World Cup forecast
Group K table →DR Congo need a run
Most likely finish: 4th. Group K: Colombia, Portugal, Uzbekistan.
- win Group K
- 6%
- finish 2nd
- 14%
- best 3rd
- 19%
Why 39%?openclose
One run means every group match is played once from the rating gaps, then the table is counted. Repeat it and count how often DR Congo reach the last 32.
runs
20,000
sealed
2026-06-10
venue
neutral
team rating
1772
players
not used
Group games
against Portugal
rating 2027
15%
win
21%
draw
64%
lose
against Colombia
rating 2063
13%
win
20%
draw
67%
lose
against Uzbekistan
rating 1824
32%
win
26%
draw
43%
lose
These games use the rating gap only. Player ratings stay out until a sourced lineup can explain the adjustment.
Deep cuts
- Hardest game: Colombia, 13% to win.
- Clean route: 21% to finish top two, no third-place rescue needed.
- Rating edge: -149 versus the Group K average.
Recent form
last 5 · 1W 1D 3L- L1–2
- D1–1
- L0–1
- W3–1
- L1–2
4 points from the last 5, 0.80 per game. Sourced results, newest on the right.
Goals
last 10scored
12
conceded
8
goal diff
+4
clean sheets
4
Over the last 10 on the open results feed, 4 with a clean sheet, 3 without scoring. Sourced facts, never simulated.
Players
ratings board →No sourced squad rows for this side yet. The list opens when a dated squad feed lands.
The record
4 calls locked. 2 of 4 graded calls landed right.
- calls made
- 4
- graded
- 4
- called right
- 2/4
The calls
- at Englandwe called against · 2–1Called it
- v Uzbekistanwe called a draw · 3–1Missed it
- at Colombiawe called against · 1–0Called it
- at Portugalwe called against · 1–1Missed it
Context · sourced
- FIFA ranking
- 46thFIFA via Transfermarkt · 2026-07-01
Sourced context, nothing more. It never touches the call.
Under the hoodthe shadow numbers and how the rating moves. context, never a call.openclose
Signals
ProofXI rating
1809+110 this year
Our results-based team rating. Higher is stronger.
World rank
46thheld on the latest list
FIFA ranking, list of 2026-06-12. Lower is stronger.
Rating moves · per match
World Football Elo- vs EnglandL 1–2 · 2026-07-01-10→ 1809
- vs UzbekistanW 3–1 · 2026-06-27+46→ 1819
- vs ColombiaL 0–1 · 2026-06-23-9→ 1773
- vs PortugalD 1–1 · 2026-06-17+19→ 1783
- vs ChileL 1–2 · 2026-06-09-9→ 1763
- vs DenmarkD 0–0 · 2026-06-03+4→ 1772
- vs JamaicaW 1–0 · 2026-03-31+16→ 1768
- vs BermudaW 2–0 · 2026-03-25+2→ 1752
How each result moved this side’s rating, from the same forward-only engine the call uses, folded from the open international-results feed. Context, never a call.