João Félix

Sourced facts, dated and on the record. Squad membership, and his club when a source names one. Nothing invented; we don’t make players up.

At a glance

age
26
sourced with the squad
position
Offence
Portugal
our board
#177
of 1424 rated players
folded so far
3720′
53 appearances
npxG + xA per 90
0.35
85th percentile of peers

On the pitch

Minutes on the pitch for Portugal. The goals come or they do not; we log either.

goals
0
assists
0
caps
28
minutes
1508′

goals and assists from our captured match events · caps and minutes from the appearance record

Sourced

squad: Portugal · Offencefootball-data.org · 2026-06-29

Sourced context, nothing more. It never touches a call.

Our rating · the working

the board →

1905 ±45

his quality rating: club, age and measured output. The board orders by this plus his World Cup form, less a discount for how much we can measure him.

How the number is builtopenclose

1938 full roster Elo (+34 from national-team results)

the ± is how settled the number is, more minutes, tighter band

Tier 2, lineups + results, how rich the evidence is, not just how much

potential ~1947 ±45 a projection, not a measurement: room left on the offence age curve

Where he starts (his team’s strength, we refuse to invent what we haven’t measured) plus two fixed nudges make the quality rating above; the last line is what national-team results have added since, taking it to his full roster Elo.

starts at Portugal's strengththe fair club-over-national anchor, every player's starting point: 1863
age curve at 26 (offences' curve)young-side discount halved, his measured production overrides the average-youngster prior: -6
attacking output, our xG modelhis percentile among minutes-qualified peers, from club seasons: +48
quality rating · club, age + measured output: 1905
form: national-team results, 53 appearances3720 minutes, weighted by margin, surprise and his match stats, but shared across the XI: +34
full roster Elo · with results: 1938

Rating trend

-89 over 54 updates

Seeded from his team’s rating, then moved by the matches he actually played. A shadow signal, it never touches a live call.

Where the +48 skill term comes from

Not a reputation, a measurement. We score every shot in the data ourselves and rank him among minutes-qualified peers; a fixed arithmetic turns that rank into points.

measured: 0.35 npxG + xA per 90
his rank: 85th percentile of qualified peers
scored from: the open StatsBomb archive, every shot scored by our own xG model
the arithmetic: 46 pts/σ × z(85.0th) = 46 × 1.04 = +48

Where the +34 was earned

The earned line, opened up by competition. World Cup finals count 1.5×, qualifiers and cups 1×, friendlies and club football half, so a tournament night moves him most.

World Cup finals6 apps · 467′: +20
internationals, qualifiers & cups19 apps · 932′: -36
international friendlies3 apps · 109′: +0
club football25 apps · 2212′: +50

His latest nights

2026-06-27World Cup finals · 70′▼ −3
2026-06-23World Cup finals · 64′▲ +0
2026-06-10international friendlies · 50′ · team result only▲ +1
2026-06-06international friendlies · 14′ · team result only▲ +0
2026-05-21club football · 90′ · team result only▲ +2

Each night’s move blends his team’s result with his own match stats, saves for keepers, tackles and duels for defenders, creation for midfielders, finishing up front. “Team result only” marks games where the feed carried no player stats.

A forward-only shadow signal, as of 2026-06-27. The skill term comes from our own xG models over the open archive; the rest is earned, recorded per appearance, auditable, never back-filled. It never moves a live call.

At this World Cup

What the tournament has done to his rating since the first whistle on 11 Jun, and the matches behind it. Each night’s move blends his team’s result with his own performance, shrunk for sample size, so a strong game nudges the number rather than spiking it.

▼ −2

2 appearances · 134′ · 2 graded by his own stats

The matches behind it

06-27drew · 70′ · his stats graded▼ −3
06-23won by 5 · 64′ · his stats graded· 0

The same movement shown beside his name on the board, opened up. “Team result only” marks nights the feed carried no player stats. A forward-only shadow signal; it never touches a live call.

The notebook

The lines a beat writer keeps, except every one of ours is read off the ledger above, auditable to the night. Nothing invented.

standing
#177 of 1424 rated players on our board.
best night
His best night in our ledger: +20 in one sitting, World Cup finals, 2022-12-06.
vs his seed
The folded nights have added +34 to the number he seeded with, he has outplayed his own prior.

What he’d cost · our estimate

We don’t price him yet. Our fee model leans on the level he plays at, and no trusted source has given us his club’s strength. We’d rather show nothing than a number we don’t trust.

The fee record · sourced

The market’s last public word: €126m (2019-07). The gap is evidence, many of them, together, recalibrate our model; no single one rewrites him.

2025-07-28Chelsea → Al-Nassrundisclosed
2025-07-01AC Milan → Chelseaundisclosed
2025-02-04Chelsea → AC Milanloan
2024-08-21Atletico Madrid → Chelseaundisclosed

Reported moves, dated and attributed (api-football.com), news facts, not a valuation site’s estimates. It never touches a call.

In our coverage · Portugal’s record

at Colombia0–0Missed it
v Uzbekistan5–0Called it
v DR Congo1–1Missed it

The newsroom’s calls on Portugal. Team-level, never dressed up as a player stat.