Ivory Coast

the newsroom’s record on this side · all sides · today

World Cup forecast

Ivory Coast are in a fight

64%reach last 32

Most likely finish: 3rd. Group E: Ecuador, Germany, Curaçao.

win Group E: 12%
finish 2nd: 23%
best 3rd: 29%

Why 64%?openclose

One run means every group match is played once from the rating gaps, then the table is counted. Repeat it and count how often Ivory Coast reach the last 32.

runs

20,000

sealed

2026-06-10

venue

neutral

team rating

1814

players

not used

Group games

against Ecuador
rating 2027
18%
win
23%
draw
60%
lose
against Germany
rating 2007
19%
win
23%
draw
58%
lose
against Curaçao
rating 1602
60%
win
23%
draw
18%
lose

These games use the rating gap only. Player ratings stay out until a sourced lineup can explain the adjustment.

Deep cuts

Hardest game: Ecuador, 18% to win.
Clean route: 35% to finish top two, no third-place rescue needed.
Rating edge: -48 versus the Group E average.

Recent form

last 5 · 3W 0D 2L

W2–1at France
W1–0vs Ecuador
L1–2vs Germany
W2–0vs Curaçao
L1–2vs Norway

9 points from the last 5, 1.80 per game. Sourced results, newest on the right.

Goals

last 10

scored
20
conceded
10
goal diff
+10
clean sheets
5

Over the last 10 on the open results feed, 5 with a clean sheet. Sourced facts, never simulated.

Players

ratings board →

No sourced squad rows for this side yet. The list opens when a dated squad feed lands.

The record

4 calls locked. 3 of 4 graded calls landed right.

calls made: 4
graded: 4
called right: 3/4

The calls

v Norwaywe called against · 1–2Called it
at Curaçaowe backed them · 0–2Called it
at Germanywe called against · 2–1Called it
v Ecuadorwe called against · 1–0Missed it

Context · sourced

FIFA ranking: 33rdFIFA via Transfermarkt · 2026-07-01

Sourced context, nothing more. It never touches the call.

Under the hoodthe shadow numbers and how the rating moves. context, never a call.openclose

Signals

ProofXI rating

1842+133 this year

Our results-based team rating. Higher is stronger.

World rank

33rdup 1 place on the latest list

FIFA ranking, list of 2026-06-12. Lower is stronger.

Rating moves · per match

World Football Elo

vs NorwayL 1–2 · 2026-06-30-21→ 1842
vs CuraçaoW 2–0 · 2026-06-25+19→ 1863
vs GermanyL 1–2 · 2026-06-20-17→ 1844
vs EcuadorW 1–0 · 2026-06-14+46→ 1861
at FranceW 2–1 · 2026-06-04+19→ 1815
vs ScotlandW 1–0 · 2026-03-31+11→ 1796
vs South KoreaW 4–0 · 2026-03-28+26→ 1785
vs EgyptL 2–3 · 2026-01-10-27→ 1759

How each result moved this side’s rating, from the same forward-only engine the call uses, folded from the open international-results feed. Context, never a call.