Kylian Mbappé

Offence, France

Club football at Real Madrid CF.

Sourced facts, dated and on the record. Squad membership, and his club when a source names one. Nothing invented; we don’t make players up.

At a glance

age
27
sourced with the squad
position
Offence
France
club
Real Madrid CF
football-data.org
club tier
1923
ClubElo strength
our board
#25
of 1424 rated players
folded so far
4545′
54 appearances
npxG + xA per 90
0.47
95th percentile of peers

On the pitch

Goals and assists for France, on the record and counted.

goals
4
assists
2
caps
35
minutes
2989′

goals and assists from our captured match events · caps and minutes from the appearance record

Sourced

squad: France · Offencefootball-data.org · 2026-06-29
club: Real Madrid CFfootball-data.org · 2026-06-29

Sourced context, nothing more. It never touches a call.

Our rating · the working

the board →

2054 ±45

his quality rating: club, age and measured output. The board orders by this plus his World Cup form, less a discount for how much we can measure him.

How the number is builtopenclose

2106 full roster Elo (+52 from national-team results)

the ± is how settled the number is, more minutes, tighter band

Tier 2, lineups + results, how rich the evidence is, not just how much

potential ~2113 ±45 a projection, not a measurement: room left on the offence age curve

Where he starts (his team’s strength, we refuse to invent what we haven’t measured) plus two fixed nudges make the quality rating above; the last line is what national-team results have added since, taking it to his full roster Elo.

starts at France's strengththe fair club-over-national anchor, every player's starting point: 1982
age curve at 27 (offences' curve)young-side discount halved, his measured production overrides the average-youngster prior: -4
attacking output, our xG modelhis percentile among minutes-qualified peers, from club seasons: +77
quality rating · club, age + measured output: 2054
form: national-team results, 54 appearances4545 minutes, weighted by margin, surprise and his match stats, but shared across the XI: +52
full roster Elo · with results: 2106

Rating trend

-16 over 55 updates

Seeded from his team’s rating, then moved by the matches he actually played. A shadow signal, it never touches a live call.

Where the +77 skill term comes from

Not a reputation, a measurement. We score every shot in the data ourselves and rank him among minutes-qualified peers; a fixed arithmetic turns that rank into points.

measured: 0.47 npxG + xA per 90
his rank: 95th percentile of qualified peers
scored from: the open StatsBomb archive, every shot scored by our own xG model
the arithmetic: 46 pts/σ × z(95.2th) = 46 × 1.67 = +77

Where the +52 was earned

The earned line, opened up by competition. World Cup finals count 1.5×, qualifiers and cups 1×, friendlies and club football half, so a tournament night moves him most.

World Cup finals10 apps · 872′: +75
internationals, qualifiers & cups23 apps · 1982′: -4
international friendlies2 apps · 135′: -4
club football19 apps · 1556′: -16

His latest nights

2026-06-26World Cup finals · 87′▲ +11
2026-06-22World Cup finals · 89′▲ +9
2026-06-16World Cup finals · 99′▲ +10
2026-06-08international friendlies · 90′ · team result only▲ +1
2026-06-04international friendlies · 45′ · team result only▼ −4

Each night’s move blends his team’s result with his own match stats, saves for keepers, tackles and duels for defenders, creation for midfielders, finishing up front. “Team result only” marks games where the feed carried no player stats.

A forward-only shadow signal, as of 2026-06-26. The skill term comes from our own xG models over the open archive; the rest is earned, recorded per appearance, auditable, never back-filled. It never moves a live call.

At this World Cup

What the tournament has done to his rating since the first whistle on 11 Jun, and the matches behind it. Each night’s move blends his team’s result with his own performance, shrunk for sample size, so a strong game nudges the number rather than spiking it.

▲ +30

3 appearances · 275′ · 3 graded by his own stats

The matches behind it

06-26won by 3 · 87′ · his stats graded▲ +11
06-22won by 3 · 89′ · his stats graded▲ +9
06-16won by 2 · 99′ · his stats graded▲ +10

The same movement shown beside his name on the board, opened up. “Team result only” marks nights the feed carried no player stats. A forward-only shadow signal; it never touches a live call.

The notebook

The lines a beat writer keeps, except every one of ours is read off the ledger above, auditable to the night. Nothing invented.

standing
#25 of 1424 on our board, top 10% of everyone we rate.
best night
His best night in our ledger: +14 in one sitting, World Cup finals, 2022-12-14.
vs his seed
The folded nights have added +52 to the number he seeded with, he has outplayed his own prior.

What he’d cost · our estimate

€31m–€121m ≈ €61m

Not a figure from any valuation site; we don’t republish those. Our own model: the level he plays at, what we’ve measured of him, his age and his role. A band, not a point: we can’t see contract length or release clauses, the two biggest real drivers, so we say so.

The workingopenclose

reference feea mid-tier-club, peak-age forward of average measured skill: €8m
club tier 1923the level he plays at, the strongest signal of what a club pays: ×5.03
ageage 27, in the fee-peak window (24–27): ×1.00
attacker fee factorstrikers set the market's top; midfield runs close; defence and goal at the record books' discounts: ×1.00
individual skillmeasured 95th percentile of peers: ×1.72
our estimate: ≈ €61m

fee-model v3 priors (panel-anchored, 2026-06), calibrated against our reported fees. The band is roughly two-in-three likely; contract length and release clauses are data we don’t hold. Context only, it never touches a call.

The fee record · sourced

The market’s last public word: €180m (2018-07). Our estimate today: ≈ €61m. The gap is evidence, many of them, together, recalibrate our model; no single one rewrites him.

our read: richly priced , we rate him 66% below his last market price (a gem signal, context only)

2024-07-01Paris Saint Germain → Real Madridfree
2018-07-01Monaco → Paris Saint Germain€180m
2017-08-31Monaco → Paris Saint Germainloan

Reported moves, dated and attributed (api-football.com), news facts, not a valuation site’s estimates. It never touches a call.

In our coverage · France’s record

v SwedenSealed
at Norway1–4Missed it
v Iraq3–0Called it
v Senegal3–1Called it

The newsroom’s calls on France. Team-level, never dressed up as a player stat.