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Takefusa Kubo

Japan · the desk

Midfield, Japan

Club football at Real Sociedad de Fútbol.

Sourced facts, dated and on the record. Squad membership, and his club when a source names one. Nothing invented; we don’t make players up.

At a glance

  • age

    24

    sourced with the squad

  • position

    Midfield

    Japan

  • club

    Real Sociedad de Fútbol

    football-data.org

  • club tier

    1669

    ClubElo strength

  • our board

    #611

    of 1424 rated players

  • folded so far

    1733′

    27 appearances

  • npxG per 90

    0.17

    72th percentile of peers

On the pitch

Chances created for Japan, on the record.

  • goals

    0

  • assists

    1

goals and assists from our captured match events · caps and minutes from the appearance record

Sourced

squad
Japan · Midfieldfootball-data.org · 2026-06-29
club
Real Sociedad de Fútbolfootball-data.org · 2026-06-29

Sourced context, nothing more. It never touches a call.

Our rating · the working

the board

1755 ±45

his quality rating: club, age and measured output. The board orders by this plus his World Cup form, less a discount for how much we can measure him.

How the number is builtopenclose

1761 full roster Elo (+6 from national-team results)

the ± is how settled the number is, more minutes, tighter band

Tier 2, lineups + results, how rich the evidence is, not just how much

potential ~1768 ±46 a projection, not a measurement: room left on the midfield age curve

Where he starts (his team’s strength, we refuse to invent what we haven’t measured) plus two fixed nudges make the quality rating above; the last line is what national-team results have added since, taking it to his full roster Elo.

starts at Japan's strengththe fair club-over-national anchor, every player's starting point
1735
age curve at 24 (midfields' curve)young-side discount halved, his measured production overrides the average-youngster prior
-7
attacking output in club football, our xG modelhis percentile among minutes-qualified peers, from club seasons
+27
quality rating · club, age + measured output
1755
form: national-team results, 27 appearances1733 minutes, weighted by margin, surprise and his match stats, but shared across the XI
+6
full roster Elo · with results
1761

Where the +27 skill term comes from

Not a reputation, a measurement. We score every shot in the data ourselves and rank him among minutes-qualified peers; a fixed arithmetic turns that rank into points.

measured
0.17 npxG per 90
his rank
72th percentile of qualified peers
scored from
recent club seasons, every shot scored by our own xG model
the arithmetic
46 pts/σ × z(72.1th) = 46 × 0.59 = +27

A forward-only shadow signal, as of 2026-06-14. The skill term comes from our own xG models over the open archive; the rest is earned, recorded per appearance, auditable, never back-filled. It never moves a live call.

The notebook

The lines a beat writer keeps, except every one of ours is read off the ledger above, auditable to the night. Nothing invented.

  • standing

    #611 of 1424 rated players on our board.

What he’d cost · our estimate

€8.8m€34m €17m

Not a figure from any valuation site; we don’t republish those. Our own model: the level he plays at, what we’ve measured of him, his age and his role. A band, not a point: we can’t see contract length or release clauses, the two biggest real drivers, so we say so.

The workingopenclose
reference feea mid-tier-club, peak-age forward of average measured skill
€8m
club tier 1669the level he plays at, the strongest signal of what a club pays
×1.76
ageage 24, in the fee-peak window (24–27)
×1.00
attacker fee factorstrikers set the market's top; midfield runs close; defence and goal at the record books' discounts
×1.00
individual skillmeasured 72th percentile of peers
×1.30
our estimate
€17m

fee-model v3 priors (panel-anchored, 2026-06), calibrated against our reported fees. The band is roughly two-in-three likely; contract length and release clauses are data we don’t hold. Context only, it never touches a call.

The fee record · sourced

The market’s last public word: €6.5m (2022-07). Our estimate today: ≈ €17m. The gap is evidence, many of them, together, recalibrate our model; no single one rewrites him.

our read: undervalued , we rate him 167% above his last market price (a gem signal, context only)

  • 2022-07-19Real Madrid Real Sociedad€6.5m
  • 2022-07-01Mallorca Real Madridundisclosed
  • 2021-08-11Real Madrid Mallorcaloan
  • 2021-01-08Real Madrid Getafeloan

Reported moves, dated and attributed (api-football.com), news facts, not a valuation site’s estimates. It never touches a call.

In our coverage · Japan’s record

  • at Brazil2–1Called it
  • v Sweden1–1Missed it
  • at Tunisia0–4Called it
  • at Netherlands2–2Missed it

The newsroom’s calls on Japan. Team-level, never dressed up as a player stat.

Squad · sourced