Premier League
pre-season projection · provisional · live projected finish after kickoff
The league board is the projected table, rebuilt from 10,000 season simulations over every fixture. It stays provisional through the summer as sourced squad signals land; when matches start, it becomes the live projected final table while the Table tab shows the real standings.
Go deeper: the full finishing heatmap, club pages, and the transfer desk.
Projection
League board
Card order = projected table · movement = baseline comparison · strength = model Elo
- Title pressure#1Arsenalfront-runnerProjected points79ptsTitle45%Top 485%Bottom 3<1%Club strength2064Top-end qualityPendingReport
MovementLast season 1st · projected 1st · no rank movement
Finish bandMost likely 1st · central band 1st-3rd
Confirmed transfersNo confirmed board move attached here yet.
Top 5 playersSquad feed pending for the top-five player board.
Model signalClubElo base only · strength uncertainty ±90
Club pageFull club page
- #2Man Citytitle pressureProjected points69ptsTitle16%Top 458%Bottom 3<1%Club strength1971Top-end qualityPendingReport
MovementLast season 2nd · projected 2nd · no rank movement
Finish bandMost likely 2nd · central band 1st-7th
Confirmed transfersNo confirmed board move attached here yet.
Top 5 playersSquad feed pending for the top-five player board.
Model signalClubElo base only · strength uncertainty ±90
Club pageFull club page
- Top-four chase#3Aston VillaUp 1title pressureProjected points64ptsTitle8%Top 440%Bottom 31%Club strength1921Top-end qualityPendingReport
MovementLast season 4th · projected 3rd · up 1
Finish bandMost likely 3rd · central band 1st-9th
Confirmed transfersNo confirmed board move attached here yet.
Top 5 playersSquad feed pending for the top-five player board.
Model signalClubElo base only · strength uncertainty ±90
Club pageFull club page
- #4Man UnitedDown 1top-four lineProjected points63ptsTitle7%Top 437%Bottom 31%Club strength1915Top-end qualityPendingReport
MovementLast season 3rd · projected 4th · down 1
Finish bandMost likely 3rd · central band 1st-10th
Confirmed transfersNo confirmed board move attached here yet.
Top 5 playersSquad feed pending for the top-five player board.
Model signalClubElo base only · strength uncertainty ±90
Club pageFull club page
- #5Liverpooltop-four lineProjected points62ptsTitle6%Top 436%Bottom 31%Club strength1911Top-end qualityPendingReport
MovementLast season 5th · projected 5th · no rank movement
Finish bandMost likely 4th · central band 1st-10th
Confirmed transfersNo confirmed board move attached here yet.
Top 5 playersSquad feed pending for the top-five player board.
Model signalClubElo base only · strength uncertainty ±90
Club pageFull club page
- #6BournemouthEurope chaseProjected points58ptsTitle4%Top 424%Bottom 33%Club strength1872Top-end qualityPendingReport
MovementLast season 6th · projected 6th · no rank movement
Finish bandMost likely 5th · central band 2nd-13th
Confirmed transfersNo confirmed board move attached here yet.
Top 5 playersSquad feed pending for the top-five player board.
Model signalClubElo base only · strength uncertainty ±90
Club pageFull club page
- Middle weather#7BrightonUp 1Europe chaseProjected points55ptsTitle2%Top 416%Bottom 35%Club strength1842Top-end qualityPendingReport
MovementLast season 8th · projected 7th · up 1
Finish bandMost likely 8th · central band 4th-15th
Confirmed transfersNo confirmed board move attached here yet.
Top 5 playersSquad feed pending for the top-five player board.
Model signalClubElo base only · strength uncertainty ±90
Club pageFull club page
- #8BrentfordUp 1Europe chaseProjected points54ptsTitle2%Top 415%Bottom 35%Club strength1837Top-end qualityPendingReport
MovementLast season 9th · projected 8th · up 1
Finish bandMost likely 13th · central band 4th-15th
Confirmed transfersNo confirmed board move attached here yet.
Top 5 playersSquad feed pending for the top-five player board.
Model signalClubElo base only · strength uncertainty ±90
Club pageFull club page
- #9NewcastleUp 3middle watchProjected points54ptsTitle2%Top 415%Bottom 35%Club strength1838Top-end qualityPendingReport
MovementLast season 12th · projected 9th · up 3
Finish bandMost likely 8th · central band 4th-15th
Confirmed transfersNo confirmed board move attached here yet.
Top 5 playersSquad feed pending for the top-five player board.
Model signalClubElo base only · strength uncertainty ±90
Club pageFull club page
- #10Chelseamiddle watchProjected points54ptsTitle2%Top 414%Bottom 36%Club strength1831Top-end qualityPendingReport
MovementLast season 10th · projected 10th · no rank movement
Finish bandMost likely 9th · central band 5th-16th
Confirmed transfersNo confirmed board move attached here yet.
Top 5 playersSquad feed pending for the top-five player board.
