As it stands
after 6 of 6 played · graded results only
Played
- Belgium 1–1 Egypt✓ graded
- Iran 2–2 New Zealand✓ graded
- Belgium 0–0 Iran✓ graded
- New Zealand 1–3 Egypt✓ graded
- Egypt 1–1 Iran✓ graded
- New Zealand 1–5 Belgium✓ graded
The chances, redrawn
openclose
Same simulator, same ratings, with the played games nailed to their real scores and level sides split on real goal difference (the 2026 way: head-to-head, then goal difference). The sealed number above stays exactly where we left it, this is what it would say now.
- Belgium100%sealed 74%
- Egypt100%sealed 40%
- Iran0%sealed 61%