As it stands
after 6 of 6 played · graded results only
Played
- France 3–1 Senegal✓ graded
- Iraq 1–4 Norway✓ graded
- France 3–0 Iraq✓ graded
- Norway 3–2 Senegal✓ graded
- Norway 1–4 France✓ graded
- Senegal 5–0 Iraq✓ graded
The chances, redrawn
openclose
Same simulator, same ratings, with the played games nailed to their real scores and level sides split on real goal difference (the 2026 way: head-to-head, then goal difference). The sealed number above stays exactly where we left it, this is what it would say now.
- France100%sealed 83%
- Norway100%sealed 54%
- Senegal0%sealed 46%