Jude Bellingham

Club football at Real Madrid CF.

Sourced facts, dated and on the record. Squad membership, and his club when a source names one. Nothing invented; we don’t make players up.

At a glance

age
22
sourced with the squad
position
Midfield
England
club
Real Madrid CF
football-data.org
club tier
1923
ClubElo strength
our board
#100
of 1424 rated players
folded so far
3311′
43 appearances
npxG + xA per 90
0.17
63th percentile of peers

On the pitch

Goals and assists for England, on the record and counted.

goals
2
assists
1

goals and assists from our captured match events · caps and minutes from the appearance record

Sourced

squad: England · Midfieldfootball-data.org · 2026-06-29
club: Real Madrid CFfootball-data.org · 2026-06-29

Sourced context, nothing more. It never touches a call.

Our rating · the working

the board →

1964 ±45

his quality rating: club, age and measured output. The board orders by this plus his World Cup form, less a discount for how much we can measure him.

How the number is builtopenclose

1983 full roster Elo (+18 from national-team results)

the ± is how settled the number is, more minutes, tighter band

Tier 2, lineups + results, how rich the evidence is, not just how much

potential ~1990 ±45 a projection, not a measurement: room left on the midfield age curve

Where he starts (his team’s strength, we refuse to invent what we haven’t measured) plus two fixed nudges make the quality rating above; the last line is what national-team results have added since, taking it to his full roster Elo.

starts at England's strengththe fair club-over-national anchor, every player's starting point: 1962
age curve at 22 (midfields' curve)young-side discount halved, his measured production overrides the average-youngster prior: -6
attacking output, our xG modelhis percentile among minutes-qualified peers, from club seasons: +8
quality rating · club, age + measured output: 1964
form: national-team results, 43 appearances3311 minutes, weighted by margin, surprise and his match stats, but shared across the XI: +18
full roster Elo · with results: 1983

Where the +8 skill term comes from

Not a reputation, a measurement. We score every shot in the data ourselves and rank him among minutes-qualified peers; a fixed arithmetic turns that rank into points.

measured: 0.17 npxG + xA per 90
his rank: 63th percentile of qualified peers
scored from: the open StatsBomb archive, every shot scored by our own xG model
the arithmetic: 46 pts/σ × z(63.0th) = 46 × 0.33 × 0.5 (position weight) = +8

A forward-only shadow signal, as of 2026-06-27. The skill term comes from our own xG models over the open archive; the rest is earned, recorded per appearance, auditable, never back-filled. It never moves a live call.

The notebook

The lines a beat writer keeps, except every one of ours is read off the ledger above, auditable to the night. Nothing invented.

standing
#100 of 1424 on our board, top 10% of everyone we rate.
vs his seed
The folded nights have added +18 to the number he seeded with, he has outplayed his own prior.

What he’d cost · our estimate

€21m–€83m ≈ €42m

Not a figure from any valuation site; we don’t republish those. Our own model: the level he plays at, what we’ve measured of him, his age and his role. A band, not a point: we can’t see contract length or release clauses, the two biggest real drivers, so we say so.

The workingopenclose

reference feea mid-tier-club, peak-age forward of average measured skill: €8m
club tier 1923the level he plays at, the strongest signal of what a club pays: ×5.03
ageage 22, the resale premium a club pays for the years to come: ×1.15
midfielder fee factorstrikers set the market's top; midfield runs close; defence and goal at the record books' discounts: ×0.90
individual skillmeasured 63th percentile of peers: ×1.12
our estimate: ≈ €42m

fee-model v3 priors (panel-anchored, 2026-06), calibrated against our reported fees. The band is roughly two-in-three likely; contract length and release clauses are data we don’t hold. Context only, it never touches a call.

The fee record · sourced

The market’s last public word: €103m (2023-07). Our estimate today: ≈ €42m. The gap is evidence, many of them, together, recalibrate our model; no single one rewrites him.

our read: richly priced , we rate him 59% below his last market price (a gem signal, context only)

2023-07-01Borussia Dortmund → Real Madrid€103m
2020-07-23Birmingham → Borussia Dortmund€23m

Reported moves, dated and attributed (api-football.com), news facts, not a valuation site’s estimates. It never touches a call.

In our coverage · England’s record

v DR CongoSealed
at Panama0–2Called it
v Ghana0–0Missed it
v Croatia4–2Called it

The newsroom’s calls on England. Team-level, never dressed up as a player stat.