Tunisia

the newsroom’s record on this side · all sides · today

World Cup forecast

Tunisia need a run

41%reach last 32

Most likely finish: 4th. Group F: Netherlands, Japan, Sweden.

win Group F: 7%
finish 2nd: 15%
best 3rd: 19%

Why 41%?openclose

One run means every group match is played once from the rating gaps, then the table is counted. Repeat it and count how often Tunisia reach the last 32.

runs

20,000

sealed

2026-06-10

venue

neutral

team rating

1738

players

not used

Group games

against Sweden
rating 1765
34%
win
26%
draw
40%
lose
against Japan
rating 1993
15%
win
21%
draw
64%
lose
against Netherlands
rating 2012
14%
win
21%
draw
66%
lose

These games use the rating gap only. Player ratings stay out until a sourced lineup can explain the adjustment.

Deep cuts

Hardest game: Netherlands, 14% to win.
Clean route: 22% to finish top two, no third-place rescue needed.
Rating edge: -139 versus the Group F average.

Recent form

last 5 · 0W 0D 5L

L0–1at Austria
L0–5at Belgium
L1–5vs Sweden
L0–4vs Japan
L1–3vs Netherlands

0 points from the last 5, 0.00 per game. Sourced results, newest on the right.

Goals

last 10

scored
7
conceded
23
goal diff
-16
clean sheets
2

Over the last 10 on the open results feed, 2 with a clean sheet, 4 without scoring. Sourced facts, never simulated.

Players

ratings board →

No sourced squad rows for this side yet. The list opens when a dated squad feed lands.

The record

3 graded, 3 called right. A clean sheet, and we noticed.

calls made: 3
graded: 3
called right: 3/3

The calls

v Netherlandswe called against · 1–3Called it
v Japanwe called against · 0–4Called it
at Swedenwe called against · 5–1Called it

Context · sourced

FIFA ranking: 45thFIFA via Transfermarkt · 2026-07-01

Sourced context, nothing more. It never touches the call.

Under the hoodthe shadow numbers and how the rating moves. context, never a call.openclose

Signals

ProofXI rating

1660-72 this year

Our results-based team rating. Higher is stronger.

World rank

45thdown 1 place on the latest list

FIFA ranking, list of 2026-06-12. Lower is stronger.

Rating moves · per match

World Football Elo

vs NetherlandsL 1–3 · 2026-06-25-10→ 1660
vs JapanL 0–4 · 2026-06-20-16→ 1670
vs SwedenL 1–5 · 2026-06-14-52→ 1686
at BelgiumL 0–5 · 2026-06-06-5→ 1738
at AustriaL 0–1 · 2026-06-01-4→ 1744
at CanadaD 0–0 · 2026-03-31+6→ 1748
vs HaitiW 1–0 · 2026-03-28+9→ 1741
vs MaliD 1–1 · 2026-01-03-1→ 1733

How each result moved this side’s rating, from the same forward-only engine the call uses, folded from the open international-results feed. Context, never a call.