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Ivory Coast

the newsroom’s record on this side · all sides · today

World Cup forecast

Group E table →

Ivory Coast are in a fight

64%reach last 32

Most likely finish: 3rd. Group E: Ecuador, Germany, Curaçao.

win Group E
12%
finish 2nd
23%
best 3rd
29%
Why 64%?openclose

One run means every group match is played once from the rating gaps, then the table is counted. Repeat it and count how often Ivory Coast reach the last 32.

runs

20,000

sealed

2026-06-10

venue

neutral

team rating

1814

players

not used

Group games

  • against Ecuador

    rating 2027

    18%

    win

    23%

    draw

    60%

    lose

  • against Germany

    rating 2007

    19%

    win

    23%

    draw

    58%

    lose

  • against Curaçao

    rating 1602

    60%

    win

    23%

    draw

    18%

    lose

These games use the rating gap only. Player ratings stay out until a sourced lineup can explain the adjustment.

Deep cuts

  • Hardest game: Ecuador, 18% to win.
  • Clean route: 35% to finish top two, no third-place rescue needed.
  • Rating edge: -48 versus the Group E average.

Recent form

last 5 · 4W 0D 1L
  • W1–0vs Scotland
  • W2–1at France
  • W1–0vs Ecuador
  • L1–2vs Germany
  • W2–0vs Curaçao

12 points from the last 5, 2.40 per game. Sourced results, newest on the right.

Goals

last 10

  • scored

    20

  • conceded

    9

  • goal diff

    +11

  • clean sheets

    5

Over the last 10 on the open results feed, 5 with a clean sheet. Sourced facts, never simulated.

Team news · sourced

Canada rout nine-man Qatar but Koné injury sours first-ever World Cup win — After the midfielder’s horror injury in the second half, Jonathan David’s hat-trick kept spirits lifted on a historic night in Vancouver for the co-hosts

theguardian.com · 2026-06-25

A sourced read on availability, picked for relevance and gated fresh. It never touches the call.

Players

ratings board →
Full squadopenclose

Our roster Elo: seeded from the team’s rating, moved only by matches actually played. A shadow signal, it never touches a live call. The board: all rated players.

The record

4 calls locked. 2 of 3 graded calls landed right.

calls made
4
graded
3
called right
2/3

The calls

  • v Norwaywe called againstSealed
  • at Curaçaowe backed them · 0–2Called it
  • at Germanywe called against · 2–1Called it
  • v Ecuadorwe called against · 1–0Missed it

Context · sourced

FIFA ranking
33rdFIFA via Transfermarkt · 2026-06-29

Sourced context, nothing more. It never touches the call.

Under the hoodthe shadow numbers and how the rating moves. context, never a call.openclose

Squad strength

all players →

roster Elo average

1750

16 rated players, 27994 total points. A squad read, not a lineup guess.

best-rated XI

1813

19948 total / 11

next seven

1609

8046 total / 5

How it can move a forecastopenclose

Best-rated XI is the strongest 11 rated players, not a predicted lineup. The number is a pressure test for squad ceiling.

When lineups are sourced, confirmed XI can be compared with expected XI. The delta is shrunk, capped, shown, then applied.

Squad value · our estimate

all players →

€27m–€107m

≈ €54m · 6 of 16 rated players priced

Our own fee model, summed over the squad: the level each plays at, his age, role and what we’ve measured of him. Not a valuation site’s numbers; we don’t republish those. A band, not a point. Contract length and release clauses are data we don’t hold. Players without a sourced club tier aren’t priced (so this totals 6, not the whole squad). Context only. It never touches a call.

Signals

ProofXI rating

1796+87 this year

Our results-based team rating. Higher is stronger.

World rank

33rdup 1 place on the latest list

FIFA ranking, list of 2026-06-12. Lower is stronger.

Rating moves · per match

World Football Elo
  • vs CuraçaoW 2–0 · 2026-06-25+19→ 1863
  • vs GermanyL 1–2 · 2026-06-20-17→ 1844
  • vs EcuadorW 1–0 · 2026-06-14+46→ 1861
  • at FranceW 2–1 · 2026-06-04+19→ 1814
  • vs ScotlandW 1–0 · 2026-03-31+11→ 1796
  • vs South KoreaW 4–0 · 2026-03-28+26→ 1785
  • vs EgyptL 2–3 · 2026-01-10-27→ 1759
  • vs Burkina FasoW 3–0 · 2026-01-06+38→ 1786

How each result moved this side’s rating, from the same forward-only engine the call uses, folded from the open international-results feed. Context, never a call.