EgyptWorld Cup forecast
Group G table →Egypt are in a fight
Most likely finish: 3rd. Group G: Belgium, Iran, New Zealand.
- win Group G
- 16%
- finish 2nd
- 24%
- best 3rd
- 20%
Why 60%?openclose
One run means every group match is played once from the rating gaps, then the table is counted. Repeat it and count how often Egypt reach the last 32.
runs
20,000
sealed
2026-06-10
venue
neutral
team rating
1810
players
not used
Group games
against Belgium
rating 1971
22%
win
24%
draw
54%
lose
against New Zealand
rating 1732
46%
win
25%
draw
29%
lose
against Iran
rating 1904
28%
win
25%
draw
47%
lose
These games use the rating gap only. Player ratings stay out until a sourced lineup can explain the adjustment.
Deep cuts
- Hardest game: Belgium, 22% to win.
- Clean route: 40% to finish top two, no third-place rescue needed.
- Rating edge: -44 versus the Group G average.
Recent form
last 5 · 1W 3D 1L- D1–1
- W3–1
- D1–1
- D1–1
- L2–3
6 points from the last 5, 1.20 per game. Sourced results, newest on the right.
Goals
last 10scored
14
conceded
9
goal diff
+5
clean sheets
4
Over the last 10 on the open results feed, 4 with a clean sheet, 2 without scoring. Sourced facts, never simulated.
Players
ratings board →No sourced squad rows for this side yet. The list opens when a dated squad feed lands.
The record
5 calls locked. 3 of 5 graded calls landed right.
- calls made
- 5
- graded
- 5
- called right
- 3/5
The calls
- at Argentinawe called against · 3–2Called it
- at Australiawe called against · 3–5Missed it
- v Iranwe called against · 1–2Called it
- at New Zealandwe backed them · 1–3Called it
- at Belgiumwe called against · 1–1Missed it
Context · sourced
- FIFA ranking
- 29thFIFA via Transfermarkt · 2026-07-01
Sourced context, nothing more. It never touches the call.
Under the hoodthe shadow numbers and how the rating moves. context, never a call.openclose
Signals
ProofXI rating
1859+81 this year
Our results-based team rating. Higher is stronger.
World rank
29thheld on the latest list
FIFA ranking, list of 2026-06-12. Lower is stronger.
Rating moves · per match
World Football Elo- vs ArgentinaL 2–3 · 2026-07-07-7→ 1859
- vs AustraliaD 1–1 · 2026-07-03+4→ 1866
- vs IranD 1–1 · 2026-06-26+3→ 1862
- vs New ZealandW 3–1 · 2026-06-21+35→ 1859
- vs BelgiumD 1–1 · 2026-06-15+13→ 1824
- vs BrazilL 1–2 · 2026-06-06-4→ 1811
- v RussiaW 1–0 · 2026-05-28+8→ 1814
- at SpainD 0–0 · 2026-03-31+9→ 1806
How each result moved this side’s rating, from the same forward-only engine the call uses, folded from the open international-results feed. Context, never a call.