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DR Congo

the newsroom’s record on this side · all sides · today

World Cup forecast

Group K table →

DR Congo need a run

39%reach last 32

Most likely finish: 4th. Group K: Colombia, Portugal, Uzbekistan.

win Group K
6%
finish 2nd
14%
best 3rd
19%
Why 39%?openclose

One run means every group match is played once from the rating gaps, then the table is counted. Repeat it and count how often DR Congo reach the last 32.

runs

20,000

sealed

2026-06-10

venue

neutral

team rating

1772

players

not used

Group games

  • against Portugal

    rating 2027

    15%

    win

    21%

    draw

    64%

    lose

  • against Colombia

    rating 2063

    13%

    win

    20%

    draw

    67%

    lose

  • against Uzbekistan

    rating 1824

    32%

    win

    26%

    draw

    43%

    lose

These games use the rating gap only. Player ratings stay out until a sourced lineup can explain the adjustment.

Deep cuts

  • Hardest game: Colombia, 13% to win.
  • Clean route: 21% to finish top two, no third-place rescue needed.
  • Rating edge: -149 versus the Group K average.

Recent form

last 5 · 1W 2D 2L
  • D0–0vs Denmark
  • L1–2vs Chile
  • D1–1vs Portugal
  • L0–1vs Colombia
  • W3–1vs Uzbekistan

5 points from the last 5, 1.00 per game. Sourced results, newest on the right.

Goals

last 10

  • scored

    12

  • conceded

    7

  • goal diff

    +5

  • clean sheets

    4

Over the last 10 on the open results feed, 4 with a clean sheet, 3 without scoring. Sourced facts, never simulated.

Players

ratings board →
  • In formDR Congo
    Y. WissaAttacker · 29
    1876quality rating±51 · T2▲ +27
    17 apps · 962′WC perf +5
  • In formDR Congo
    A. Wan-BissakaDefender · 28
    1755quality rating±57 · T2▲ +17
    10 apps · 872′WC perf +1
  • DR Congo
    N. SadikiMidfielder · 21
    1740quality rating±51 · T2▲ +14
    14 apps · 1067′WC perf +1
  • DR Congo
    C. BakambuAttacker · 34
    1739quality rating±51 · T2▲ +2
    16 apps · 955′WC perf −4
  • DR Congo
    C. MbembaDefender · 31
    1718quality rating±55 · T2▲ +9
    14 apps · 1329′WC perf −2
  • DR Congo
    N. MukauMidfielder · 21
    1722quality rating±61 · T2▲ +5
    14 apps · 833′
  • DR Congo
    A. TuanzebeDefender · 28
    1669quality rating±55 · T2▲ +11
    10 apps · 969′WC perf −2
  • DR Congo
    C. PickelMidfielder · 28
    1631quality rating±70 · T2
    16 apps · 608′on club + age
Full squadopenclose

Our roster Elo: seeded from the team’s rating, moved only by matches actually played. A shadow signal, it never touches a live call. The board: all rated players.

The record

4 calls locked. 1 of 3 graded calls landed right.

calls made
4
graded
3
called right
1/3

The calls

  • at Englandwe called againstSealed
  • v Uzbekistanwe called a draw · 3–1Missed it
  • at Colombiawe called against · 1–0Called it
  • at Portugalwe called against · 1–1Missed it

Context · sourced

FIFA ranking
46thFIFA via Transfermarkt · 2026-06-29

Sourced context, nothing more. It never touches the call.

Under the hoodthe shadow numbers and how the rating moves. context, never a call.openclose

Squad strength

all players →

roster Elo average

1617

20 rated players, 32330 total points. A squad read, not a lineup guess.

best-rated XI

1692

18612 total / 11

next seven

1531

10714 total / 7

How it can move a forecastopenclose

Best-rated XI is the strongest 11 rated players, not a predicted lineup. The number is a pressure test for squad ceiling.

When lineups are sourced, confirmed XI can be compared with expected XI. The delta is shrunk, capped, shown, then applied.

Squad value · our estimate

all players →

€17m–€67m

≈ €34m · 4 of 20 rated players priced

Our own fee model, summed over the squad: the level each plays at, his age, role and what we’ve measured of him. Not a valuation site’s numbers; we don’t republish those. A band, not a point. Contract length and release clauses are data we don’t hold. Players without a sourced club tier aren’t priced (so this totals 4, not the whole squad). Context only. It never touches a call.

Signals

ProofXI rating

1768+85 this year

Our results-based team rating. Higher is stronger.

World rank

46thheld on the latest list

FIFA ranking, list of 2026-06-12. Lower is stronger.

Rating moves · per match

World Football Elo
  • vs UzbekistanW 3–1 · 2026-06-27+46→ 1819
  • vs ColombiaL 0–1 · 2026-06-23-9→ 1773
  • vs PortugalD 1–1 · 2026-06-17+19→ 1782
  • vs ChileL 1–2 · 2026-06-09-9→ 1763
  • vs DenmarkD 0–0 · 2026-06-03+4→ 1772
  • vs JamaicaW 1–0 · 2026-03-31+16→ 1768
  • vs BermudaW 2–0 · 2026-03-25+2→ 1752
  • vs AlgeriaL 0–1 · 2026-01-06-18→ 1750

How each result moved this side’s rating, from the same forward-only engine the call uses, folded from the open international-results feed. Context, never a call.