World Cup forecast
Group L table →Ghana need a run
Most likely finish: 4th. Group L: England, Croatia, Panama.
- win Group L
- 2%
- finish 2nd
- 8%
- best 3rd
- 12%
Why 21%?openclose
One run means every group match is played once from the rating gaps, then the table is counted. Repeat it and count how often Ghana reach the last 32.
runs
20,000
sealed
2026-06-10
venue
neutral
team rating
1625
players
not used
Group games
against Panama
rating 1848
17%
win
22%
draw
61%
lose
against England
rating 2082
6%
win
15%
draw
79%
lose
against Croatia
rating 1964
10%
win
19%
draw
71%
lose
These games use the rating gap only. Player ratings stay out until a sourced lineup can explain the adjustment.
Deep cuts
- Hardest game: England, 6% to win.
- Clean route: 9% to finish top two, no third-place rescue needed.
- Rating edge: -255 versus the Group L average.
Recent form
last 5 · 1W 2D 2L- D1–1
- W1–0
- D0–0
- L1–2
- L0–1
5 points from the last 5, 1.00 per game. Sourced results, newest on the right.
Goals
last 10scored
5
conceded
16
goal diff
-11
clean sheets
2
Over the last 10 on the open results feed, 2 with a clean sheet, 5 without scoring. Sourced facts, never simulated.
Players
ratings board →No sourced squad rows for this side yet. The list opens when a dated squad feed lands.
The record
4 calls locked. 2 of 4 graded calls landed right.
- calls made
- 4
- graded
- 4
- called right
- 2/4
The calls
Context · sourced
- FIFA ranking
- 73rdFIFA via Transfermarkt · 2026-07-01
Sourced context, nothing more. It never touches the call.
Under the hoodthe shadow numbers and how the rating moves. context, never a call.openclose
Signals
ProofXI rating
1681+84 this year
Our results-based team rating. Higher is stronger.
World rank
73rdup 1 place on the latest list
FIFA ranking, list of 2026-06-12. Lower is stronger.
Rating moves · per match
World Football Elo- vs ColombiaL 0–1 · 2026-07-03-5→ 1681
- vs CroatiaL 1–2 · 2026-06-27-11→ 1686
- vs EnglandD 0–0 · 2026-06-23+26→ 1698
- vs PanamaW 1–0 · 2026-06-17+47→ 1672
- at WalesD 1–1 · 2026-06-02+6→ 1625
- at MexicoL 0–2 · 2026-05-22-2→ 1619
- at GermanyL 1–2 · 2026-03-30-1→ 1621
- at AustriaL 1–5 · 2026-03-27-4→ 1622
How each result moved this side’s rating, from the same forward-only engine the call uses, folded from the open international-results feed. Context, never a call.