Keito Nakamura

Midfield, Japan

Sourced facts, dated and on the record. Squad membership, and his club when a source names one. Nothing invented; we don’t make players up.

At a glance

age
25
sourced with the squad
position
Midfield
Japan
our board
#1017
of 1424 rated players
folded so far
1112′
20 appearances

On the pitch

Goals and assists for Japan, on the record and counted.

goals
1
assists
1
caps
20
minutes
1112′

goals and assists from our captured match events · caps and minutes from the appearance record

Sourced

squad: Japan · Midfieldfootball-data.org · 2026-06-29

Sourced context, nothing more. It never touches a call.

Our rating · the working

the board →

1639 ±45

his quality rating: club, age and measured output. The board orders by this plus his World Cup form, less a discount for how much we can measure him.

How the number is builtopenclose

1673 full roster Elo (+34 from national-team results)

the ± is how settled the number is, more minutes, tighter band

Tier 2, lineups + results, how rich the evidence is, not just how much

potential ~1674 ±45 a projection, not a measurement: room left on the midfield age curve

Where he starts (his team’s strength, we refuse to invent what we haven’t measured) plus two fixed nudges make the quality rating above; the last line is what national-team results have added since, taking it to his full roster Elo.

starts at Japan's strengththe fair club-over-national anchor, every player's starting point: 1640
age curve at 25 (midfields' curve)measured from the open archive by our own study (defenders: the published literature's shape), never fitted to our calls: -1
individual skill termour club xG models haven't seen enough of him for a confident read, so nothing is added, never guessed: +0
quality rating · club, age + measured output: 1639
form: national-team results, 20 appearances1112 minutes, weighted by margin, surprise and his match stats, but shared across the XI: +34
full roster Elo · with results: 1673

Rating trend

-320 over 21 updates

Seeded from his team’s rating, then moved by the matches he actually played. A shadow signal, it never touches a live call.

Where the +34 was earned

The earned line, opened up by competition. World Cup finals count 1.5×, qualifiers and cups 1×, friendlies and club football half, so a tournament night moves him most.

World Cup finals4 apps · 310′: +28
internationals, qualifiers & cups13 apps · 622′: -2
international friendlies3 apps · 180′: +8

His latest nights

2026-06-29World Cup finals · 66′▼ −4
2026-06-25World Cup finals · 75′▲ +4
2026-06-21World Cup finals · 79′▲ +21
2026-06-14World Cup finals · 90′▲ +8
2026-05-31international friendlies · 72′ · team result only▲ +1

Each night’s move blends his team’s result with his own match stats, saves for keepers, tackles and duels for defenders, creation for midfielders, finishing up front. “Team result only” marks games where the feed carried no player stats.

A forward-only shadow signal, as of 2026-06-29. The skill term comes from our own xG models over the open archive; the rest is earned, recorded per appearance, auditable, never back-filled. It never moves a live call.

At this World Cup

What the tournament has done to his rating since the first whistle on 11 Jun, and the matches behind it. Each night’s move blends his team’s result with his own performance, shrunk for sample size, so a strong game nudges the number rather than spiking it.

▲ +28

4 appearances · 310′ · 4 graded by his own stats

The matches behind it

06-29lost by 1 · 66′ · his stats graded▼ −4
06-25drew · 75′ · his stats graded▲ +4
06-21won by 4 · 79′ · his stats graded▲ +21
06-14drew · 90′ · his stats graded▲ +8

The same movement shown beside his name on the board, opened up. “Team result only” marks nights the feed carried no player stats. A forward-only shadow signal; it never touches a live call.

The notebook

The lines a beat writer keeps, except every one of ours is read off the ledger above, auditable to the night. Nothing invented.

standing
#1017 of 1424 rated players on our board.
best night
His best night in our ledger: +21 in one sitting, World Cup finals, 2026-06-21.
vs his seed
The folded nights have added +34 to the number he seeded with, he has outplayed his own prior.

What he’d cost · our estimate

We don’t price him yet. Our fee model leans on the level he plays at, and no trusted source has given us his club’s strength. We’d rather show nothing than a number we don’t trust.

The fee record · sourced

The market’s last public word: €12m (2023-08). The gap is evidence, many of them, together, recalibrate our model; no single one rewrites him.

2023-08-10Lask Linz → Reims€12m
2021-02-08Gamba Osaka → Lask Juniors Linzloan
2020-07-01Gamba Osaka → St. Truidenloan
2019-07-22Gamba Osaka → Twenteundisclosed

Reported moves, dated and attributed (api-football.com), news facts, not a valuation site’s estimates. It never touches a call.

In our coverage · Japan’s record

at Brazil2–1Called it
v Sweden1–1Missed it
at Tunisia0–4Called it
at Netherlands2–2Missed it

The newsroom’s calls on Japan. Team-level, never dressed up as a player stat.