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Haiti

the newsroom’s record on this side · all sides · today

World Cup forecast

Group C table →

Haiti need a run

30%reach last 32

Most likely finish: 4th. Group C: Brazil, Morocco, Scotland.

win Group C
4%
finish 2nd
11%
best 3rd
16%
Why 30%?openclose

One run means every group match is played once from the rating gaps, then the table is counted. Repeat it and count how often Haiti reach the last 32.

runs

20,000

sealed

2026-06-10

venue

neutral

team rating

1698

players

not used

Group games

  • against Scotland

    rating 1833

    24%

    win

    25%

    draw

    52%

    lose

  • against Brazil

    rating 2068

    9%

    win

    18%

    draw

    74%

    lose

  • against Morocco

    rating 1984

    13%

    win

    20%

    draw

    67%

    lose

These games use the rating gap only. Player ratings stay out until a sourced lineup can explain the adjustment.

Deep cuts

  • Hardest game: Brazil, 9% to win.
  • Clean route: 14% to finish top two, no third-place rescue needed.
  • Rating edge: -198 versus the Group C average.

Recent form

last 5 · 1W 0D 4L
  • W40vs New Zealand
  • L12vs Peru
  • L01vs Scotland
  • L03vs Brazil
  • L24vs Morocco

3 points from the last 5, 0.60 per game. Sourced results, newest on the right.

Goals

last 10
  • scored

    11

  • conceded

    15

  • goal diff

    -4

  • clean sheets

    3

Over the last 10 on the open results feed, 3 with a clean sheet, 4 without scoring. Sourced facts, never simulated.

No sourced squad rows for this side yet. The list opens when a dated squad feed lands.

The record

3 graded, 3 called right. A clean sheet, and we noticed.

calls made
3
graded
3
called right
3/3

The calls

  • at Moroccowe called against · 4–2Called it
  • at Brazilwe called against · 3–0Called it
  • v Scotlandwe called against · 0–1Called it

Context · sourced

FIFA ranking
83rdFIFA via Transfermarkt · 2026-07-01

Sourced context, nothing more. It never touches the call.

Under the hoodthe shadow numbers and how the rating moves. context, never a call.openclose

Signals

ProofXI rating

1658+35 this year

Our results-based team rating. Higher is stronger.

World rank

83rdheld on the latest list

FIFA ranking, list of 2026-06-12. Lower is stronger.

Rating moves · per match

World Football Elo
  • vs MoroccoL 24 · 2026-06-24-111658
  • vs BrazilL 03 · 2026-06-19-111669
  • vs ScotlandL 01 · 2026-06-13-191680
  • vs PeruL 12 · 2026-06-05-81698
  • vs New ZealandW 40 · 2026-06-02+231707
  • vs IcelandD 11 · 2026-03-31-11684
  • vs TunisiaL 01 · 2026-03-28-91685
  • vs NicaraguaW 20 · 2025-11-18+161694

How each result moved this side’s rating, from the same forward-only engine the call uses, folded from the open international-results feed. Context, never a call.