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Haiti

the newsroom’s record on this side · all sides · today

World Cup forecast

Group C table →

Haiti need a run

30%reach last 32

Most likely finish: 4th. Group C: Brazil, Morocco, Scotland.

win Group C
4%
finish 2nd
11%
best 3rd
16%
Why 30%?openclose

One run means every group match is played once from the rating gaps, then the table is counted. Repeat it and count how often Haiti reach the last 32.

runs

20,000

sealed

2026-06-10

venue

neutral

team rating

1698

players

not used

Group games

  • against Scotland

    rating 1833

    24%

    win

    25%

    draw

    52%

    lose

  • against Brazil

    rating 2068

    9%

    win

    18%

    draw

    74%

    lose

  • against Morocco

    rating 1984

    13%

    win

    20%

    draw

    67%

    lose

These games use the rating gap only. Player ratings stay out until a sourced lineup can explain the adjustment.

Deep cuts

  • Hardest game: Brazil, 9% to win.
  • Clean route: 14% to finish top two, no third-place rescue needed.
  • Rating edge: -198 versus the Group C average.

Recent form

last 5 · 1W 0D 4L
  • W4–0vs New Zealand
  • L1–2vs Peru
  • L0–1vs Scotland
  • L0–3vs Brazil
  • L2–4vs Morocco

3 points from the last 5, 0.60 per game. Sourced results, newest on the right.

Goals

last 10

  • scored

    11

  • conceded

    15

  • goal diff

    -4

  • clean sheets

    3

Over the last 10 on the open results feed, 3 with a clean sheet, 4 without scoring. Sourced facts, never simulated.

Players

ratings board →
  • Haiti
    W. IsidorAttacker · 25
    1811quality rating±51 · T2▼ −7
    36 apps · 1421′WC perf +1
  • Haiti
    J. BellegardeMidfielder · 27
    1719quality rating±51 · T2▼ −17
    30 apps · 1612′WC perf −1
  • Haiti
    Ricardo AdeDefender · 35
    1650quality rating±55 · T2▼ −10
    23 apps · 2004′WC perf +1
  • Haiti
    C. ArcusDefender · 29
    1594quality rating±56 · T2▼ −9
    30 apps · 2261′WC perf −2
  • Haiti
    D. Jean-JacquesMidfielder · 25
    1567quality rating±56 · T2▼ −20
    18 apps · 1521′WC perf −2
  • Haiti
    J. DuverneDefender · 28
    1560quality rating±58 · T2▼ −2
    25 apps · 1379′WC perf +3
  • Haiti
    H. DelcroixDefender · 26
    1560quality rating±68 · T2▼ −22
    4 apps · 370′
  • Haiti
    J. CasimirAttacker · 24
    1554quality rating±57 · T2▼ −18
    35 apps · 1753′WC perf −5
Full squadopenclose

Our roster Elo: seeded from the team’s rating, moved only by matches actually played. A shadow signal, it never touches a live call. The board: all rated players.

The record

3 graded, 3 called right. A clean sheet, and we noticed.

calls made
3
graded
3
called right
3/3

The calls

  • at Moroccowe called against · 4–2Called it
  • at Brazilwe called against · 3–0Called it
  • v Scotlandwe called against · 0–1Called it

Context · sourced

FIFA ranking
83rdFIFA via Transfermarkt · 2026-06-29

Sourced context, nothing more. It never touches the call.

Under the hoodthe shadow numbers and how the rating moves. context, never a call.openclose

Squad strength

all players →

roster Elo average

1563

16 rated players, 25000 total points. A squad read, not a lineup guess.

best-rated XI

1591

17496 total / 11

next seven

1501

7504 total / 5

How it can move a forecastopenclose

Best-rated XI is the strongest 11 rated players, not a predicted lineup. The number is a pressure test for squad ceiling.

When lineups are sourced, confirmed XI can be compared with expected XI. The delta is shrunk, capped, shown, then applied.

Squad value · our estimate

all players →

€11m–€43m

≈ €22m · 4 of 16 rated players priced

Our own fee model, summed over the squad: the level each plays at, his age, role and what we’ve measured of him. Not a valuation site’s numbers; we don’t republish those. A band, not a point. Contract length and release clauses are data we don’t hold. Players without a sourced club tier aren’t priced (so this totals 4, not the whole squad). Context only. It never touches a call.

Signals

ProofXI rating

1684-25 this year

Our results-based team rating. Higher is stronger.

World rank

83rdheld on the latest list

FIFA ranking, list of 2026-06-12. Lower is stronger.

Rating moves · per match

World Football Elo
  • vs MoroccoL 2–4 · 2026-06-24-11→ 1658
  • vs BrazilL 0–3 · 2026-06-19-11→ 1669
  • vs ScotlandL 0–1 · 2026-06-13-19→ 1679
  • vs PeruL 1–2 · 2026-06-05-8→ 1698
  • vs New ZealandW 4–0 · 2026-06-02+23→ 1707
  • vs IcelandD 1–1 · 2026-03-31-1→ 1684
  • vs TunisiaL 0–1 · 2026-03-28-9→ 1685
  • vs NicaraguaW 2–0 · 2025-11-18+16→ 1694

How each result moved this side’s rating, from the same forward-only engine the call uses, folded from the open international-results feed. Context, never a call.