Declan Rice

Club football at Arsenal FC.

Sourced facts, dated and on the record. Squad membership, and his club when a source names one. Nothing invented; we don’t make players up.

At a glance

age
26
sourced with the squad
position
Midfield
England
club
Arsenal FC
football-data.org
club tier
2064
ClubElo strength
our board
#3
of 1424 rated players
folded so far
4447′
52 appearances
transfer market value (EUR millions), as a rank among peers
120.00
100th percentile of peers

On the pitch

Chances created for England, on the record.

goals
0
assists
1

goals and assists from our captured match events · caps and minutes from the appearance record

Sourced

squad: England · Midfieldfootball-data.org · 2026-06-29
club: Arsenal FCfootball-data.org · 2026-06-29

Sourced context, nothing more. It never touches a call.

Our rating · the working

the board →

2144 ±45

his quality rating: club, age and measured output. The board orders by this plus his World Cup form, less a discount for how much we can measure him.

How the number is builtopenclose

2164 full roster Elo (+20 from national-team results)

the ± is how settled the number is, more minutes, tighter band

Tier 2, lineups + results, how rich the evidence is, not just how much

at or near his peak, no projected upside from age

Where he starts (his team’s strength, we refuse to invent what we haven’t measured) plus two fixed nudges make the quality rating above; the last line is what national-team results have added since, taking it to his full roster Elo.

starts at England's strengththe fair club-over-national anchor, every player's starting point: 2068
age curve at 26 (midfields' curve)the position's measured peak, no discount either way: +0
transfer market value, a sourced market-consensus quality prior (the stronger reading for him here)his percentile among minutes-qualified peers, from club seasons: +76
quality rating · club, age + measured output: 2144
form: national-team results, 52 appearances4447 minutes, weighted by margin, surprise and his match stats, but shared across the XI: +20
full roster Elo · with results: 2164

Where the +76 skill term comes from

Not a reputation, a measurement. We score every shot in the data ourselves and rank him among minutes-qualified peers; a fixed arithmetic turns that rank into points.

measured: 120.00 transfer market value (EUR millions), as a rank among peers
his rank: 100th percentile of qualified peers
scored from: the CC0 Transfermarkt community mirror; a market-consensus quality prior, taken at a capped weight where it reads a player higher than our (fixed, partial) shot/event data can
the arithmetic: 46 pts/σ × z(100.0th) = 46 × 3.30 × 0.5 (position weight) = +76

A forward-only shadow signal, as of 2026-06-23. The skill term comes from our own xG models over the open archive; the rest is earned, recorded per appearance, auditable, never back-filled. It never moves a live call.

The notebook

The lines a beat writer keeps, except every one of ours is read off the ledger above, auditable to the night. Nothing invented.

standing
#3 of 1424 on our board, inside the top 1% of everyone we rate.
vs his seed
The folded nights have added +20 to the number he seeded with, he has outplayed his own prior.
workload
He barely leaves the pitch: 86′ a night across 52 folded appearances.

What he’d cost · our estimate

€26m–€100m ≈ €51m

Not a figure from any valuation site; we don’t republish those. Our own model: the level he plays at, what we’ve measured of him, his age and his role. A band, not a point: we can’t see contract length or release clauses, the two biggest real drivers, so we say so.

The workingopenclose

reference feea mid-tier-club, peak-age forward of average measured skill: €8m
club tier 2064the level he plays at, the strongest signal of what a club pays: ×10.18
ageage 26, in the fee-peak window (24–27): ×1.00
midfielder fee factorstrikers set the market's top; midfield runs close; defence and goal at the record books' discounts: ×0.90
individual skillmeasured 20th percentile of peers: ×0.77
our estimate: ≈ €51m

fee-model v3 priors (panel-anchored, 2026-06), calibrated against our reported fees. The band is roughly two-in-three likely; contract length and release clauses are data we don’t hold. Context only, it never touches a call.

The fee record · sourced

The market’s last public word: €117m (2023-07). Our estimate today: ≈ €51m. The gap is evidence, many of them, together, recalibrate our model; no single one rewrites him.

our read: richly priced , we rate him 56% below his last market price (a gem signal, context only)

2023-07-15West Ham → Arsenal€117m

Reported moves, dated and attributed (api-football.com), news facts, not a valuation site’s estimates. It never touches a call.

In our coverage · England’s record

v DR CongoSealed
at Panama0–2Called it
v Ghana0–0Missed it
v Croatia4–2Called it

The newsroom’s calls on England. Team-level, never dressed up as a player stat.