Model signalClubElo base only · strength uncertainty ±90
Club pageFull club page
- #11ForestUp 5middle watchProjected points53ptsTitle1%Top 412%Bottom 37%Club strength1822Top-end qualityPendingReport
MovementLast season 16th · projected 11th · up 5
Finish bandMost likely 9th · central band 5th-16th
Confirmed transfersNo confirmed board move attached here yet.
Top 5 playersSquad feed pending for the top-five player board.
Model signalClubElo base only · strength uncertainty ±90
Club pageFull club page
- #12FulhamDown 1middle watchProjected points52ptsTitle1%Top 411%Bottom 38%Club strength1813Top-end qualityPendingReport
MovementLast season 11th · projected 12th · down 1
Finish bandMost likely 12th · central band 6th-17th
Confirmed transfersNo confirmed board move attached here yet.
Top 5 playersSquad feed pending for the top-five player board.
Model signalClubElo base only · strength uncertainty ±90
Club pageFull club page
- #13Crystal PalaceUp 2middle watchProjected points51ptsTitle1%Top 410%Bottom 39%Club strength1804Top-end qualityPendingReport
MovementLast season 15th · projected 13th · up 2
Finish bandMost likely 15th · central band 7th-18th
Confirmed transfersNo confirmed board move attached here yet.
Top 5 playersSquad feed pending for the top-five player board.
Model signalClubElo base only · strength uncertainty ±90
Club pageFull club page
- #14EvertonDown 1middle watchProjected points50ptsTitle1%Top 49%Bottom 310%Club strength1803Top-end qualityPendingReport
MovementLast season 13th · projected 14th · down 1
Finish bandMost likely 15th · central band 7th-18th
Confirmed transfersNo confirmed board move attached here yet.
Top 5 playersSquad feed pending for the top-five player board.
Model signalClubElo base only · strength uncertainty ±90
Club pageFull club page
- #15LeedsDown 1middle watchProjected points50ptsTitle1%Top 48%Bottom 310%Club strength1797Top-end qualityPendingReport
MovementLast season 14th · projected 15th · down 1
Finish bandMost likely 15th · central band 7th-18th
Confirmed transfersNo confirmed board move attached here yet.
Top 5 playersSquad feed pending for the top-five player board.
Model signalClubElo base only · strength uncertainty ±90
Club pageFull club page
- #16TottenhamUp 1danger fringeProjected points48ptsTitle1%Top 46%Bottom 314%Club strength1777Top-end qualityPendingReport
MovementLast season 17th · projected 16th · up 1
Finish bandMost likely 14th · central band 8th-18th
Confirmed transfersNo confirmed board move attached here yet.
Top 5 playersSquad feed pending for the top-five player board.
Model signalClubElo base only · strength uncertainty ±90
Club pageFull club page
- Bottom three#17SunderlandDown 10in the fightProjected points43ptsTitle<1%Top 43%Bottom 323%Club strength1736Top-end qualityPendingReport
MovementLast season 7th · projected 17th · down 10
Finish bandMost likely 17th · central band 10th-19th
Confirmed transfersNo confirmed board move attached here yet.
Top 5 playersSquad feed pending for the top-five player board.
Model signalClubElo base only · strength uncertainty ±90
Club pageFull club page
- #18CoventryNewtrap doorProjected points36ptsTitle<1%Top 4<1%Bottom 348%Club strength1662Top-end qualityPendingReport
MovementPromoted · projected 18th · new to this league board
Finish bandMost likely 19th · central band 15th-20th
Confirmed transfersNo confirmed board move attached here yet.
Top 5 playersSquad feed pending for the top-five player board.
Model signalClubElo base only · strength uncertainty ±90
Club pageFull club page
- #19IpswichNewtrap doorProjected points34ptsTitle<1%Top 4<1%Bottom 355%Club strength1640Top-end qualityPendingReport
MovementPromoted · projected 19th · new to this league board
Finish bandMost likely 19th · central band 16th-20th
Confirmed transfersNo confirmed board move attached here yet.
Top 5 playersSquad feed pending for the top-five player board.
Model signalClubElo base only · strength uncertainty ±90
Club pageFull club page
- #20HullNewtrap doorProjected points24ptsTitle0%Top 4<1%Bottom 387%Club strength1533Top-end qualityPendingReport
MovementPromoted · projected 20th · new to this league board
Finish bandMost likely 20th · central band 19th-20th
Confirmed transfersNo confirmed board move attached here yet.
Top 5 playersSquad feed pending for the top-five player board.
Model signalClubElo base only · strength uncertainty ±90
Club pageFull club page
clubs + ratings: ClubElo (England) with the sourced 2026/27 promotion/relegation transition (promoted carry their Championship rating), as of the snapshot date. As of 2026-06-25. Provisional pre-season preview, not on the record yet. Team strength is the badge-level ClubElo only (it does not yet see the squad), so each simulated season redraws a club's true rating within a 90-point band; that band tightens as squad-aware signals (market value, player ratings) are added. Title, top-four and relegation are read off the simulated finishing positions; projected points are the season mean. Clubs level on points are split by banked goal difference where the season has been played, otherwise by a fair draw.