World Cup forecast
Group C table →Haiti need a run
Most likely finish: 4th. Group C: Brazil, Morocco, Scotland.
- win Group C
- 4%
- finish 2nd
- 11%
- best 3rd
- 16%
Why 30%?openclose
One run means every group match is played once from the rating gaps, then the table is counted. Repeat it and count how often Haiti reach the last 32.
runs
20,000
sealed
2026-06-10
venue
neutral
team rating
1698
players
not used
Group games
against Scotland
rating 1833
24%
win
25%
draw
52%
lose
against Brazil
rating 2068
9%
win
18%
draw
74%
lose
against Morocco
rating 1984
13%
win
20%
draw
67%
lose
These games use the rating gap only. Player ratings stay out until a sourced lineup can explain the adjustment.
Deep cuts
- Hardest game: Brazil, 9% to win.
- Clean route: 14% to finish top two, no third-place rescue needed.
- Rating edge: -198 versus the Group C average.
Recent form
last 5 · 1W 0D 4L- W4–0
- L1–2
- L0–1
- L0–3
- L2–4
3 points from the last 5, 0.60 per game. Sourced results, newest on the right.
Goals
last 10scored
11
conceded
15
goal diff
-4
clean sheets
3
Over the last 10 on the open results feed, 3 with a clean sheet, 4 without scoring. Sourced facts, never simulated.
Players
ratings board →No sourced squad rows for this side yet. The list opens when a dated squad feed lands.
The record
3 graded, 3 called right. A clean sheet, and we noticed.
- calls made
- 3
- graded
- 3
- called right
- 3/3
The calls
Context · sourced
- FIFA ranking
- 83rdFIFA via Transfermarkt · 2026-07-01
Sourced context, nothing more. It never touches the call.
Under the hoodthe shadow numbers and how the rating moves. context, never a call.openclose
Signals
ProofXI rating
1658+35 this year
Our results-based team rating. Higher is stronger.
World rank
83rdheld on the latest list
FIFA ranking, list of 2026-06-12. Lower is stronger.
Rating moves · per match
World Football Elo- vs MoroccoL 2–4 · 2026-06-24-11→ 1658
- vs BrazilL 0–3 · 2026-06-19-11→ 1669
- vs ScotlandL 0–1 · 2026-06-13-19→ 1680
- vs PeruL 1–2 · 2026-06-05-8→ 1698
- vs New ZealandW 4–0 · 2026-06-02+23→ 1707
- vs IcelandD 1–1 · 2026-03-31-1→ 1684
- vs TunisiaL 0–1 · 2026-03-28-9→ 1685
- vs NicaraguaW 2–0 · 2025-11-18+16→ 1694
How each result moved this side’s rating, from the same forward-only engine the call uses, folded from the open international-results feed. Context, never a call.