Cape Verde

the newsroom’s record on this side · all sides · today

World Cup forecast

Cape Verde need a run

34%reach last 32

Most likely finish: 4th. Group H: Spain, Uruguay, Saudi Arabia.

win Group H: 2%
finish 2nd: 11%
best 3rd: 20%

Why 34%?openclose

One run means every group match is played once from the rating gaps, then the table is counted. Repeat it and count how often Cape Verde reach the last 32.

runs

20,000

sealed

2026-06-10

venue

neutral

team rating

1653

players

not used

Group games

against Spain
rating 2210
3%
win
12%
draw
85%
lose
against Uruguay
rating 1974
11%
win
19%
draw
70%
lose
against Saudi Arabia
rating 1685
34%
win
26%
draw
40%
lose

These games use the rating gap only. Player ratings stay out until a sourced lineup can explain the adjustment.

Deep cuts

Hardest game: Spain, 3% to win.
Clean route: 13% to finish top two, no third-place rescue needed.
Rating edge: -227 versus the Group H average.

Recent form

last 5 · 0W 3D 2L

L0–3vs Bermuda
D0–0vs Spain
D2–2vs Uruguay
D0–0vs Saudi Arabia
L2–3vs Argentina

3 points from the last 5, 0.60 per game. Sourced results, newest on the right.

Goals

last 10

scored
11
conceded
14
goal diff
-3
clean sheets
4

Over the last 10 on the open results feed, 4 with a clean sheet, 4 without scoring. Sourced facts, never simulated.

Players

ratings board →

No sourced squad rows for this side yet. The list opens when a dated squad feed lands.

The record

4 calls locked. 2 of 4 graded calls landed right.

calls made: 4
graded: 4
called right: 2/4

The calls

at Argentinawe called against · 3–2Called it
v Saudi Arabiawe called a draw · 0–0Called it
at Uruguaywe called against · 2–2Missed it
at Spainwe called against · 0–0Missed it

Context · sourced

FIFA ranking: 67thFIFA via Transfermarkt · 2026-07-01

Sourced context, nothing more. It never touches the call.

Under the hoodthe shadow numbers and how the rating moves. context, never a call.openclose

Signals

ProofXI rating

1698+65 this year

Our results-based team rating. Higher is stronger.

World rank

67thup 2 places on the latest list

FIFA ranking, list of 2026-06-12. Lower is stronger.

Rating moves · per match

World Football Elo

vs ArgentinaL 2–3 · 2026-07-03-3→ 1698
vs Saudi ArabiaD 0–0 · 2026-06-260→ 1701
vs UruguayD 2–2 · 2026-06-21+20→ 1701
vs SpainD 0–0 · 2026-06-15+28→ 1681
vs BermudaL 0–3 · 2026-06-06-31→ 1654
vs SerbiaW 3–0 · 2026-05-31+25→ 1685
vs FinlandD 1–1 · 2026-03-30-2→ 1660
vs ChileL 2–4 · 2026-03-27-14→ 1662

How each result moved this side’s rating, from the same forward-only engine the call uses, folded from the open international-results feed. Context, never a call.