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Morocco

the newsroom’s record on this side · all sides · today

World Cup forecast

Group C table →

Morocco are in good shape

85%reach last 32

Most likely finish: 2nd. Group C: Brazil, Scotland, Haiti.

win Group C
32%
finish 2nd
36%
best 3rd
16%
Why 85%?openclose

One run means every group match is played once from the rating gaps, then the table is counted. Repeat it and count how often Morocco reach the last 32.

runs

20,000

sealed

2026-06-10

venue

neutral

team rating

1984

players

not used

Group games

  • against Brazil

    rating 2068

    28%

    win

    25%

    draw

    46%

    lose

  • against Scotland

    rating 1833

    53%

    win

    24%

    draw

    22%

    lose

  • against Haiti

    rating 1698

    67%

    win

    20%

    draw

    13%

    lose

These games use the rating gap only. Player ratings stay out until a sourced lineup can explain the adjustment.

Deep cuts

  • Hardest game: Brazil, 28% to win.
  • Clean route: 68% to finish top two, no third-place rescue needed.
  • Rating edge: +88 versus the Group C average.

Recent form

last 5 · 3W 2D 0L
  • W4–0v Madagascar
  • D1–1vs Norway
  • D1–1vs Brazil
  • W1–0vs Scotland
  • W4–2vs Haiti

11 points from the last 5, 2.20 per game. Sourced results, newest on the right.

Goals

last 10

  • scored

    22

  • conceded

    6

  • goal diff

    +16

  • clean sheets

    5

Over the last 10 on the open results feed, 5 with a clean sheet, 1 without scoring. Sourced facts, never simulated.

Players

ratings board →
  • In formMorocco
    A. HakimiDefender · 27
    2014quality rating±55 · T2▲ +20
    26 apps · 2083′WC perf +2
  • In formMorocco
    Brahim DíazMidfielder · 26
    1946quality rating±51 · T2▲ +22
    34 apps · 2168′WC perf +7
  • Morocco
    N. MazraouiDefender · 28
    1954quality rating±56 · T2▲ +11
    26 apps · 1381′WC perf −1
  • In formMorocco
    N. El AynaouiMidfielder · 24
    1868quality rating±55 · T2▲ +16
    28 apps · 1391′
  • In formMorocco
    B. El KhannoussMidfielder · 21
    1849quality rating±51 · T2▲ +24
    34 apps · 2095′WC perf +5
  • In formMorocco
    C. RiadDefender · 22
    1854quality rating±56 · T2▲ +24
    14 apps · 948′WC perf +1
  • In formMorocco
    I. SaibariAttacker · 24
    1845quality rating±56 · T2▲ +25
    32 apps · 2361′WC perf +8
  • Morocco
    S. AmrabatMidfielder · 29
    1816quality rating±51 · T2▲ +3
    25 apps · 1968′WC perf −1
Full squadopenclose

Our roster Elo: seeded from the team’s rating, moved only by matches actually played. A shadow signal, it never touches a live call. The board: all rated players.

The record

4 calls locked. 2 of 3 graded calls landed right.

calls made
4
graded
3
called right
2/3

The calls

  • at Netherlandswe called againstSealed
  • v Haitiwe backed them · 4–2Called it
  • at Scotlandwe backed them · 0–1Called it
  • at Brazilwe called against · 1–1Missed it

Context · sourced

FIFA ranking
7thFIFA via Transfermarkt · 2026-06-29

Sourced context, nothing more. It never touches the call.

Under the hoodthe shadow numbers and how the rating moves. context, never a call.openclose

Squad strength

all players →

roster Elo average

1821

16 rated players, 29140 total points. A squad read, not a lineup guess.

best-rated XI

1889

20778 total / 11

next seven

1673

8363 total / 5

How it can move a forecastopenclose

Best-rated XI is the strongest 11 rated players, not a predicted lineup. The number is a pressure test for squad ceiling.

When lineups are sourced, confirmed XI can be compared with expected XI. The delta is shrunk, capped, shown, then applied.

Squad value · our estimate

all players →

€22m–€84m

≈ €43m · 1 of 16 rated players priced

Our own fee model, summed over the squad: the level each plays at, his age, role and what we’ve measured of him. Not a valuation site’s numbers; we don’t republish those. A band, not a point. Contract length and release clauses are data we don’t hold. Players without a sourced club tier aren’t priced (so this totals 1, not the whole squad). Context only. It never touches a call.

Signals

ProofXI rating

1984+81 this year

Our results-based team rating. Higher is stronger.

World rank

7thup 1 place on the latest list

FIFA ranking, list of 2026-06-12. Lower is stronger.

Rating moves · per match

World Football Elo
  • vs HaitiW 4–2 · 2026-06-24+11→ 2021
  • vs ScotlandW 1–0 · 2026-06-19+19→ 2010
  • vs BrazilD 1–1 · 2026-06-13+7→ 1991
  • vs NorwayD 1–1 · 2026-06-07-1→ 1984
  • v MadagascarW 4–0 · 2026-06-02+1→ 1985
  • v BurundiW 5–0 · 2026-05-26+1→ 1984
  • vs ParaguayW 2–1 · 2026-03-31+9→ 1983
  • vs EcuadorD 1–1 · 2026-03-27+1→ 1974

How each result moved this side’s rating, from the same forward-only engine the call uses, folded from the open international-results feed. Context, never a call.