CanadaWorld Cup forecast
Group B table →Canada should get through
Most likely finish: 2nd. Group B: Switzerland, Bosnia & Herzegovina, Qatar.
- win Group B
- 37%
- finish 2nd
- 39%
- best 3rd
- 13%
Why 89%?openclose
One run means every group match is played once from the rating gaps, then the table is counted. Repeat it and count how often Canada reach the last 32.
runs
20,000
sealed
2026-06-10
venue
neutral
team rating
1895
players
not used
Group games
against Bosnia & Herzegovina
rating 1649
63%
win
22%
draw
15%
lose
against Qatar
rating 1567
70%
win
19%
draw
11%
lose
against Switzerland
rating 1960
30%
win
26%
draw
44%
lose
These games use the rating gap only. Player ratings stay out until a sourced lineup can explain the adjustment.
Deep cuts
- Hardest game: Switzerland, 30% to win.
- Clean route: 76% to finish top two, no third-place rescue needed.
- Rating edge: +127 versus the Group B average.
Recent form
last 5 · 2W 1D 2L- D1–1
- W6–0
- L1–2
- W1–0
- L0–3
7 points from the last 5, 1.40 per game. Sourced results, newest on the right.
Goals
last 10scored
16
conceded
9
goal diff
+7
clean sheets
5
Over the last 10 on the open results feed, 5 with a clean sheet, 2 without scoring. Sourced facts, never simulated.
Players
ratings board →No sourced squad rows for this side yet. The list opens when a dated squad feed lands.
The record
5 calls locked. 3 of 5 graded calls landed right.
- calls made
- 5
- graded
- 5
- called right
- 3/5
The calls
- v Moroccowe called against · 0–3Called it
- at South Africawe backed them · 0–1Called it
- at Switzerlandwe called a draw · 2–1Missed it
- v Qatarwe backed them · 6–0Called it
- v Bosnia & Herzegovinawe backed them · 1–1Missed it
Context · sourced
- FIFA ranking
- 30thFIFA via Transfermarkt · 2026-07-01
Sourced context, nothing more. It never touches the call.
Under the hoodthe shadow numbers and how the rating moves. context, never a call.openclose
Signals
ProofXI rating
1840-37 this year
Our results-based team rating. Higher is stronger.
World rank
30thheld on the latest list
FIFA ranking, list of 2026-06-12. Lower is stronger.
Rating moves · per match
World Football Elo- vs MoroccoL 0–3 · 2026-07-04-31→ 1840
- vs South AfricaW 1–0 · 2026-06-28+18→ 1871
- v SwitzerlandL 1–2 · 2026-06-24-33→ 1853
- v QatarW 6–0 · 2026-06-18+13→ 1885
- v Bosnia and HerzegovinaD 1–1 · 2026-06-12-23→ 1872
- v Republic of IrelandD 1–1 · 2026-06-05-6→ 1895
- v UzbekistanW 2–0 · 2026-06-01+9→ 1901
- v TunisiaD 0–0 · 2026-03-31-6→ 1893
How each result moved this side’s rating, from the same forward-only engine the call uses, folded from the open international-results feed. Context, never a call.