Theo Hernández

Defence, France

Sourced facts, dated and on the record. Squad membership, and his club when a source names one. Nothing invented; we don’t make players up.

At a glance

age
28
sourced with the squad
position
Defence
France
our board
#987
of 1424 rated players
folded so far
2706′
31 appearances
possession-adjusted defensive actions per 90 (tackles + interceptions + blocks)
2.73
27th percentile of peers

Sourced

squad: France · Defencefootball-data.org · 2026-06-29

Sourced context, nothing more. It never touches a call.

Our rating · the working

the board →

1653 ±45

his quality rating: club, age and measured output. The board orders by this plus his World Cup form, less a discount for how much we can measure him.

How the number is builtopenclose

1717 full roster Elo (+64 from national-team results)

the ± is how settled the number is, more minutes, tighter band

Tier 2, lineups + results, how rich the evidence is, not just how much

at or near his peak, no projected upside from age

Where he starts (his team’s strength, we refuse to invent what we haven’t measured) plus two fixed nudges make the quality rating above; the last line is what national-team results have added since, taking it to his full roster Elo.

starts at France's strengththe fair club-over-national anchor, every player's starting point: 1664
age curve at 28 (defences' curve)the position's measured peak, no discount either way: +0
defensive actions in club football, possession-adjustedhis percentile among minutes-qualified peers, from club seasons: -11
quality rating · club, age + measured output: 1653
form: national-team results, 31 appearances2706 minutes, weighted by margin, surprise and his match stats, but shared across the XI: +64
full roster Elo · with results: 1717

Where the -11 skill term comes from

Not a reputation, a measurement. We score every shot in the data ourselves and rank him among minutes-qualified peers; a fixed arithmetic turns that rank into points.

measured: 2.73 possession-adjusted defensive actions per 90 (tackles + interceptions + blocks)
his rank: 27th percentile of qualified peers
scored from: recent club seasons (api-football), an individual box-stat proxy, possession-adjusted; volume, not a quality verdict
the arithmetic: 46 pts/σ × z(26.6th) = 46 × -0.62 × 0.4 (position weight) = -11

A forward-only shadow signal, as of 2026-06-26. The skill term comes from our own xG models over the open archive; the rest is earned, recorded per appearance, auditable, never back-filled. It never moves a live call.

The notebook

The lines a beat writer keeps, except every one of ours is read off the ledger above, auditable to the night. Nothing invented.

standing
#987 of 1424 rated players on our board.
vs his seed
The folded nights have added +64 to the number he seeded with, he has outplayed his own prior.
workload
He barely leaves the pitch: 87′ a night across 31 folded appearances.

What he’d cost · our estimate

We don’t price him yet. Our fee model leans on the level he plays at, and no trusted source has given us his club’s strength. We’d rather show nothing than a number we don’t trust.

The fee record · sourced

The market’s last public word: €20m (2019-07). The gap is evidence, many of them, together, recalibrate our model; no single one rewrites him.

2025-07-09AC Milan → Al-Hilal Saudi FCundisclosed
2019-07-06Real Madrid → AC Milan€20m
2019-07-01Real Sociedad → Real Madridundisclosed
2018-08-10Real Madrid → Real Sociedadloan

Reported moves, dated and attributed (api-football.com), news facts, not a valuation site’s estimates. It never touches a call.

In our coverage · France’s record

v SwedenSealed
at Norway1–4Missed it
v Iraq3–0Called it
v Senegal3–1Called it

The newsroom’s calls on France. Team-level, never dressed up as a player stat.