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Francisco Conceição

Portugal · the desk

Offence, Portugal

Club football at Juventus FC.

Sourced facts, dated and on the record. Squad membership, and his club when a source names one. Nothing invented; we don’t make players up.

At a glance

  • age

    23

    sourced with the squad

  • position

    Offence

    Portugal

  • club

    Juventus FC

    football-data.org

  • club tier

    1772

    ClubElo strength

  • our board

    #214

    of 1424 rated players

  • folded so far

    2235′

    38 appearances

  • transfer market value (EUR millions), as a rank among peers

    30.00

    98th percentile of peers

On the pitch

Minutes on the pitch for Portugal. The goals come or they do not; we log either.

  • goals

    0

  • assists

    0

  • caps

    15

  • minutes

    710′

goals and assists from our captured match events · caps and minutes from the appearance record

Sourced

squad
Portugal · Offencefootball-data.org · 2026-06-29
club
Juventus FCfootball-data.org · 2026-06-29

Sourced context, nothing more. It never touches a call.

Our rating · the working

the board

1883 ±45

his quality rating: club, age and measured output. The board orders by this plus his World Cup form, less a discount for how much we can measure him.

How the number is builtopenclose

1880 full roster Elo (3 from national-team results)

the ± is how settled the number is, more minutes, tighter band

Tier 2, lineups + results, how rich the evidence is, not just how much

potential ~1884 ±45 a projection, not a measurement: room left on the offence age curve

Where he starts (his team’s strength, we refuse to invent what we haven’t measured) plus two fixed nudges make the quality rating above; the last line is what national-team results have added since, taking it to his full roster Elo.

starts at Portugal's strengththe fair club-over-national anchor, every player's starting point
1842
age curve at 23 (offences' curve)measured from the open archive by our own study (defenders: the published literature's shape), never fitted to our calls
-9
transfer market value, a sourced market-consensus quality prior (the stronger reading for him here)his percentile among minutes-qualified peers, from club seasons
+50
quality rating · club, age + measured output
1883
form: national-team results, 38 appearances2235 minutes, weighted by margin, surprise and his match stats, but shared across the XI
-3
full roster Elo · with results
1880

Rating trend

-182 over 39 updates

Seeded from his team’s rating, then moved by the matches he actually played. A shadow signal, it never touches a live call.

Where the +50 skill term comes from

Not a reputation, a measurement. We score every shot in the data ourselves and rank him among minutes-qualified peers; a fixed arithmetic turns that rank into points.

measured
30.00 transfer market value (EUR millions), as a rank among peers
his rank
98th percentile of qualified peers
scored from
the CC0 Transfermarkt community mirror; a market-consensus quality prior, taken at a capped weight where it reads a player higher than our (fixed, partial) shot/event data can
the arithmetic
46 pts/σ × z(98.5th) = 46 × 2.17 × 0.5 (position weight) = +50

Where the -3 was earned

The earned line, opened up by competition. World Cup finals count 1.5×, qualifiers and cups 1×, friendlies and club football half, so a tournament night moves him most.

World Cup finals2 apps · 94
+5
internationals, qualifiers & cups11 apps · 490
-18
international friendlies2 apps · 126
+2
club football23 apps · 1525
+7

His latest nights

  • 2026-06-23World Cup finals · 49▲ +6
  • 2026-06-17World Cup finals · 45▼ −1
  • 2026-06-10international friendlies · 50 · team result only▲ +1
  • 2026-06-06international friendlies · 76 · team result only▲ +1
  • 2026-05-24club football · 70 · team result only▼ −1

Each night’s move blends his team’s result with his own match stats, saves for keepers, tackles and duels for defenders, creation for midfielders, finishing up front. “Team result only” marks games where the feed carried no player stats.

A forward-only shadow signal, as of 2026-06-23. The skill term comes from our own xG models over the open archive; the rest is earned, recorded per appearance, auditable, never back-filled. It never moves a live call.

At this World Cup

What the tournament has done to his rating since the first whistle on 11 Jun, and the matches behind it. Each night’s move blends his team’s result with his own performance, shrunk for sample size, so a strong game nudges the number rather than spiking it.

▲ +5

2 appearances · 94′ · 2 graded by his own stats

The matches behind it

  • 06-23won by 5 · 49′ · his stats graded▲ +6
  • 06-17drew · 45′ · his stats graded▼ −1

The same movement shown beside his name on the board, opened up. “Team result only” marks nights the feed carried no player stats. A forward-only shadow signal; it never touches a live call.

The notebook

The lines a beat writer keeps, except every one of ours is read off the ledger above, auditable to the night. Nothing invented.

  • standing

    #214 of 1424 rated players on our board.

  • best night

    His best night in our ledger: +10 in one sitting, internationals, qualifiers & cups, 2025-03-23.

  • the rough one

    The night that cost him most: −26 – internationals, qualifiers & cups, 2024-06-26. We don't erase those.

What he’d cost · our estimate

€9.2m€36m €18m

Not a figure from any valuation site; we don’t republish those. Our own model: the level he plays at, what we’ve measured of him, his age and his role. A band, not a point: we can’t see contract length or release clauses, the two biggest real drivers, so we say so.

The workingopenclose
reference feea mid-tier-club, peak-age forward of average measured skill
€8m
club tier 1772the level he plays at, the strongest signal of what a club pays
×2.48
ageage 23, the resale premium a club pays for the years to come
×1.07
midfielder fee factorstrikers set the market's top; midfield runs close; defence and goal at the record books' discounts
×0.90
individual skillour xG model has no confident read on him, priced on club, age and role only, so the band is wide
×1.00
our estimate
€18m

fee-model v3 priors (panel-anchored, 2026-06), calibrated against our reported fees. The band is roughly two-in-three likely; contract length and release clauses are data we don’t hold. Context only, it never touches a call.

The fee record · sourced

The market’s last public word: €10m (2024-07). Our estimate today: ≈ €18m. The gap is evidence, many of them, together, recalibrate our model; no single one rewrites him.

our read: undervalued , we rate him 78% above his last market price (a gem signal, context only)

  • 2025-07-22FC Porto Juventusundisclosed
  • 2025-07-15Juventus FC Portoloan
  • 2025-07-01Juventus FC Portoundisclosed
  • 2024-08-27FC Porto Juventusloan

Reported moves, dated and attributed (api-football.com), news facts, not a valuation site’s estimates. It never touches a call.

In our coverage · Portugal’s record

  • at Colombia0–0Missed it
  • v Uzbekistan5–0Called it
  • v DR Congo1–1Missed it

The newsroom’s calls on Portugal. Team-level, never dressed up as a player stat.

Squad · sourced