Nélson Semedo

Sourced facts, dated and on the record. Squad membership, and his club when a source names one. Nothing invented; we don’t make players up.

At a glance

age
32
sourced with the squad
position
Defence
Portugal
our board
#542
of 1424 rated players
folded so far
2143′
41 appearances
transfer market value (EUR millions), as a rank among peers
6.00
91th percentile of peers

On the pitch

Minutes on the pitch for Portugal. The goals come or they do not; we log either.

goals
0
assists
0
caps
25
minutes
1003′

goals and assists from our captured match events · caps and minutes from the appearance record

Sourced

squad: Portugal · Defencefootball-data.org · 2026-06-29

Sourced context, nothing more. It never touches a call.

Our rating · the working

the board →

1769 ±45

his quality rating: club, age and measured output. The board orders by this plus his World Cup form, less a discount for how much we can measure him.

How the number is builtopenclose

1784 full roster Elo (+15 from national-team results)

the ± is how settled the number is, more minutes, tighter band

Tier 2, lineups + results, how rich the evidence is, not just how much

at or near his peak, no projected upside from age

Where he starts (his team’s strength, we refuse to invent what we haven’t measured) plus two fixed nudges make the quality rating above; the last line is what national-team results have added since, taking it to his full roster Elo.

starts at Portugal's strengththe fair club-over-national anchor, every player's starting point: 1755
age curve at 32 (defences' curve)measured from the open archive by our own study (defenders: the published literature's shape), never fitted to our calls: -10
transfer market value, a sourced market-consensus quality prior (the stronger reading for him here)his percentile among minutes-qualified peers, from club seasons: +24
quality rating · club, age + measured output: 1769
form: national-team results, 41 appearances2143 minutes, weighted by margin, surprise and his match stats, but shared across the XI: +15
full roster Elo · with results: 1784

Rating trend

-257 over 42 updates

Seeded from his team’s rating, then moved by the matches he actually played. A shadow signal, it never touches a live call.

Where the +24 skill term comes from

Not a reputation, a measurement. We score every shot in the data ourselves and rank him among minutes-qualified peers; a fixed arithmetic turns that rank into points.

measured: 6.00 transfer market value (EUR millions), as a rank among peers
his rank: 91th percentile of qualified peers
scored from: the CC0 Transfermarkt community mirror; a market-consensus quality prior, taken at a capped weight where it reads a player higher than our (fixed, partial) shot/event data can
the arithmetic: 46 pts/σ × z(90.5th) = 46 × 1.31 × 0.4 (position weight) = +24

Where the +15 was earned

The earned line, opened up by competition. World Cup finals count 1.5×, qualifiers and cups 1×, friendlies and club football half, so a tournament night moves him most.

World Cup finals2 apps · 67′: -2
internationals, qualifiers & cups21 apps · 846′: -5
international friendlies2 apps · 90′: +2
club football16 apps · 1140′: +20

His latest nights

2026-06-23World Cup finals · 49′▼ −0
2026-06-17World Cup finals · 18′ · team result only▼ −1
2026-06-10international friendlies · 45′ · team result only▲ +1
2026-06-06international friendlies · 45′ · team result only▲ +1
2026-05-17club football · 27′ · team result only▼ −1

Each night’s move blends his team’s result with his own match stats, saves for keepers, tackles and duels for defenders, creation for midfielders, finishing up front. “Team result only” marks games where the feed carried no player stats.

A forward-only shadow signal, as of 2026-06-23. The skill term comes from our own xG models over the open archive; the rest is earned, recorded per appearance, auditable, never back-filled. It never moves a live call.

At this World Cup

What the tournament has done to his rating since the first whistle on 11 Jun, and the matches behind it. Each night’s move blends his team’s result with his own performance, shrunk for sample size, so a strong game nudges the number rather than spiking it.

▼ −2

2 appearances · 67′ · 1 graded by his own stats

The matches behind it

06-23won by 5 · 49′ · his stats graded· 0
06-17drew · 18′ · team result only▼ −1

The same movement shown beside his name on the board, opened up. “Team result only” marks nights the feed carried no player stats. A forward-only shadow signal; it never touches a live call.

The notebook

The lines a beat writer keeps, except every one of ours is read off the ledger above, auditable to the night. Nothing invented.

standing
#542 of 1424 rated players on our board.
best night
His best night in our ledger: +6 in one sitting, club football, 2026-02-02.
vs his seed
The folded nights have added +15 to the number he seeded with, he has outplayed his own prior.

What he’d cost · our estimate

We don’t price him yet. Our fee model leans on the level he plays at, and no trusted source has given us his club’s strength. We’d rather show nothing than a number we don’t trust.

The fee record · sourced

The market’s last public word: €32m (2020-09). The gap is evidence, many of them, together, recalibrate our model; no single one rewrites him.

2025-07-31Wolves → Fenerbahcefree
2025-07-29Wolves → Fenerbahçefree
2020-09-23Barcelona → Wolves€32m
2017-07-14Benfica → Barcelona€35m

Reported moves, dated and attributed (api-football.com), news facts, not a valuation site’s estimates. It never touches a call.

In our coverage · Portugal’s record

at Colombia0–0Missed it
v Uzbekistan5–0Called it
v DR Congo1–1Missed it

The newsroom’s calls on Portugal. Team-level, never dressed up as a player stat.