Pedro Neto

Club football at Chelsea FC.

Sourced facts, dated and on the record. Squad membership, and his club when a source names one. Nothing invented; we don’t make players up.

At a glance

age
25
sourced with the squad
position
Offence
Portugal
club
Chelsea FC
football-data.org
club tier
1831
ClubElo strength
our board
#123
of 1424 rated players
folded so far
3380′
48 appearances
transfer market value (EUR millions), as a rank among peers
60.00
100th percentile of peers

On the pitch

Chances created for Portugal, on the record.

goals
0
assists
1
caps
21
minutes
1249′

goals and assists from our captured match events · caps and minutes from the appearance record

Sourced

squad: Portugal · Offencefootball-data.org · 2026-06-29
club: Chelsea FCfootball-data.org · 2026-06-29

Sourced context, nothing more. It never touches a call.

Our rating · the working

the board →

1941 ±45

his quality rating: club, age and measured output. The board orders by this plus his World Cup form, less a discount for how much we can measure him.

How the number is builtopenclose

1920 full roster Elo (−21 from national-team results)

the ± is how settled the number is, more minutes, tighter band

Tier 2, lineups + results, how rich the evidence is, not just how much

potential ~1926 ±46 a projection, not a measurement: room left on the offence age curve

Where he starts (his team’s strength, we refuse to invent what we haven’t measured) plus two fixed nudges make the quality rating above; the last line is what national-team results have added since, taking it to his full roster Elo.

starts at Portugal's strengththe fair club-over-national anchor, every player's starting point: 1886
age curve at 25 (offences' curve)young-side discount halved, his measured production overrides the average-youngster prior: -7
transfer market value, a sourced market-consensus quality prior (the stronger reading for him here)his percentile among minutes-qualified peers, from club seasons: +62
quality rating · club, age + measured output: 1941
form: national-team results, 48 appearances3380 minutes, weighted by margin, surprise and his match stats, but shared across the XI: -21
full roster Elo · with results: 1920

Rating trend

-137 over 49 updates

Seeded from his team’s rating, then moved by the matches he actually played. A shadow signal, it never touches a live call.

Where the +62 skill term comes from

Not a reputation, a measurement. We score every shot in the data ourselves and rank him among minutes-qualified peers; a fixed arithmetic turns that rank into points.

measured: 60.00 transfer market value (EUR millions), as a rank among peers
his rank: 100th percentile of qualified peers
scored from: the CC0 Transfermarkt community mirror; a market-consensus quality prior, taken at a capped weight where it reads a player higher than our (fixed, partial) shot/event data can
the arithmetic: 46 pts/σ × z(99.6th) = 46 × 2.68 × 0.5 (position weight) = +62

Where the -21 was earned

The earned line, opened up by competition. World Cup finals count 1.5×, qualifiers and cups 1×, friendlies and club football half, so a tournament night moves him most.

World Cup finals3 apps · 206′: -4
internationals, qualifiers & cups16 apps · 953′: +2
international friendlies2 apps · 90′: +2
club football27 apps · 2131′: -20

His latest nights

2026-06-27World Cup finals · 90′▼ −4
2026-06-23World Cup finals · 45′▼ −0
2026-06-17World Cup finals · 71′▼ −0
2026-06-10international friendlies · 45′ · team result only▲ +1
2026-06-06international friendlies · 45′ · team result only▲ +1

Each night’s move blends his team’s result with his own match stats, saves for keepers, tackles and duels for defenders, creation for midfielders, finishing up front. “Team result only” marks games where the feed carried no player stats.

A forward-only shadow signal, as of 2026-06-27. The skill term comes from our own xG models over the open archive; the rest is earned, recorded per appearance, auditable, never back-filled. It never moves a live call.

At this World Cup

What the tournament has done to his rating since the first whistle on 11 Jun, and the matches behind it. Each night’s move blends his team’s result with his own performance, shrunk for sample size, so a strong game nudges the number rather than spiking it.

▼ −4

3 appearances · 206′ · 3 graded by his own stats

The matches behind it

06-27drew · 90′ · his stats graded▼ −4
06-23won by 5 · 45′ · his stats graded· 0
06-17drew · 71′ · his stats graded· 0

The same movement shown beside his name on the board, opened up. “Team result only” marks nights the feed carried no player stats. A forward-only shadow signal; it never touches a live call.

The notebook

The lines a beat writer keeps, except every one of ours is read off the ledger above, auditable to the night. Nothing invented.

standing
#123 of 1424 on our board, top 10% of everyone we rate.
best night
His best night in our ledger: +8 in one sitting, internationals, qualifiers & cups, 2025-06-04.
vs his seed
The folded nights have cost him 21 points off his seed, kept on the record, like everything.

What he’d cost · our estimate

€16m–€62m ≈ €31m

Not a figure from any valuation site; we don’t republish those. Our own model: the level he plays at, what we’ve measured of him, his age and his role. A band, not a point: we can’t see contract length or release clauses, the two biggest real drivers, so we say so.

The workingopenclose

reference feea mid-tier-club, peak-age forward of average measured skill: €8m
club tier 1831the level he plays at, the strongest signal of what a club pays: ×3.17
ageage 25, in the fee-peak window (24–27): ×1.00
attacker fee factorstrikers set the market's top; midfield runs close; defence and goal at the record books' discounts: ×1.00
individual skillmeasured 75th percentile of peers: ×1.35
our estimate: ≈ €31m

fee-model v3 priors (panel-anchored, 2026-06), calibrated against our reported fees. The band is roughly two-in-three likely; contract length and release clauses are data we don’t hold. Context only, it never touches a call.

The fee record · sourced

The market’s last public word: €60m (2024-08). Our estimate today: ≈ €31m. The gap is evidence, many of them, together, recalibrate our model; no single one rewrites him.

our read: richly priced , we rate him 48% below his last market price (a gem signal, context only)

2024-08-11Wolves → Chelsea€60m
2019-08-02Lazio → Wolves€18m
2019-07-01SC Braga → Lazio€5m
2017-08-31SC Braga → Lazioloan

Reported moves, dated and attributed (api-football.com), news facts, not a valuation site’s estimates. It never touches a call.

In our coverage · Portugal’s record

at Colombia0–0Missed it
v Uzbekistan5–0Called it
v DR Congo1–1Missed it

The newsroom’s calls on Portugal. Team-level, never dressed up as a player stat.