As it stands
after 6 of 6 played · graded results only
Played
- Spain 0–0 Cape Verde✓ graded
- Saudi Arabia 1–1 Uruguay✓ graded
- Spain 4–0 Saudi Arabia✓ graded
- Uruguay 2–2 Cape Verde✓ graded
- Cape Verde 0–0 Saudi Arabia✓ graded
- Uruguay 0–1 Spain✓ graded
The chances, redrawn
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Same simulator, same ratings, with the played games nailed to their real scores and level sides split on real goal difference (the 2026 way: head-to-head, then goal difference). The sealed number above stays exactly where we left it, this is what it would say now.
- Spain100%sealed 95%
- Cape Verde100%sealed 13%
- Uruguay0%sealed 75%