As it stands
after 6 of 6 played · graded results only
teamPW-D-LGDPTS
1USA32-0-1+46
2Australia31-1-104
3Paraguay31-1-1-24
4Turkey31-0-2-23
Played
- USA 4–1 Paraguay✓ graded
- Australia 2–0 Turkey✓ graded
- USA 2–0 Australia✓ graded
- Turkey 0–1 Paraguay✓ graded
- Turkey 3–2 USA✓ graded
- Paraguay 0–0 Australia✓ graded
The chances, redrawn
openclose
Same simulator, same ratings, with the played games nailed to their real scores and level sides split on real goal difference (the 2026 way: head-to-head, then goal difference). The sealed number above stays exactly where we left it, this is what it would say now.
- Australia100%sealed 50%
- USA100%sealed 34%
- Turkey0%sealed 63%