Dean Henderson

Goalkeeper, England

Sourced facts, dated and on the record. Squad membership, and his club when a source names one. Nothing invented; we don’t make players up.

At a glance

age
28
sourced with the squad
position
Goalkeeper
England
our board
#161
of 1424 rated players
folded so far
2547′
29 appearances
transfer market value (EUR millions), as a rank among peers
28.00
98th percentile of peers

Sourced

squad: England · Goalkeeperfootball-data.org · 2026-06-29

Sourced context, nothing more. It never touches a call.

Our rating · the working

the board →

1915 ±45

his quality rating: club, age and measured output. The board orders by this plus his World Cup form, less a discount for how much we can measure him.

How the number is builtopenclose

1878 full roster Elo (−37 from national-team results)

the ± is how settled the number is, more minutes, tighter band

Tier 2, lineups + results, how rich the evidence is, not just how much

potential ~1884 ±45 a projection, not a measurement: room left on the goalkeeper age curve

Where he starts (his team’s strength, we refuse to invent what we haven’t measured) plus two fixed nudges make the quality rating above; the last line is what national-team results have added since, taking it to his full roster Elo.

starts at England's strengththe fair club-over-national anchor, every player's starting point: 1873
age curve at 28 (goalkeepers' curve)young-side discount halved, his measured production overrides the average-youngster prior: -6
transfer market value, a sourced market-consensus quality prior (the stronger reading for him here)his percentile among minutes-qualified peers, from club seasons: +48
quality rating · club, age + measured output: 1915
form: national-team results, 29 appearances2547 minutes, weighted by margin, surprise and his match stats, but shared across the XI: -37
full roster Elo · with results: 1878

Where the +48 skill term comes from

Not a reputation, a measurement. We score every shot in the data ourselves and rank him among minutes-qualified peers; a fixed arithmetic turns that rank into points.

measured: 28.00 transfer market value (EUR millions), as a rank among peers
his rank: 98th percentile of qualified peers
scored from: the CC0 Transfermarkt community mirror; a market-consensus quality prior, taken at a capped weight where it reads a player higher than our (fixed, partial) shot/event data can
the arithmetic: 46 pts/σ × z(98.2th) = 46 × 2.11 × 0.5 (position weight) = +48

A forward-only shadow signal, as of 2026-06-10. The skill term comes from our own xG models over the open archive; the rest is earned, recorded per appearance, auditable, never back-filled. It never moves a live call.

The notebook

The lines a beat writer keeps, except every one of ours is read off the ledger above, auditable to the night. Nothing invented.

standing
#161 of 1424 rated players on our board.
vs his seed
The folded nights have cost him 37 points off his seed, kept on the record, like everything.
workload
He barely leaves the pitch: 88′ a night across 29 folded appearances.

What he’d cost · our estimate

We don’t price him yet. Our fee model leans on the level he plays at, and no trusted source has given us his club’s strength. We’d rather show nothing than a number we don’t trust.

The fee record · sourced

The market’s last public word: €18m (2023-08). The gap is evidence, many of them, together, recalibrate our model; no single one rewrites him.

2023-08-31Manchester United → Crystal Palace€18m
2023-07-01Nottingham Forest → Manchester Unitedundisclosed
2022-07-02Manchester United → Nottingham Forestloan
2020-08-01Sheffield Utd → Manchester Unitedundisclosed

Reported moves, dated and attributed (api-football.com), news facts, not a valuation site’s estimates. It never touches a call.

In our coverage · England’s record

v DR CongoSealed
at Panama0–2Called it
v Ghana0–0Missed it
v Croatia4–2Called it

The newsroom’s calls on England. Team-level, never dressed up as a player stat.