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Algeria

the newsroom’s record on this side · all sides · today

World Cup forecast

Group J table →

Algeria are in a fight

61%reach last 32

Most likely finish: 3rd. Group J: Argentina, Austria, Jordan.

win Group J
11%
finish 2nd
29%
best 3rd
21%
Why 61%?openclose

One run means every group match is played once from the rating gaps, then the table is counted. Repeat it and count how often Algeria reach the last 32.

runs

20,000

sealed

2026-06-10

venue

neutral

team rating

1873

players

not used

Group games

  • against Argentina

    rating 2188

    11%

    win

    20%

    draw

    69%

    lose

  • against Jordan

    rating 1775

    48%

    win

    25%

    draw

    27%

    lose

  • against Austria

    rating 1894

    35%

    win

    26%

    draw

    39%

    lose

These games use the rating gap only. Player ratings stay out until a sourced lineup can explain the adjustment.

Deep cuts

  • Hardest game: Argentina, 11% to win.
  • Clean route: 40% to finish top two, no third-place rescue needed.
  • Rating edge: -59 versus the Group J average.

Recent form

last 5 · 3W 1D 1L
  • W1–0at Netherlands
  • W4–0vs Bolivia
  • L0–3vs Argentina
  • W2–1vs Jordan
  • D3–3vs Austria

10 points from the last 5, 2.00 per game. Sourced results, newest on the right.

Goals

last 10

  • scored

    21

  • conceded

    10

  • goal diff

    +11

  • clean sheets

    5

Over the last 10 on the open results feed, 5 with a clean sheet, 3 without scoring. Sourced facts, never simulated.

Players

ratings board →
  • Algeria
    R. Aït-NouriDefender · 24
    1971quality rating±56 · T2▲ +2
    21 apps · 1445′WC perf +4
  • Algeria
    R. BensebaïniDefender · 30
    1859quality rating±55 · T2▲ +4
    17 apps · 1338′WC perf +2
  • Algeria
    I. MazaMidfielder · 20
    1845quality rating±56 · T2▲ +10
    23 apps · 1713′WC perf +7
  • Algeria
    A. GouiriAttacker · 25
    1780quality rating±56 · T2▼ −1
    26 apps · 1612′
  • Algeria
    A. MandiDefender · 34
    1769quality rating±55 · T2▼ −2
    24 apps · 2129′
  • Algeria
    N. BentalebMidfielder · 31
    1766quality rating±57 · T2▼ −2
    32 apps · 1706′WC perf +2
  • Algeria
    F. ChaïbiMidfielder · 23
    1736quality rating±55 · T2▼ −1
    23 apps · 1385′WC perf +1
  • Algeria
    A. Hadj-MoussaAttacker · 23
    1691quality rating±61 · T2▼ −9
    20 apps · 1501′WC perf −2
Full squadopenclose

Our roster Elo: seeded from the team’s rating, moved only by matches actually played. A shadow signal, it never touches a live call. The board: all rated players.

The record

3 graded, 3 called right. A clean sheet, and we noticed.

calls made
3
graded
3
called right
3/3

The calls

  • v Austriawe called a draw · 3–3Called it
  • at Jordanwe backed them · 1–2Called it
  • at Argentinawe called against · 3–0Called it

Context · sourced

FIFA ranking
28thFIFA via Transfermarkt · 2026-06-29

Sourced context, nothing more. It never touches the call.

Under the hoodthe shadow numbers and how the rating moves. context, never a call.openclose

Squad strength

all players →

roster Elo average

1687

20 rated players, 33747 total points. A squad read, not a lineup guess.

best-rated XI

1765

19414 total / 11

next seven

1600

11199 total / 7

How it can move a forecastopenclose

Best-rated XI is the strongest 11 rated players, not a predicted lineup. The number is a pressure test for squad ceiling.

When lineups are sourced, confirmed XI can be compared with expected XI. The delta is shrunk, capped, shown, then applied.

Squad value · our estimate

all players →

€35m–€137m

≈ €69m · 7 of 20 rated players priced

Our own fee model, summed over the squad: the level each plays at, his age, role and what we’ve measured of him. Not a valuation site’s numbers; we don’t republish those. A band, not a point. Contract length and release clauses are data we don’t hold. Players without a sourced club tier aren’t priced (so this totals 7, not the whole squad). Context only. It never touches a call.

Signals

ProofXI rating

1857+40 this year

Our results-based team rating. Higher is stronger.

World rank

28thheld on the latest list

FIFA ranking, list of 2026-06-12. Lower is stronger.

Rating moves · per match

World Football Elo
  • vs AustriaD 3–3 · 2026-06-27+2→ 1890
  • vs JordanW 2–1 · 2026-06-22+20→ 1889
  • vs ArgentinaL 0–3 · 2026-06-16-16→ 1869
  • vs BoliviaW 4–0 · 2026-06-10+11→ 1884
  • at NetherlandsW 1–0 · 2026-06-03+16→ 1873
  • vs UruguayD 0–0 · 2026-03-31+3→ 1857
  • vs GuatemalaW 7–0 · 2026-03-27+12→ 1853
  • vs NigeriaL 0–2 · 2026-01-10-46→ 1841

How each result moved this side’s rating, from the same forward-only engine the call uses, folded from the open international-results feed. Context, never a call.