As it stands
after 6 of 6 played · graded results only
teamPW-D-LGDPTS
1Netherlands32-1-0+67
2Japan31-2-0+45
3Sweden31-1-104
4Tunisia30-0-3-100
Played
- Netherlands 2–2 Japan✓ graded
- Sweden 5–1 Tunisia✓ graded
- Netherlands 5–1 Sweden✓ graded
- Tunisia 0–4 Japan✓ graded
- Japan 1–1 Sweden✓ graded
- Tunisia 1–3 Netherlands✓ graded
The chances, redrawn
openclose
Same simulator, same ratings, with the played games nailed to their real scores and level sides split on real goal difference (the 2026 way: head-to-head, then goal difference). The sealed number above stays exactly where we left it, this is what it would say now.
- Netherlands100%sealed 78%
- Japan100%sealed 74%
- Sweden0%sealed 26%