Switzerland

the newsroom’s record on this side · all sides · today

World Cup forecast

Switzerland should get through

94%reach last 32

Most likely finish: 1st. Group B: Canada, Bosnia & Herzegovina, Qatar.

win Group B: 53%
finish 2nd: 32%
best 3rd: 9%

Why 94%?openclose

One run means every group match is played once from the rating gaps, then the table is counted. Repeat it and count how often Switzerland reach the last 32.

runs

20,000

sealed

2026-06-10

venue

neutral

team rating

1960

players

not used

Group games

against Qatar
rating 1567
75%
win
17%
draw
8%
lose
against Bosnia & Herzegovina
rating 1649
69%
win
20%
draw
11%
lose
against Canada
rating 1895
44%
win
26%
draw
30%
lose

These games use the rating gap only. Player ratings stay out until a sourced lineup can explain the adjustment.

Deep cuts

Hardest game: Canada, 44% to win.
Clean route: 85% to finish top two, no third-place rescue needed.
Rating edge: +192 versus the Group B average.

Recent form

last 5 · 3W 1D 1L

W4–1vs Bosnia and Herzegovina
W2–1at Canada
W2–0vs Algeria
D0–0vs Colombia
L1–3vs Argentina

10 points from the last 5, 2.00 per game. Sourced results, newest on the right.

Goals

last 10

scored
18
conceded
12
goal diff
+6
clean sheets
3

Over the last 10 on the open results feed, 3 with a clean sheet, 2 without scoring. Sourced facts, never simulated.

Players

ratings board →

No sourced squad rows for this side yet. The list opens when a dated squad feed lands.

The record

6 calls locked. 3 of 6 graded calls landed right.

calls made: 6
graded: 6
called right: 3/6

The calls

at Argentinawe called against · 3–1Called it
v Colombiawe called against · 4–3Missed it
v Algeriawe backed them · 2–0Called it
v Canadawe called a draw · 2–1Missed it
v Bosnia & Herzegovinawe backed them · 4–1Called it
at Qatarwe backed them · 1–1Missed it

Context · sourced

FIFA ranking: 19thFIFA via Transfermarkt · 2026-07-01

Sourced context, nothing more. It never touches the call.

Under the hoodthe shadow numbers and how the rating moves. context, never a call.openclose

Signals

ProofXI rating

2005+84 this year

Our results-based team rating. Higher is stronger.

World rank

19thheld on the latest list

FIFA ranking, list of 2026-06-12. Lower is stronger.

Rating moves · per match

World Football Elo

vs ArgentinaL 1–3 · 2026-07-11-21→ 2005
vs ColombiaD 0–0 · 2026-07-07+6→ 2026
vs AlgeriaW 2–0 · 2026-07-02+33→ 2020
at CanadaW 2–1 · 2026-06-24+33→ 1988
vs Bosnia and HerzegovinaW 4–1 · 2026-06-18+19→ 1955
vs QatarD 1–1 · 2026-06-13-24→ 1936
vs AustraliaD 1–1 · 2026-06-06-2→ 1960
v JordanW 4–1 · 2026-05-31+6→ 1962

How each result moved this side’s rating, from the same forward-only engine the call uses, folded from the open international-results feed. Context, never a call.