Skip to content

Egypt

the newsroom’s record on this side · all sides · today

World Cup forecast

Group G table →

Egypt are in a fight

60%reach last 32

Most likely finish: 3rd. Group G: Belgium, Iran, New Zealand.

win Group G
16%
finish 2nd
24%
best 3rd
20%
Why 60%?openclose

One run means every group match is played once from the rating gaps, then the table is counted. Repeat it and count how often Egypt reach the last 32.

runs

20,000

sealed

2026-06-10

venue

neutral

team rating

1810

players

not used

Group games

  • against Belgium

    rating 1971

    22%

    win

    24%

    draw

    54%

    lose

  • against New Zealand

    rating 1732

    46%

    win

    25%

    draw

    29%

    lose

  • against Iran

    rating 1904

    28%

    win

    25%

    draw

    47%

    lose

These games use the rating gap only. Player ratings stay out until a sourced lineup can explain the adjustment.

Deep cuts

  • Hardest game: Belgium, 22% to win.
  • Clean route: 40% to finish top two, no third-place rescue needed.
  • Rating edge: -44 versus the Group G average.

Recent form

last 5 · 2W 2D 1L
  • W1–0v Russia
  • L1–2vs Brazil
  • D1–1vs Belgium
  • W3–1vs New Zealand
  • D1–1vs Iran

8 points from the last 5, 1.60 per game. Sourced results, newest on the right.

Goals

last 10

  • scored

    14

  • conceded

    8

  • goal diff

    +6

  • clean sheets

    4

Over the last 10 on the open results feed, 4 with a clean sheet, 3 without scoring. Sourced facts, never simulated.

Team news · sourced

Socceroos to meet Mo Salah’s Egypt in World Cup last 32 with star player under injury cloud — Australia to face the Pharaohs for first time at global tournament while Salah was substituted before wild finish to Group G and side’s draw with Iran

theguardian.com · 2026-06-29

A sourced read on availability, picked for relevance and gated fresh. It never touches the call.

Players

ratings board →
  • Egypt
    Omar MarmoushAttacker · 26
    2009quality rating±51 · T2▲ +6
    25 apps · 1502′WC perf −4
  • In formEgypt
    Mohamed SalahAttacker · 33
    1946quality rating±51 · T2▲ +23
    25 apps · 1931′WC perf +6
  • Egypt
    Mohamed AbdelmonemDefender · 26
    1649quality rating±73 · T2
    8 apps · 457′on club + age
  • In formEgypt
    Mohamed HanyDefender · 29
    1583quality rating±55 · T2▲ +25
    15 apps · 1334′WC perf +5
  • In formEgypt
    Emam AshourMidfielder · 27
    1586quality rating±58 · T2▲ +23
    15 apps · 888′WC perf +3
  • In formEgypt
    Ahmed FatouhDefender · 27
    1580quality rating±56 · T2▲ +18
    13 apps · 927′
  • Egypt
    Marwan AttiaMidfielder · 27
    1569quality rating±56 · T2▲ +14
    14 apps · 1133′WC perf −1
  • Egypt
    TrézéguetMidfielder · 31
    1573quality rating±74 · T2▲ +14
    5 apps · 257′WC perf +5
Full squadopenclose

Our roster Elo: seeded from the team’s rating, moved only by matches actually played. A shadow signal, it never touches a live call. The board: all rated players.

The record

3 calls locked. 2 of 3 graded calls landed right.

calls made
3
graded
3
called right
2/3

The calls

  • v Iranwe called against · 1–2Called it
  • at New Zealandwe backed them · 1–3Called it
  • at Belgiumwe called against · 1–1Missed it

Context · sourced

FIFA ranking
29thFIFA via Transfermarkt · 2026-06-29

Sourced context, nothing more. It never touches the call.

Under the hoodthe shadow numbers and how the rating moves. context, never a call.openclose

Squad strength

all players →

roster Elo average

1647

15 rated players, 24711 total points. A squad read, not a lineup guess.

best-rated XI

1677

18450 total / 11

next seven

1565

6261 total / 4

How it can move a forecastopenclose

Best-rated XI is the strongest 11 rated players, not a predicted lineup. The number is a pressure test for squad ceiling.

When lineups are sourced, confirmed XI can be compared with expected XI. The delta is shrunk, capped, shown, then applied.

Squad value · our estimate

all players →

€50m–€193m

≈ €98m · 2 of 15 rated players priced

Our own fee model, summed over the squad: the level each plays at, his age, role and what we’ve measured of him. Not a valuation site’s numbers; we don’t republish those. A band, not a point. Contract length and release clauses are data we don’t hold. Players without a sourced club tier aren’t priced (so this totals 2, not the whole squad). Context only. It never touches a call.

Signals

ProofXI rating

1814+36 this year

Our results-based team rating. Higher is stronger.

World rank

29thheld on the latest list

FIFA ranking, list of 2026-06-12. Lower is stronger.

Rating moves · per match

World Football Elo
  • vs IranD 1–1 · 2026-06-26+3→ 1862
  • vs New ZealandW 3–1 · 2026-06-21+35→ 1859
  • vs BelgiumD 1–1 · 2026-06-15+13→ 1823
  • vs BrazilL 1–2 · 2026-06-06-4→ 1811
  • v RussiaW 1–0 · 2026-05-28+8→ 1814
  • at SpainD 0–0 · 2026-03-31+9→ 1806
  • at Saudi ArabiaW 4–0 · 2026-03-27+20→ 1797
  • vs NigeriaD 0–0 · 2026-01-17+7→ 1777

How each result moved this side’s rating, from the same forward-only engine the call uses, folded from the open international-results feed. Context, never a call.