • W5–0vs Trinidad and Tobago
  • W1–0vs El Salvador
  • W2–1vs Czech Republic
  • L0–1at Mexico
  • L0–1vs South Africa

9 points from the last 5, 1.80 per game. Sourced results, newest on the right.

Goals

last 10

  • scored

    13

  • conceded

    8

  • goal diff

    +5

  • clean sheets

    5

Over the last 10 on the open results feed, 5 with a clean sheet, 4 without scoring. Sourced facts, never simulated.

Players

ratings board →
Full squadopenclose

Our roster Elo: seeded from the team’s rating, moved only by matches actually played. A shadow signal, it never touches a live call. The board: all rated players.

The record

3 calls locked. 2 of 3 graded calls landed right.

calls made
3
graded
3
called right
2/3

The calls

  • at South Africawe backed them · 1–0Missed it
  • at Mexicowe called against · 1–0Called it
  • v Czech Republicwe backed them · 2–1Called it

Context · sourced

FIFA ranking
25thFIFA via Transfermarkt · 2026-06-29

Sourced context, nothing more. It never touches the call.

Under the hoodthe shadow numbers and how the rating moves. context, never a call.openclose

Squad strength

all players →

roster Elo average

1674

16 rated players, 26785 total points. A squad read, not a lineup guess.

best-rated XI

1724

18968 total / 11

next seven

1563

7817 total / 5

How it can move a forecastopenclose

Best-rated XI is the strongest 11 rated players, not a predicted lineup. The number is a pressure test for squad ceiling.

When lineups are sourced, confirmed XI can be compared with expected XI. The delta is shrunk, capped, shown, then applied.

Squad value · our estimate

all players →

€6.5m–€25m

≈ €13m · 1 of 16 rated players priced

Our own fee model, summed over the squad: the level each plays at, his age, role and what we’ve measured of him. Not a valuation site’s numbers; we don’t republish those. A band, not a point. Contract length and release clauses are data we don’t hold. Players without a sourced club tier aren’t priced (so this totals 1, not the whole squad). Context only. It never touches a call.

Signals

ProofXI rating

1878+19 this year

Our results-based team rating. Higher is stronger.

World rank

25thheld on the latest list

FIFA ranking, list of 2026-06-12. Lower is stronger.

Rating moves · per match

World Football Elo
  • vs South AfricaL 0–1 · 2026-06-24-47→ 1840
  • at MexicoL 0–1 · 2026-06-18-16→ 1887
  • vs Czech RepublicW 2–1 · 2026-06-11+23→ 1903
  • vs El SalvadorW 1–0 · 2026-06-03+2→ 1880
  • vs Trinidad and TobagoW 5–0 · 2026-05-30+5→ 1878
  • at AustriaL 0–1 · 2026-03-31-7→ 1873
  • vs Ivory CoastL 0–4 · 2026-03-28-26→ 1880
  • v GhanaW 1–0 · 2025-11-18+2→ 1906

How each result moved this side’s rating, from the same forward-only engine the call uses, folded from the open international-results feed. Context, never a call.