SwitzerlandWorld Cup forecast
Group B table →Switzerland should get through
Most likely finish: 1st. Group B: Canada, Bosnia & Herzegovina, Qatar.
- win Group B
- 53%
- finish 2nd
- 32%
- best 3rd
- 9%
Why 94%?openclose
One run means every group match is played once from the rating gaps, then the table is counted. Repeat it and count how often Switzerland reach the last 32.
runs
20,000
sealed
2026-06-10
venue
neutral
team rating
1960
players
not used
Group games
against Qatar
rating 1567
75%
win
17%
draw
8%
lose
against Bosnia & Herzegovina
rating 1649
69%
win
20%
draw
11%
lose
against Canada
rating 1895
44%
win
26%
draw
30%
lose
These games use the rating gap only. Player ratings stay out until a sourced lineup can explain the adjustment.
Deep cuts
- Hardest game: Canada, 44% to win.
- Clean route: 85% to finish top two, no third-place rescue needed.
- Rating edge: +192 versus the Group B average.
Recent form
last 5 · 3W 2D 0L- W4–1
- D1–1
- D1–1
- W4–1
- W2–1
11 points from the last 5, 2.20 per game. Sourced results, newest on the right.
Goals
last 10scored
20
conceded
11
goal diff
+9
clean sheets
2
Over the last 10 on the open results feed, 2 with a clean sheet, 2 without scoring. Sourced facts, never simulated.
Players
ratings board →- M. AkanjiDefender · 301934quality rating±55 · T2▲ +850 apps · 4339′
- D. NdoyeMidfielder · 251902quality rating±51 · T2▲ +536 apps · 1861′
- G. KobelGoalkeeper · 281903quality rating±55 · T2▲ +938 apps · 3427′WC perf +2
- In formSwitzerlandB. EmboloAttacker · 281852quality rating±51 · T2▲ +1841 apps · 2794′WC perf +7
- L. JaquezDefender · 221821quality rating±63 · T2▲ +815 apps · 813′
- J. ManzambiAttacker · 201789quality rating±59 · T2▲ +1130 apps · 1903′WC perf +5
- G. XhakaMidfielder · 331781quality rating±51 · T2▲ +1050 apps · 4299′WC perf +1
- R. RodríguezDefender · 331754quality rating±55 · T2▲ +741 apps · 3171′
Full squadopenclose
- R. Vargas1742
- R. Freuler1743
- N. Elvedi1742
- D. Sow1730
- S. Widmer1734
- M. Aebischer1596
- C. Itten1619
- C. Fassnacht1548
Our roster Elo: seeded from the team’s rating, moved only by matches actually played. A shadow signal, it never touches a live call. The board: all rated players.
The record
3 calls locked. 1 of 3 graded calls landed right.
- calls made
- 3
- graded
- 3
- called right
- 1/3
The calls
- v Canadawe called a draw · 2–1Missed it
- v Bosnia & Herzegovinawe backed them · 4–1Called it
- at Qatarwe backed them · 1–1Missed it
Context · sourced
- FIFA ranking
- 19thFIFA via Transfermarkt · 2026-06-29
Sourced context, nothing more. It never touches the call.
Under the hoodthe shadow numbers and how the rating moves. context, never a call.openclose
Squad strength
all players →roster Elo average
1766
16 rated players, 28262 total points. A squad read, not a lineup guess.
best-rated XI
1829
20120 total / 11
next seven
1629
8143 total / 5
How it can move a forecastopenclose
Best-rated XI is the strongest 11 rated players, not a predicted lineup. The number is a pressure test for squad ceiling.
When lineups are sourced, confirmed XI can be compared with expected XI. The delta is shrunk, capped, shown, then applied.
Signals
ProofXI rating
1962+77 this year
Our results-based team rating. Higher is stronger.
World rank
19thheld on the latest list
FIFA ranking, list of 2026-06-12. Lower is stronger.
Rating moves · per match
World Football Elo- at CanadaW 2–1 · 2026-06-24+33→ 1987
- vs Bosnia and HerzegovinaW 4–1 · 2026-06-18+19→ 1955
- vs QatarD 1–1 · 2026-06-13-24→ 1936
- vs AustraliaD 1–1 · 2026-06-06-2→ 1960
- v JordanW 4–1 · 2026-05-31+6→ 1962
- at NorwayD 0–0 · 2026-03-31+3→ 1956
- v GermanyL 3–4 · 2026-03-27-12→ 1953
- at KosovoD 1–1 · 2025-11-18-7→ 1965
How each result moved this side’s rating, from the same forward-only engine the call uses, folded from the open international-results feed. Context, never a call.