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World Cup 2026by ProofXIReceipts

Norway

the newsroom’s record on this side · all sides · today

World Cup forecast

Group I table →

Norway are in good shape

75%reach last 32

Most likely finish: 2nd. Group I: France, Senegal, Iraq.

win Group I
22%
finish 2nd
33%
best 3rd
20%
Why 75%?openclose

One run means every group match is played once from the rating gaps, then the table is counted. Repeat it and count how often Norway reach the last 32.

runs

20,000

sealed

2026-06-10

venue

neutral

team rating

1956

players

not used

Group games

  • against Iraq

    rating 1750

    59%

    win

    23%

    draw

    18%

    lose

  • against Senegal

    rating 1920

    41%

    win

    26%

    draw

    33%

    lose

  • against France

    rating 2122

    21%

    win

    24%

    draw

    55%

    lose

These games use the rating gap only. Player ratings stay out until a sourced lineup can explain the adjustment.

Deep cuts

  • Hardest game: France, 21% to win.
  • Clean route: 55% to finish top two, no third-place rescue needed.
  • Rating edge: +19 versus the Group I average.

Recent form

last 5 · 3W 0D 2L
  • W3–2vs Senegal
  • L1–4vs France
  • W2–1vs Ivory Coast
  • W2–1vs Brazil
  • L1–2vs England

9 points from the last 5, 1.80 per game. Sourced results, newest on the right.

Goals

last 10

  • scored

    18

  • conceded

    15

  • goal diff

    +3

  • clean sheets

    1

Over the last 10 on the open results feed, 1 with a clean sheet, 1 without scoring. Sourced facts, never simulated.

Players

ratings board →

No sourced squad rows for this side yet. The list opens when a dated squad feed lands.

The record

6 calls locked. 4 of 6 graded calls landed right.

calls made
6
graded
6
called right
4/6

The calls

  • v Englandwe called against · 1–2Called it
  • at Brazilwe called against · 1–2Missed it
  • at Ivory Coastwe backed them · 1–2Called it
  • v Francewe called a draw · 1–4Missed it
  • v Senegalwe backed them · 3–2Called it
  • at Iraqwe backed them · 1–4Called it

Context · sourced

FIFA ranking
31stFIFA via Transfermarkt · 2026-07-01

Sourced context, nothing more. It never touches the call.

Under the hoodthe shadow numbers and how the rating moves. context, never a call.openclose

Signals

ProofXI rating

2012+113 this year

Our results-based team rating. Higher is stronger.

World rank

31stheld on the latest list

FIFA ranking, list of 2026-06-12. Lower is stronger.

Rating moves · per match

World Football Elo
  • vs EnglandL 1–2 · 2026-07-11-20→ 2012
  • vs BrazilW 2–1 · 2026-07-05+40→ 2032
  • vs Ivory CoastW 2–1 · 2026-06-30+21→ 1992
  • vs FranceL 1–4 · 2026-06-26-31→ 1971
  • vs SenegalW 3–2 · 2026-06-22+23→ 2002
  • vs IraqW 4–1 · 2026-06-16+23→ 1980
  • vs MoroccoD 1–1 · 2026-06-07+1→ 1956
  • v SwedenW 3–1 · 2026-06-01+5→ 1956

How each result moved this side’s rating, from the same forward-only engine the call uses, folded from the open international-results feed. Context, never a call.