AlgeriaWorld Cup forecast
Group J table →Algeria are in a fight
Most likely finish: 3rd. Group J: Argentina, Austria, Jordan.
- win Group J
- 11%
- finish 2nd
- 29%
- best 3rd
- 21%
Why 61%?openclose
One run means every group match is played once from the rating gaps, then the table is counted. Repeat it and count how often Algeria reach the last 32.
runs
20,000
sealed
2026-06-10
venue
neutral
team rating
1873
players
not used
Group games
against Argentina
rating 2188
11%
win
20%
draw
69%
lose
against Jordan
rating 1775
48%
win
25%
draw
27%
lose
against Austria
rating 1894
35%
win
26%
draw
39%
lose
These games use the rating gap only. Player ratings stay out until a sourced lineup can explain the adjustment.
Deep cuts
- Hardest game: Argentina, 11% to win.
- Clean route: 40% to finish top two, no third-place rescue needed.
- Rating edge: -59 versus the Group J average.
Recent form
last 5 · 2W 1D 2L- W4–0
- L0–3
- W2–1
- D3–3
- L0–2
7 points from the last 5, 1.40 per game. Sourced results, newest on the right.
Goals
last 10scored
18
conceded
11
goal diff
+7
clean sheets
5
Over the last 10 on the open results feed, 5 with a clean sheet, 4 without scoring. Sourced facts, never simulated.
Players
ratings board →No sourced squad rows for this side yet. The list opens when a dated squad feed lands.
The record
4 graded, 4 called right. A clean sheet, and we noticed.
- calls made
- 4
- graded
- 4
- called right
- 4/4
The calls
- at Switzerlandwe called against · 2–0Called it
- v Austriawe called a draw · 3–3Called it
- at Jordanwe backed them · 1–2Called it
- at Argentinawe called against · 3–0Called it
Context · sourced
- FIFA ranking
- 28thFIFA via Transfermarkt · 2026-07-01
Sourced context, nothing more. It never touches the call.
Under the hoodthe shadow numbers and how the rating moves. context, never a call.openclose
Signals
ProofXI rating
1858+45 this year
Our results-based team rating. Higher is stronger.
World rank
28thheld on the latest list
FIFA ranking, list of 2026-06-12. Lower is stronger.
Rating moves · per match
World Football Elo- vs SwitzerlandL 0–2 · 2026-07-02-33→ 1858
- vs AustriaD 3–3 · 2026-06-27+2→ 1890
- vs JordanW 2–1 · 2026-06-22+20→ 1889
- vs ArgentinaL 0–3 · 2026-06-16-16→ 1869
- vs BoliviaW 4–0 · 2026-06-10+11→ 1884
- at NetherlandsW 1–0 · 2026-06-03+16→ 1873
- vs UruguayD 0–0 · 2026-03-31+3→ 1857
- vs GuatemalaW 7–0 · 2026-03-27+12→ 1853
How each result moved this side’s rating, from the same forward-only engine the call uses, folded from the open international-results feed. Context, never a call.